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Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by JoshTriplett on Monday January 23, 2017 @01:05AM (#13460169)
> Why can't they just charge tv subscribers the whole amount

The secret is that there's no "whole amount", because that would imply the concept of "enough money". There's no such thing as "enough money".

I mean that entirely non-sarcastically; to the extent it doesn't go to cover their costs, it goes to increase their profit, which has no upper bound. If they've found a way to extract more money, they'll do it. They question then becomes "to what extent have they found a larger revenue stream, and to what extent have they obtained more money now by alienating customers and driving them to other services".

Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by Bombthecat on Monday January 23, 2017 @01:27AM (#13460266)
I expect from Netflix no less. As soon the growth phase is over. They will turn to ads.
Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by JoshTriplett on Monday January 23, 2017 @02:12AM (#13460443)
They have too many competitors right on their heels for that. Netflix introducing ads would drive people to Amazon Prime, and vice versa. (Hulu partially gets away with it because they have an offering their competitors don't, namely seasons still in progress.)
Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by sleepychu on Monday January 23, 2017 @04:27AM (#13460949)
Amazon Prime has gotten awful for adverts. They have pre-rolls for their other shows, which you could consider OK at the moment but this is exactly what happened with their Fire $TV_DEVICE line. They had a banner ad for new shows and that banner ad slowly morphed into advertising for financial services and such.

I've never been so upset about a product like this. I think I paid ~70GBP for the Fire TV and 20 each for two Fire TV sticks and then they sneak advertising in with a software update after the fact. It's particularly egregious because they've recognised the equivalence of ads and charging you money on their tablet range which I think you can buy at a discount if you agree to have ads shown to you on the home screen.

Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by mysticmarvel on Monday January 23, 2017 @08:23AM (#13461977)
Bin them. Bin Amazon Prime too. Be sure to tell them why you're doing it.

Cable was originally advert-free. It was slipped in gradually over time. They got away with it because people put up with it and didn't call foul and stop subscribing. Expect Amazon, Netflix, everyone to do it. Precedent was set with cable subscriptions. The bar is set very low, and our resistance is known to be pitiful.

Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by sleepychu on Monday January 23, 2017 @08:48AM (#13462112)
> Cable was originally advert-free.

I don't think that's true, https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=13460306

> Bin them. Bin Amazon Prime too.

That would be altruistic but I don't think that enough people will do it with me (and I have no interest in organising them to do so). I'm tempted to return the device since they've changed the fundamental functionality, IMO.

Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by ethbro on Monday January 23, 2017 @07:52AM (#13461832)
I realize I'm not the prime demographic for this.

But why would I ever be interested in watching a season in progress when I can watch backlog until it finishes, then watch the entire season on my own schedule?

Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by JoshTriplett on Monday January 23, 2017 @09:10AM (#13462223)
Two reasons. First, because during the initial transition from cable, you might want to keep watching existing shows from where you left off, without having to wait for the end of the season. And second, because other people watch the show live and you want to keep up with them.

The first problem goes away after the initial transition, and the second goes away when everyone you know also uses Netflix and/or Amazon Prime. But don't underestimate the value in getting people to switch.

Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by wmil on Monday January 23, 2017 @08:53AM (#13462135)
There's a social aspect to popular TV shows that are airing.

If you keep up to date you can discuss the EP on various forums right after it airs. Then it's something to talk about with your co-workers who are also fans.

Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by dogma1138 on Monday January 23, 2017 @04:34AM (#13460976)
Both Netflix and amazon have season in progress with weekly releases not as much in the US tho.
Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by thomasz on Monday January 23, 2017 @01:34AM (#13460298)
In that case, I'm dead sure that a lot of their customers will return to piracy.
Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by hkmurakami on Monday January 23, 2017 @01:55AM (#13460376)
How many is a lot? If the proportion of revenue increase outweighs subscriber loss, it's still worth inserting ads.
Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by Freak_NL on Monday January 23, 2017 @04:47AM (#13461025)
Only if all competitors did the same. Unlike cable or terrestrial broadcast television, with Netflix the consumer has choice and can simply go to a competitor (this includes piracy). If Netflix starts experimenting with advertisements, they will give competitors a chance to move in on the subscribers that won't stand for it.

Losing subscribers is fine if they don't go anywhere else (because they can't), but losing subscribers to a competitor is a risky move.

Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by sriku on Monday January 23, 2017 @07:14AM (#13461616)
I expect the same too. In a capitalist economy, companies need to market their products and they will always find a way to pay media companies for eye time. At the outset, I think fighting ads is. Lost cause though depending on the novelty of media there may be temporary relief.
Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by tehwebguy on Monday January 23, 2017 @04:14AM (#13460909)
No chance IMO. The pool of competing content buyers is rapidly growing.
Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by gozur88 on Monday January 23, 2017 @01:56AM (#13460377)
>I mean that entirely non-sarcastically; to the extent it doesn't go to cover their costs, it goes to increase their profit, which has no upper bound.

Really? So why don't they show more commercials, or charge more for the service?

The reason there are commercials is it allows them to offer the service for less money and most people don't care.

Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by JoshTriplett on Monday January 23, 2017 @02:07AM (#13460420)
> Really? So why don't they show more commercials, or charge more for the service?

Because there's a balance where doing more would lead to much more immediate revenue loss. Few people would watch a channel with 20 minutes of commercials for every 10 minutes of show, but network TV has already demonstrated that people will watch shows with 8 minutes of commercials for every 22 minutes of show, especially if they don't have a good alternative. The loss of customers from such a move takes longer to show up in the bottom line, and it started before alternatives like Netflix existed.

> The reason there are commercials is it allows them to offer the service for less money and most people don't care.

They're not in the business of offering a specific fixed service for as little money as it takes to cover their costs; that logic would apply to a non-profit or co-op, not a for-profit company. For a for-profit company, lowering prices isn't an end, it's a means.

Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by gozur88 on Monday January 23, 2017 @03:39AM (#13460767)
>They're not in the business of offering a specific fixed service for as little money as it takes to cover their costs; that logic would apply to a non-profit or co-op, not a for-profit company. For a for-profit company, lowering prices isn't an end, it's a means.

Of course. There's nothing nefarious going on here. They're constrained by competition, the amount of advertising people will tolerate, and what their customers are willing to pay, but within those constraints they'll set up the business so that between commercials and the monthly fee they make the most money.

Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by TeMPOraL on Monday January 23, 2017 @06:44AM (#13461500)
And so circling back to the original question:

> Why can't they just charge tv subscribers the whole amount and get rid of ads on tv?

It's because doing that would mean artificially constraining their own business when they don't have to do that. So why would they?

Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by ethbro on Monday January 23, 2017 @07:59AM (#13461857)
Hypothetically, because they've reached a local maxima. And they recognize that their customers like their current product.

As the article itself notes, few people buy a subscription service for one or two shows.

If Netflix can continue to bid high enough to starve its competitors of high-quality content (because it can amortize its costs over a larger subscriber base), then no competitor can grow large enough to compete without running substantial initial deficits (which Netflix can make temporarily worse if they choose to, by overpaying for content and driving prices up).

So essentially, lack of competition.

Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by hvidgaard on Monday January 23, 2017 @02:38AM (#13460545)
The goal is to maximize profits. If they show commercials for 30 min every hour, they lose subscribers and devaluate the commercial slots.

Somewhere is the optimal balance, where they have lots of subscribers, and show just the right amount of commercials to prevent people from leaving, and thus maximize the value of the ad slots.

Personally, I don't pay for anything with commercials. I just don't want to pay to be fed ads. Instead I pay for streaming services and movies. But if they want to sell me premium channels without commercials, I'll consider it.

Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by vostok on Monday January 23, 2017 @04:16AM (#13460918)
How do you feel about paying for content with product placement or native advertisements?
Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by hvidgaard on Monday January 23, 2017 @05:03AM (#13461088)
Far less reluctant. Product placement, is so obvious anyway, but the alternative is some fictional name/logo. It doesn't detract from my experience, so I'm okay with it (for now).
Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by TeMPOraL on Monday January 23, 2017 @06:45AM (#13461504)
As long as it's not something utterly absurd - like that Nokia tune in J.J. Abrams' (bastardization of) Star Trek.
Re:Netflix Earnings Are Driven by Investment in Original Con... by JoshTriplett on Monday January 23, 2017 @04:29PM (#13466216)
Subtle product placement ("we need a product here anyway, do you want it to be yours or your competitors") seems completely fine to me. If the script calls for them to drive a car or drink a soda, and nothing in the plot depends on the details, then why not?

As for "native advertisements": it really depends on genuineness, and disclosure.