That's a really interesting point. I wonder if we'll see utility companies get into bitcoin mining as a way of profiting from their excess capacity during non-peak times.
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/24/technology/data-centers-in...
Then came a showdown late last year between the utility and Microsoft, whose hardball tactics shocked some local officials.
In an attempt to erase a $210,000 penalty the utility said the company owed for overestimating its power use, Microsoft proceeded to simply waste millions of watts of electricity, records show.
If a customer moves in and says "oh yeah, I'm gonna need an average of 100 MW 24/7 for the next 20 years" and then turns out to only use half that, the utility is now short a bunch of a money that it spent upgrading its distribution infrastructure for that customer's supposed needs.
And, the utility put Microsoft in the position of wasting $70,000 of power or paying a $210,000 fine.
Exactly what did they EXPECT was going to happen?
As much as I like to slag Microsoft, any rational human being is going to react that way when presented with those incentives.
There is a reason cex.io / ghash.io (the biggest mining pool) contracted out their hash power to other suckers (err I mean buyers) instead of mining themselves.
It might still make sense for some people even when the margins are small
Ultimately (and not long from now if these rates of adjustment continue), mining will be a commodity business with a very small profit margin. When you consider that there are uses for low grade heat (like home and office heating), once the ASICs catch up with Moore's law, it seems likely that the profitability will be slightly negative for someone trying to run this kind of business. (As another reason, there will probably be people who have access to basically free electricity that would have been wasted, and just need to amortize the cost of the ASICS).
However, because mining is a zero sum game, we can conclude that the profitability of mining was very high at the time of the making of this video, or else the margins wouldn't have been able to drop as much as they did. This says that a rational large investor would choose to put their money into mining rather than directly buying bitcoins, if they were interested in getting into this space. That's probably why the price has been falling since the peak early last year.