Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by Symbol on Sunday March 31, 2013 @11:03AM
(#5468805)
I've been thinking a lot about radio as I've watched my hometown market of Boston - once vibrant and varied - consolidate under the big boys.
One path forward is to swing the pendulum the other way: offer hyper localized, focused content relevant to the geography. As a lover of rock music, a station that plays emerging artists from Allston and Berkeley School of Music would have me over the moon. College radio does this to an extent, but they still have to contend with crippling costs.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by quesera on Sunday March 31, 2013 @09:11PM
(#5470921)
It's actually not that expensive to run a radio station. Especially one staffed by volunteers and operating a (relatively) low-power transmitter, in the range of a few hundred or a thousand watts. Far less expensive than streaming to even a tiny fraction of the potential audience of any mid sized MSA.
Even commercial stations are not big business. That's why consolidation has been so successful -- no one was making enough money to hold back the tide. Economies of scale, etc.
But Boston has the absolute best college radio options in the country and probably the world, and each of the five or six excellent stations runs a local music show. They're not always conveniently scheduled, but that's an inescapable problem with broadcast media.
None of these operations would survive in a commercial context, and they'd be even less likely to if they were hyperlocalized. The audience is there but the market is not.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by mikeash on Sunday March 31, 2013 @11:49AM
(#5468975)
I personally like the radio setup sometimes, where the playlist is determined by someone with their own tastes and with a reasonably broad audience. However, even wanting that, I'd still just pull up a stream on my phone rather than use traditional radio to hear it.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by fudged71 on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:15PM
(#5469057)
I'm lazy. While my phone has music on it, I haven't built playlists to curate my likes and such. Both of my cars have inadequate means of taking my phone music through the car speakers. Radio is almost my only option. It can get repetitive but I like that I can get news and local opinions between songs.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by mikeash on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:21PM
(#5469089)
I couldn't get my phone to hook up to my car radio very nicely, because my car was built in the in-between years where it no longer had a tape player, but was too early for ubiquitous aux-in ports. So it has a CD player and a radio, and that's it. FM transmitters suck.
If you're in the same boat, then here's the secret: FM modulators are great. These are the same basic concept as an FM transmitter, except instead of trying to pick up a foolishly low-power station with your radio antenna, it's a direct hard-wired connection from the modulator to your radio's antenna port. Quality is very good (not as good as a CD, but as good as the best FM radio station you'll ever hear) and there's no chance of any interference because it never picks up external signals. Installation can take some work, but it's well worth it.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by fudged71 on Sunday March 31, 2013 @07:37PM
(#5470645)
I've had this damn thing bookmarked for a couple months now and I haven't bought it yet http://dx.com/p/ultra-thin-bluetooth-v2-0-music-receiver-for... One of my vehicles is similar to yours, stuck in an awkward period where Aux ports weren't acceptable, tape players were too old, and the only input other than CD was the first-generation iOS port. Yes, an ancient 2009 model of car that already has an outdated port for fricken audio. What a mess.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by mikeash on Sunday March 31, 2013 @08:55PM
(#5470871)
At least you have that iOS port! My 2005 car doesn't even have that, just CD and radio. Made me wish somebody made a dummy CD you put in that would work like those dummy tapes with a headphone jack. Probably way too hard to build such a thing, though. The modulator works nicely after going through the hassle of installing it, at least.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by mikeash on Sunday March 31, 2013 @01:18PM
(#5469330)
Where do you live? My (limited) experience has been that they can be OK away from big cities, but that finding a free frequency in urban areas is really tough. They put out enough power to work when that's all there is on the frequency, but even tiny amounts of external signal on the same frequency make it go to crap.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by mikeash on Sunday March 31, 2013 @08:54PM
(#5470869)
Most of my driving is in and around DC, so it's no good there. The modulator works great, though. No antenna involved, so no interference! Well worth the work to install.
Rhoads: "But if I own a radio station and I've got a lot of money invested in transmitters, or HD Radio or otherwise, and everything's gonna go to IP and you'rre gonna pull that AM and FM receiver to save twelve cents out of each car, I want to know it. Do you think that's likely to happen?"
Koslowski: "Absolutely. I think you will see that happening."
Rhoads: "When will that happen?"
Koslowski: "That will not happen over the next five to ten years, but past that absolutely."
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by bluedino on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:31PM
(#5469125)
I never understood the love for XM. I'd get a year, then 6 months, and now just a short 3 months whenever I'd buy a new car. I liked the variety of news and talk channels. I loved the fact that I could drive down the highway, across 4 states and never have to search for a station.
The reception stinks, a lot like satellite TV. Going under a bridge? Radio goes out. On the north side of a large building? No radio. In the drive-through at Starbucks or a bank? No radio. And the worst offender, driving east/west with a large amount of trees on the south side of the road? No radio. C'mon.
I only listened to about 6 of the music channels, they have a lot of variety, but I only like certain kinds of music. The sound quality is terrible. I'm no audiophile but whatever they do to fit that many channels on their service makes for horrible sound. Plus, the channels I listened to don't have that many songs in rotation. Gets very repetitive.
The XM people are also very resistant to you canceling. They'll offer the service at a 50%, then 70% discount just to keep you to say. My girlfriend has had service for years for like $3 a month. I don't like having to remember to call in and cancel every 6 months so I don't even subscribe at the discount.
I've gone back to terrestrial radio. I only have a 15 minute commute now, and don't drive a lot other than that. The local FM radio stations have mediocre on-air talent and play just as repetitive mixes of music. I don't mind the commercials as much, we're the midwest so for a lot of events that's the only way word gets out about them. And I've found a lot of news/talk on the AM stations.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by simmons on Sunday March 31, 2013 @01:34PM
(#5469391)
I had XM radio for a number of years, when it was cheaper and I had a discounted plan. I actually had great luck with reception, except in extreme geographies like the Columbia River Gorge. I like taking road trips, and it was awesome to have good radio in the middle of nowhere.
However, I canceled when my prepaid discount plan ran out, because it was more expensive than it used to be. ($12 at the time... $14.49/mo now, yeesh!) Also, they had to drop some of the channels I liked to make room for Canadian channels when they expanded into Canada. :/ I tried it out again recently in a rental car, and was disappointed that all the news stations seemed to be trashy sensationalist garbage.
For me, the way to go these days is to just have a phone full of podcasts.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by kickingvegas on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:28PM
(#5469115)
I found about about this article a month ago from a radio station manager that I know, which compelled me to write two blog posts for non-technical people involved in radio. The elephant in the room which the OP falls short of addressing is whether Internet access is so prevalent that it needs to be considered a public good. This relates to the argument (noted earlier here on HN and many places elsewhere) on the issues of private ownership and control of the Internet.
Here they are, with 2nd post addressing the OP listed first. For those about to nit about my technical definitions, please read my first post to understand the simplifications I've made.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by dageshi on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:54PM
(#5469223)
I'd have thought that assuming you've got any kind of sound system in a car, tacking on an fm receiver is trivial/extremely inexpensive. With that in mind it doesn't seem like there would be much benefit in actually removing it. It'll probably live on the same chip as your internet comms stack a bit like mobile phones.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by unlucky on Sunday March 31, 2013 @01:15PM
(#5469322)
"...these big radio advertisers want cars to have online radio only so they'll be able to measure their advertising reach precisely, rather than relying on estimates."
The difficulty or expense is not the issue here. This is purely an advertising decision.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by gnosis on Sunday March 31, 2013 @11:02AM
(#5468802)
Main point:
"AM and FM are being eliminated from the dash of two car companies within two years and will be eliminated from the dash of all cars within five years."
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by Systemic33 on Sunday March 31, 2013 @11:42AM
(#5468945)
Seems absurd to remove radio support, even todays cellphones have a radio, why should car companies just rip it out to save maybe 1 cubic centimetre of space?!
This is just GM shooting themselves in the foot again.
IMO, government should not have bailed them out, when you screw up your business, it should have consequences.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by lutusp on Sunday March 31, 2013 @01:19PM
(#5469334)
Most of this conversation suffers from tunnel vision. What we're talking about is mass content delivery, nothing less. It was once done with large, expensive, unreliable AM radio transmitters, then FM transmitters, now it's more efficiently done with digital data streams, from any convenient source -- a nearly WiFi hub, a distant satellite, a laser beam, a wire.
People want their data, for entertainment, education, work. How it gets delivered is secondary, except to say the most efficient way is to be preferred. So given that, how is it in any way surprising that car companies would consider removing a fossil from the dashboard?
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by adventured on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:49PM
(#5469200)
This:
"Safety is a giant concern. AM and FM radio stays available when the power goes down. Cell towers and the Internet do not."
I own radio stations, and that's one of the dumbest things I've ever read about the business. Having suffered through countless extreme winter storms and electrical events, AM and FM radio DO NOT inherently stay available when the power goes down. We have generators at the tower sites and the office, but that can be done at cell towers and elsewhere, there's no magic to AM / FM. Generators do not run forever, and they don't always kick on perfectly. Completely bogus claim on the authors part.
In fact, frankly, more than a few times it was extremely difficult to keep our stations on the air during severe storms (hello physical, outdoors receivers - both at the towers and the office, hello ice and wind and snow), and meanwhile I was able to use my smart phone for Internet access.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by knowtheory on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:54PM
(#5469227)
Right, but radio is considerably more scalable than cell phone towers. Cell phone networks congest in a manner which radio cannot. And when natural disasters occur, you end up with two things compound to incapacitate cell networks. First damaging physical infrastructure, and second a spike in demand. With cell phone towers out of the network, the increased load is left to whatever remaining towers are available to carry the increase.
A crowd can accidentally DDoS a cell phone network. They can't DDoS a radio station.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by adventured on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:59PM
(#5469249)
Sure, and maniacs can cut the guy-wires on radio towers, I've seen it happen on more than one occasion over the last 20 years.
With radio - regarding natural disasters - you typically have at most one tower per frequency. Often networks will combine their broadcasts onto one tower, aka one point of failure. There's nothing special that keeps a natural disaster from taking that tower out, versus a cell tower.
The counter argument is that cell towers tend to be highly distributed and numerous - even in a bad scenario, drive 5 minutes and you'll probably get another cell tower, and then another, and then another (partially true for radio, but you're going to jump stations doing that, and the Internet will remain up even if you can't access it at one specific tower, ie cnn.com remains up in an earthquake or blizzard).
Most radio stations are small to medium operations, even those owned by Clear Channel (they operate locally, mostly on their own budget, and have local equipment). So regardless of if eg Clear Channel owns the station in question, if you pack enough ice onto its tower, the hardware on it is going to be damaged, ditto for wind. For mom & pop stations, of which there are a huge number, the cost and infrastructure difficulties under that scenario are terrible.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by knowtheory on Sunday March 31, 2013 @01:07PM
(#5469289)
Right, i'm not claiming that radio towers are impregnable.
I would still argue that they've got a better track record for fault tolerance than cell phone networks, which are also limited in reach to begin with.
Also regardless of major natural disasters, such as Hurricane Katrina, there are piles of smaller less predictable phenomena, such as tornados, flooding, blizzards, and wild fires for which radio is a more effective medium for reaching people.
There's still no suitable equivalent for the emergency broadcast system for cell phones, and even if there was, I'd be hesitant to stake my life on it in non-urban areas across the US (which is, lets face it, a big part of the country).
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by adventured on Sunday March 31, 2013 @01:14PM
(#5469316)
I would agree that radio towers do have a much better record, but there's a reason for that: cell towers use a distributed model that allows for a higher individual tower failure rate, radio towers use a single tower point of failure model. So there was never any other choice for radio towers but to maximize uptime, otherwise there's no radio business the last 60 years.
And the cell tower business is a whole lot younger than the radio tower business. Time is eroding the uptime edge radio has possessed as cell towers proliferate and get better.
And regarding local disasters. I always thought local events / local news / local weather etc would be the saving grace for most radio stations, the competitive advantage that Pandora could never take away. I no longer believe that to be the case so much. The threat is more Facebook, and other services, than Pandora. As people are all now connected on Facebook, and constantly share local news and events. I believe that may nuke the radio business the same way Craigslist nuked newspapers on classifieds (and not just Facebook, it's one example of a trend in new ways to distribute local events).
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by hluska on Sunday March 31, 2013 @01:20PM
(#5469342)
That was a great comment and I'm sorry to latch onto one detail, but people actually intentionally cut guy-wires???? I'm hardly ever rendered speechless, but that's just too baffling for words...
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by adventured on Sunday March 31, 2013 @01:37PM
(#5469402)
Yeah it happens occasionally (it's rare on an individual tower basis mind you, but I know of several instances over 20 to 25 years in the mid east coast region). And for every time it actually happens, there's two or three times more threats from some crazy person that they're going to do it. This kind of stuff seems to have increasingly died down over the last 15 years (I assume due to radio losing its center of focus, radio isn't as local as it used to be now that almost everybody uses services like JACK FM or Dial Global or the former Westwood One etc etc).
Towers are often isolated, a long distance from people (ideally at high'ish elevations of course).
So someone with a grudge, maniacs, whatever, can pretty easily sneak up to most towers and cut a guy wire. It's not difficult to topple most radio towers. And it's not very difficult to get away with it, given the isolated nature of most towers; you're also not going to likely kill anybody doing it (except maybe yourself).
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by mikeash on Sunday March 31, 2013 @08:57PM
(#5470874)
How much money is involved in repairing or replacing the tower and the equipment on it when something like that happens? It sounds like an expensive hit to take, but I don't have a good concept of what this stuff costs.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by Shivetya on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:22PM
(#5469093)
I highly doubt that they would eliminate AM/FM radios from cars. I can see CDs leaving because they take a lot of space within the dash that could be better used, let alone the fact they have a moving part.
The circuitry needed to support radio isn't much and would most likely be integrated with other services into a simple chip set. Plus lets be frank, the youth today who don't find radio "hip" or whatnot aren't usually in position to buy new cars.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by mikeash on Sunday March 31, 2013 @11:48AM
(#5468967)
The only thing I use my car radio for anymore is to play audio from my iPhone. I'll use the phone to play streams of local radio stations, even, because it's just more convenient, even though the radio can pick them up directly.
The article takes a bizarrely alarmist tone at the end. Yes, I'm sure there are people out there who will still want a radio in their cars, whether it's people who want to be prepared for disasters, or live in areas with terrible cell coverage, or whatever. Those people can easily buy a standalone radio that plugs into their car's auxiliary input port. The author appears to think that a car which ships without a radio can never be altered to have one, which is just bizarre.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by knowtheory on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:19PM
(#5469080)
Bizarrely alarmist? How do you figure? The author clearly does have a POV and advocates for it strongly, but nothing he says within the post is alarmist.
A panel of spokescritters from the automotive industry have said that the decision to remove radios from cars has been made and is being rolled out.
He thinks that this is a disaster for the radio industry, and also has ramifications for public safety vis-รก-vis broadcast infrastructures superior accessibility when compared to wired technologies such as cell phone towers and wired phone lines (citing Katrina and Sandy).
I'm sympathetic to the issue of public safety as there are a whole pile of circumstances where Americans may be unprepared with their own radio where it is useful to be able to assume that they can tune in for broadcasts.
The the south is afflicted with hurricanes, the midwest and north east get hit by blizzards, the south west by wild fires. Some of these events are sudden in onset as well as unpredictable in nature.
The weird part here is that we're not even talking about removing the stereo system but just the radio components. The cost/benefit analysis on the inclusion of a radio receiver must have been really freaking weird.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by lukeschlather on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:44PM
(#5469187)
I think the safety concern is valid, but it's more a wakeup call for the government than for people getting rid of radios. The new text messaging alerts system needs to be built as robustly as our radio alerts. Given the low bandwidth needed for text messaging, it's likely that this goal is not only workable but will result in a more robust system as the end result.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by knowtheory on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:51PM
(#5469212)
Maybe people just don't understand how radio and cell phones work?
Cell phones need scores of towers and fiber running to towers in order to connect to a telephone network. You have a network of them. Disrupting either the physical towers or the cabling that connects them incapacitates that part of the network. Worse yet, the more towers drop, the higher the network congestion gets (which can further jam whatever nodes are still up and available).
Radio has a gigantic broadcast tower (or maybe some repeaters too), that blasts electromagnetic waves across a large region, and, so long as you have power and your tower is intact, you can reach every radio in your listening area.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by mikeash on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:28PM
(#5469113)
I find "Safety is a giant concern" to be alarmist. I don't see that it's a major concern. People will be unprepared with standalone radios, sure, but people will be unprepared in all sorts of different ways, and "we'll bolt a radio receiver into every car" is an extremely bizarre way to force people to be prepared. If one really thinks that car ownership should confer radio ownership, bundle a cheap portable radio with every car. Bonus: it's not bolted to the car and can be used when disaster strikes and you're not on wheels!
People will adapt. The car radio was not designed as a safety device, nor does it serve as a particularly good one. It takes on that function somewhat by default, and occasionally does OK, but it's not nearly as important as he makes it out to be, and I doubt that wide-scale removal will have any noticeable impact here. To the extent that it's needed for mass communication, other techniques will be found. The mass text messages sent for Sandy are probably a good model there.
As far as the cost/benefit analysis, I imagine the radio costs in the neighborhood of $5-10 per car compared to not having one. I'd guess that the major expense is the cabling and routing for the antenna, rather than the actual receiver electronics. This is not a lot, but if people don't care, they might as well save the money. It makes more sense when you realize that there are literally a thousand ways to spend $5 to improve a car, but if you did them all, you'd end up with a car that cost $5,000 more.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by knowtheory on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:39PM
(#5469161)
Do you want personal anecdotes? In the era before smart phones I'd definitely wandered into circumstances where the radio was what alerted me to tornado sightings in a state i was unfamiliar with on a long drive.
I would not have thought to bring a stand alone radio in the car that i was borrowing from a family member on that drive. Even in the modern era, it's not hard to believe that someone might have forgotten their charging cable for their phone and allowed it to run down, or a whole myriad list of reasons why a phone may be operating.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by mikeash on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:56PM
(#5469244)
Those are good reasons to think about general emergency communication, but bad reasons to keep building antiquated AM/FM radio tuners into every single new car. There have to be better ways.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by knowtheory on Sunday March 31, 2013 @01:01PM
(#5469261)
That's what i'm saying. AM/FM is not antiquated, and there is no suitable replacement for broadcast technology.
The business model is fucked for a pile of reasons, but when we're talking about reaching large numbers of people in a relatively fault tolerant way, there is no competition to broadcast.
Re:A Cold, Harsh Reality for Radio
by mikeash on Sunday March 31, 2013 @12:19PM
(#5469076)
Surgery? A car without a radio is going to have an aux-in port. Spend $20 on a portable AM/FM radio, spend another $10 on a cigarette lighter power adapter for it, and done. The "surgery" required to install consists of plugging four things into their respective ports (two ends each of power adapter and audio cable).
Even commercial stations are not big business. That's why consolidation has been so successful -- no one was making enough money to hold back the tide. Economies of scale, etc.
But Boston has the absolute best college radio options in the country and probably the world, and each of the five or six excellent stations runs a local music show. They're not always conveniently scheduled, but that's an inescapable problem with broadcast media.
None of these operations would survive in a commercial context, and they'd be even less likely to if they were hyperlocalized. The audience is there but the market is not.
If you're in the same boat, then here's the secret: FM modulators are great. These are the same basic concept as an FM transmitter, except instead of trying to pick up a foolishly low-power station with your radio antenna, it's a direct hard-wired connection from the modulator to your radio's antenna port. Quality is very good (not as good as a CD, but as good as the best FM radio station you'll ever hear) and there's no chance of any interference because it never picks up external signals. Installation can take some work, but it's well worth it.
YMMV, I have a cheap COBY FM Transmitter[1] and it's amazing in my little 2002 Civic XL.
http://www.cobyusa.com/files/hi_res/CA745_HR.jpg
http://ericrhoads.blogs.com/ink_tank/2013/03/retraction-the-...
The actual conversation read:
Rhoads: "But if I own a radio station and I've got a lot of money invested in transmitters, or HD Radio or otherwise, and everything's gonna go to IP and you'rre gonna pull that AM and FM receiver to save twelve cents out of each car, I want to know it. Do you think that's likely to happen?"
Koslowski: "Absolutely. I think you will see that happening."
Rhoads: "When will that happen?"
Koslowski: "That will not happen over the next five to ten years, but past that absolutely."
The reception stinks, a lot like satellite TV. Going under a bridge? Radio goes out. On the north side of a large building? No radio. In the drive-through at Starbucks or a bank? No radio. And the worst offender, driving east/west with a large amount of trees on the south side of the road? No radio. C'mon.
I only listened to about 6 of the music channels, they have a lot of variety, but I only like certain kinds of music. The sound quality is terrible. I'm no audiophile but whatever they do to fit that many channels on their service makes for horrible sound. Plus, the channels I listened to don't have that many songs in rotation. Gets very repetitive.
The XM people are also very resistant to you canceling. They'll offer the service at a 50%, then 70% discount just to keep you to say. My girlfriend has had service for years for like $3 a month. I don't like having to remember to call in and cancel every 6 months so I don't even subscribe at the discount.
I've gone back to terrestrial radio. I only have a 15 minute commute now, and don't drive a lot other than that. The local FM radio stations have mediocre on-air talent and play just as repetitive mixes of music. I don't mind the commercials as much, we're the midwest so for a lot of events that's the only way word gets out about them. And I've found a lot of news/talk on the AM stations.
However, I canceled when my prepaid discount plan ran out, because it was more expensive than it used to be. ($12 at the time... $14.49/mo now, yeesh!) Also, they had to drop some of the channels I liked to make room for Canadian channels when they expanded into Canada. :/ I tried it out again recently in a rental car, and was disappointed that all the news stations seemed to be trashy sensationalist garbage.
For me, the way to go these days is to just have a phone full of podcasts.
Here they are, with 2nd post addressing the OP listed first. For those about to nit about my technical definitions, please read my first post to understand the simplifications I've made.
http://yummymelon.com/devnull/digital-vs-analog-broadcasting...
http://yummymelon.com/devnull/digital-vs-analog-radio-broadc...
The difficulty or expense is not the issue here. This is purely an advertising decision.
"AM and FM are being eliminated from the dash of two car companies within two years and will be eliminated from the dash of all cars within five years."
Jalopnik points out that GM actually responded to the Radio Ink editorial to stated that GM has no plans to eliminate radios (see: http://www.radioink.com/Article.asp?id=2627785&spid=2469... ).
Additionally if someone was concerned that this was a process that's currently underway, GM has indicated that it is not.
That makes this a rather different (and considerably more academic) discussion. I'm surprised that nobody seems to care about this fact.
I thought it was bad when I was driving an '05 Subaru with one.
I wouldn't be surprised if it turned out that the consulting firm had a financial interest in spotify or rdio
People want their data, for entertainment, education, work. How it gets delivered is secondary, except to say the most efficient way is to be preferred. So given that, how is it in any way surprising that car companies would consider removing a fossil from the dashboard?
"Safety is a giant concern. AM and FM radio stays available when the power goes down. Cell towers and the Internet do not."
I own radio stations, and that's one of the dumbest things I've ever read about the business. Having suffered through countless extreme winter storms and electrical events, AM and FM radio DO NOT inherently stay available when the power goes down. We have generators at the tower sites and the office, but that can be done at cell towers and elsewhere, there's no magic to AM / FM. Generators do not run forever, and they don't always kick on perfectly. Completely bogus claim on the authors part.
In fact, frankly, more than a few times it was extremely difficult to keep our stations on the air during severe storms (hello physical, outdoors receivers - both at the towers and the office, hello ice and wind and snow), and meanwhile I was able to use my smart phone for Internet access.
A crowd can accidentally DDoS a cell phone network. They can't DDoS a radio station.
With radio - regarding natural disasters - you typically have at most one tower per frequency. Often networks will combine their broadcasts onto one tower, aka one point of failure. There's nothing special that keeps a natural disaster from taking that tower out, versus a cell tower.
The counter argument is that cell towers tend to be highly distributed and numerous - even in a bad scenario, drive 5 minutes and you'll probably get another cell tower, and then another, and then another (partially true for radio, but you're going to jump stations doing that, and the Internet will remain up even if you can't access it at one specific tower, ie cnn.com remains up in an earthquake or blizzard).
Most radio stations are small to medium operations, even those owned by Clear Channel (they operate locally, mostly on their own budget, and have local equipment). So regardless of if eg Clear Channel owns the station in question, if you pack enough ice onto its tower, the hardware on it is going to be damaged, ditto for wind. For mom & pop stations, of which there are a huge number, the cost and infrastructure difficulties under that scenario are terrible.
I would still argue that they've got a better track record for fault tolerance than cell phone networks, which are also limited in reach to begin with.
Also regardless of major natural disasters, such as Hurricane Katrina, there are piles of smaller less predictable phenomena, such as tornados, flooding, blizzards, and wild fires for which radio is a more effective medium for reaching people.
There's still no suitable equivalent for the emergency broadcast system for cell phones, and even if there was, I'd be hesitant to stake my life on it in non-urban areas across the US (which is, lets face it, a big part of the country).
And the cell tower business is a whole lot younger than the radio tower business. Time is eroding the uptime edge radio has possessed as cell towers proliferate and get better.
And regarding local disasters. I always thought local events / local news / local weather etc would be the saving grace for most radio stations, the competitive advantage that Pandora could never take away. I no longer believe that to be the case so much. The threat is more Facebook, and other services, than Pandora. As people are all now connected on Facebook, and constantly share local news and events. I believe that may nuke the radio business the same way Craigslist nuked newspapers on classifieds (and not just Facebook, it's one example of a trend in new ways to distribute local events).
Towers are often isolated, a long distance from people (ideally at high'ish elevations of course).
So someone with a grudge, maniacs, whatever, can pretty easily sneak up to most towers and cut a guy wire. It's not difficult to topple most radio towers. And it's not very difficult to get away with it, given the isolated nature of most towers; you're also not going to likely kill anybody doing it (except maybe yourself).
The circuitry needed to support radio isn't much and would most likely be integrated with other services into a simple chip set. Plus lets be frank, the youth today who don't find radio "hip" or whatnot aren't usually in position to buy new cars.
It's nice to allow omakase for music. I can't always spend time tuning a playlist.
The article takes a bizarrely alarmist tone at the end. Yes, I'm sure there are people out there who will still want a radio in their cars, whether it's people who want to be prepared for disasters, or live in areas with terrible cell coverage, or whatever. Those people can easily buy a standalone radio that plugs into their car's auxiliary input port. The author appears to think that a car which ships without a radio can never be altered to have one, which is just bizarre.
A panel of spokescritters from the automotive industry have said that the decision to remove radios from cars has been made and is being rolled out.
He thinks that this is a disaster for the radio industry, and also has ramifications for public safety vis-รก-vis broadcast infrastructures superior accessibility when compared to wired technologies such as cell phone towers and wired phone lines (citing Katrina and Sandy).
I'm sympathetic to the issue of public safety as there are a whole pile of circumstances where Americans may be unprepared with their own radio where it is useful to be able to assume that they can tune in for broadcasts.
The the south is afflicted with hurricanes, the midwest and north east get hit by blizzards, the south west by wild fires. Some of these events are sudden in onset as well as unpredictable in nature.
The weird part here is that we're not even talking about removing the stereo system but just the radio components. The cost/benefit analysis on the inclusion of a radio receiver must have been really freaking weird.
Cell phones need scores of towers and fiber running to towers in order to connect to a telephone network. You have a network of them. Disrupting either the physical towers or the cabling that connects them incapacitates that part of the network. Worse yet, the more towers drop, the higher the network congestion gets (which can further jam whatever nodes are still up and available).
Radio has a gigantic broadcast tower (or maybe some repeaters too), that blasts electromagnetic waves across a large region, and, so long as you have power and your tower is intact, you can reach every radio in your listening area.
People will adapt. The car radio was not designed as a safety device, nor does it serve as a particularly good one. It takes on that function somewhat by default, and occasionally does OK, but it's not nearly as important as he makes it out to be, and I doubt that wide-scale removal will have any noticeable impact here. To the extent that it's needed for mass communication, other techniques will be found. The mass text messages sent for Sandy are probably a good model there.
As far as the cost/benefit analysis, I imagine the radio costs in the neighborhood of $5-10 per car compared to not having one. I'd guess that the major expense is the cabling and routing for the antenna, rather than the actual receiver electronics. This is not a lot, but if people don't care, they might as well save the money. It makes more sense when you realize that there are literally a thousand ways to spend $5 to improve a car, but if you did them all, you'd end up with a car that cost $5,000 more.
I would not have thought to bring a stand alone radio in the car that i was borrowing from a family member on that drive. Even in the modern era, it's not hard to believe that someone might have forgotten their charging cable for their phone and allowed it to run down, or a whole myriad list of reasons why a phone may be operating.
The business model is fucked for a pile of reasons, but when we're talking about reaching large numbers of people in a relatively fault tolerant way, there is no competition to broadcast.
Well, the fact is, almost nobody ever would have that surgery done, so he's somewhat justified.