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Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by pdx on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:02PM (#13427924)
This youtube channel has a lot of videos by scientists regarding global warming.

https://www.youtube.com/user/1000frolly/videos?sort=p&shelf_...

One video that HN readers may enjoy, given it's mathematical nature is a talk given by Dr. Murry Salby https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sGZqWMEpyUM

I hope you'll actually at least watch the one by Dr. Salby to perhaps see why some of us are not as convinced as the rest of us about this issue.

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by username223 on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:14PM (#13428045)
Who is Murry Salby? Wikipedia to the rescue:

> From the mid 1980s, Salby conducted research out of University of Colorado Boulder. In 2005, the National Science Foundation opened an investigation into Salby's federal funding arrangements and found that he had displayed "a pattern of deception [and] a lack of integrity" in his handling of federal grant money... In 2013 he was dismissed by [Macquarie University] on grounds of refusal to teach and misuse of university resources.

  - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murry_Salby
It gives one pause.
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by saycheese on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:20PM (#13428122)
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by mattlevan on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @01:10PM (#13428641)
To be fair, though, even if he had displayed a "pattern of deception [and] a lack of integrity" in his handling of federal grant money is not a valid argument against his climate science.
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by mikestew on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @02:20PM (#13429412)
It's reason enough. The scientist has demonstrated that he is deceptive and not trustworthy. I'm not going to sift through the bullshit to find a nugget of truth when I've got better sources with which to work.
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by username223 on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @02:02PM (#13429244)
He did it twice! After getting kicked out of a top-tier university, he got a job at some obscure place, then got kicked out of that. Maybe he's a genius who sees things that 99% of climate scientists don't see, but can't follow basic institutional rules. I'll remain skeptical.
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by epistasis on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @01:37PM (#13428966)
But it is a reason to disbelieve any of his claims and any data that he has generated. The logic can be trusted if one can go back to other data generators.

At that point, what purpose does he serve as a scientist? Are you going to go check all his citations and make sure that he's not misapplying them?

There is also great reason to doubt his science:

https://www.skepticalscience.com/Murry-Salby-CO2-rise-natura...

As those are pretty basic errors to be making. Basically he's a total mess.

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by epistasis on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:11PM (#13428026)
Curious about an appeal to the authority of this "Dr. Salby," I went to his Wikipedia page:

>In 2005, the National Science Foundation opened an investigation into Salby's federal funding arrangements and found that he had displayed "a pattern of deception [and] a lack of integrity" in his handling of federal grant money.[2] He resigned his position in Colorado in 2008 and became professor of climate risk at Macquarie University in Macquarie Park, New South Wales. In 2013 he was dismissed by the university on grounds of refusal to teach and misuse of university resources.[3]

He is unconvincing as an authority on the subject due to his ethical issues. As far as presenting an actual argument, let's see it as traditional scientific papers rather than a collection of YouTube videos, hmm?

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by Robi395 on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:20PM (#13428124)
While this guy does have a shady past, It would be better to shown why his data or logic is false/inaccurate; and not base argument against him on his résumé, if only to better educate people watching the video.
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by epistasis on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:36PM (#13428308)
My question is why are we even bothering with a guy with a shady past instead of starting with those more reputable people that are much less likely to be intentionally deceiving us? Why give this guy any consideration until we've exhausted learning about the ideas that have been vetted and passed muster? Why start with somebody that is a charlatan in part?
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by Robi395 on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:45PM (#13428408)
I completely agree with you on such matter, but I don't need any convincing. From the point of view of a guy who does not believe in climate change, saying that Dr. Murry Salby should no be trusted might actually have the opposite effect, and present this Dr. as a person fighting against all odds for the truth.
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by Oletros on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:25PM (#13428183)
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by Robi395 on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:31PM (#13428249)
I quickly glanced over the post, it looks great. This kind of rebuttal is more convincing to a misinformed audience than saying, "the guy is bad". On the other hand, the frustration from people continuously spreading scientifically wrong ideas is understandable.
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by pdx on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:16PM (#13428076)
Why don't you watch the lecture, hmmm? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sGZqWMEpyUM

Nobody "appealed to authority". I only gave you his name. You, however, spent 2 minutes to dig up some dirt on the internet, in a desperate attempt to discredit without actually looking at his argument.

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by Oletros on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:26PM (#13428198)
When a channel is almost composed of "lectures" from "scientists" in the International Conference on Climate Change[0] it says all that is is needed to know about the channel

> The International Conference on Climate Change is a conference series organized and sponsored by The Heartland Institute which aims to bring together global warming skeptics who "dispute that the science is settled on the causes, consequences, and policy implications of climate change."

[0]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Conference_on_Cl...

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by martythemaniak on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:09PM (#13428006)
Indeed. Much more eloquently put by our great leader:

  The whole age of computer has made it where nobody knows exactly what is going on.
- President Trump
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by marcosdumay on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @01:10PM (#13428639)
Somehow, he is right.

And he must be really upset, because that is replacing an age where everybody was completely sure about anything that powerful people (like him) wanted them to be.

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by harwoodleon on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @01:30PM (#13428868)
Unfortunately, there is no consensus algorithm to prove him wrong on this point.

Upset? I think he's doing just fine btw.

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by deadcast on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:14PM (#13428052)
Please keep your conspiracy theory propaganda off of HN. You're a danger to the world we live in. Ty.
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by tomca32 on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:51PM (#13428456)
I don't think this kind of response is useful.

Haven't we learned that dismissing or insulting people isn't going to change their opinions but rather just push more people over to their side?

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by epistasis on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @01:13PM (#13428668)
It's tough to come up with the most useful response to what happened here. With time, I've come to see deadcast's response as one of the more useful. It's accurate, and honest, but you have to read a ton of pdx's comments and familiarize yourself with the science in order to realize it's true.

People just casually reading through might be turned off by it, but looking at any of the data will prove deadcast to be right.

People can believe in crazy conspiracy theories in one part of their life and be perfectly normal in the rest of their life, so it's not a universal condemnation of the poster. But it's a huge waste of time for anybody to watch those YouTube videos unless they make a study of conspiracy theories or the art of deception or scientific cranks themselves. So in that regard, saving 90 minutes of a persons life is a kindness.

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by tomca32 on Thursday January 19, 2017 @12:13PM (#13437377)
You might be right about people who believe in crazy conspiracy theories. Usually, if anybody gets really fanatical about some cause, there's nothing you can do to change their mind.

However, by being aggressive and dismissive, we are insulting people that are on the fence, as well as the opposition. They will feel stupid and will see the other side as being more reasonable and accommodating. That is why I say that this kind of comment is not useful. It's actively pushing people in the center towards the other side.

EDIT: Accidentally posted without finishing typing the comment.

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by golergka on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:29PM (#13428232)
Wow, this is a quite serious accusation to be throwing around like that. Can you back it up?
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by pdx on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:25PM (#13428190)
Why don't you want HN readers to watch the video at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sGZqWMEpyUM

This is a scientific lecture, given by a professor. I found it very interesting. Why does it threaten you so much?

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by polotics on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:37PM (#13428325)
Hello pdx.

You wrote: "Why does it threaten you so much?"

This is a classic aggressive move, no-one has claimed being threatened, they have instead pointed out useful information about this obvious fraud.

As you have been on HN indeed a while, may I ask you that you justify this "Why does it threaten you so much?", or go away?

Thank You

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by r_smart on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:51PM (#13428455)
The person he replied to wrote:

|You're a danger to the world we live in.

The above person is saying he threatens the world, and as a resident of such world, is also being threatened.

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by Gargoyle on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:47PM (#13428429)
"You're a danger to the world we live in." is not pointing out useful information.
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by pdx on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:47PM (#13428428)
You don't need to say "I feel threatened". Who the hell says "I feel threatened"? The fact that there is so much anger and gnashing of teeth is evidence that a worldview that does not include AGW must be viciously and immediately attacked. I find that fascinating.
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by plus on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:53PM (#13428487)
By "I find that fascinating," do you mean "I interpret that as meaning people who believe in anthropogenic global climate change are closed minded and unwilling to entertain opposing viewpoints"? Because if so, that's not at all what's happening here. What's happening is that people are unwilling to devote an hour of their time to an untrustworthy actor peddling a viewpoint that is heavily pushed by those who have the most to lose from a global switch away from fossil fuels. There are so many reasons not to bother watching this video, and the best reason you can come up with is "it's interesting".
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by umanwizard on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @01:22PM (#13428776)
People feel threatened because people like you are the reason our planet may well be unable to support global civilization in the near future.
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by Oletros on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:52PM (#13428470)
Anger? No, just tired of the same old debunked denyalist bullshit claims
[dead]
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by c0nducktr on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:37PM (#13428311)
Hey now, reddit doesn't need any more people like this either...
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by sverige on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @01:14PM (#13428677)
Why are people still using the appeal to the present year as though it were an argument? It's 2017!
[dead]
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by epistasis on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:55PM (#13428498)
This is a technical matter, not a political one. Your mention of Al Gore makes me think that for you, it's a political battle and not a technical or scientific matter.

There are now two very good reasons not to watch the video: 1) the lecture is by a dishonest man and we are being asked to trust that his models and judgement are accurate, and 2) it's most likely that the video was posted for a political agenda and not scientific or technical edification.

An "echo chamber" when it comes to science usually means that things have been mostly figured out correctly. An "echo chamber" for political discussions is where it could be considered a bad thing.

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by pdx on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @01:21PM (#13428755)
Echo chambers are bad for science as well as for politics. It means that nobody is thinking anymore, they are just regurgitating a memorized response.

On the matter of AGW, we have the situation where the science is not separate from politics because there is a strong push by many people to use the power of the state to impose changes on people and companies in the name of AGW mitigation.

The fact that there are huge amounts of money that could flow into the coffers of heavily debt burdened western governments should make you pause a little to consider how this money may bias the science.

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by epistasis on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @01:24PM (#13428798)
That's complete BS. As a scientist, I see rigorous arguments change into echo chambers all the time, because people collect more data and ideas and theories solidify. It's not dangerous, it's progress.
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by Oletros on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:40PM (#13428352)
Al Gore? I didn't knew he was an scientist.

Perhaps people here reads what actual climate scientists say and doesn't talk about Gore

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by orf on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:46PM (#13428421)
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by padseeker on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:50PM (#13428450)
I'll consider your request after you consider reading the 99%+ of the content supporting the science based community that advocates that global warming is happening and is the result of human activity. Then we'll talk.
Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by pdx on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @01:32PM (#13428907)
Done and Done! Let's talk.

There is a body of evidence that correlates CO2 to Temperature. Where I think this falls down is the causality.

There is evidence that CO2 is caused by higher temperatures, rather than is the cause of them. We see lags of a thousand years in ice core samples, where temperature goes up, and 500 to 1000 years later, CO2 goes up. This is waved away as "due to solar variability", but when solar variability is used by non AGW proponents, they are ridiculed. This is obviously cherry picking of data.

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by yongjik on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @04:10PM (#13430306)
This is a common misconception, so maybe it warrants explanation.

Imagine there are two large reservoirs, connected via a narrow pipe. One is CO2. Another is Temperature. The pipe represents feedback mechanism, when one becomes higher, that also causes the other to go up. (Obviously the real Earth is much more complicated, but you get the idea.)

Now imagine that the Temperature lake slowly gets more water. (Say, the sun becomes slightly brighter, or a continent drift away, reducing the amount of glaciers reflecting sunlight.) As the temperature goes up, CO2 starts to follow, lagging behind. Which also makes the temperature goes up even further, but not as much as the initial change. Eventually it stabilizes.

(Obviously, if the feedback coefficient is >1.0, we'll be Venus now. Thank god.)

Now imagine someone suddenly dumps a lot of water in the CO2 lake, causing its level to jump up instantly. What do you think will happen?

> ...when solar variability is used by non AGW proponents, they are ridiculed.

Well, yeah, duh, when we can exactly measure the solar irradiation and it's trending downhill right now, anyone using that to explain away AGW would be ridiculed. What did you expect?

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by padseeker on Thursday January 19, 2017 @11:16AM (#13436891)
Fact #1 Greenhouse gases are those that absorb and emit infrared radiation in the wavelength range emitted by Earth. Carbon Dioxide is a greenhouse gas.

Fact #2 Fossil fuels emit carbon dioxide - roughly 40 billion tons of CO2 was released into the atmosphere in 2014.

Fact #3 The quantity of Carbon Dioxide in the atmosphere has been steadily increasing in the atmosphere - It was roughly 320 PPM (Parts Per Million) around 1960, and currently over 400 PPM

Fact #4 The temperature of Earth has been steadily climbing

Which one of these facts do you take issue with?

Re:Earth Sets a Temperature Record for the Third Straight Year by DoodleBuggy on Wednesday January 18, 2017 @12:21PM (#13428143)
I have the same feeling towards gravity!