I agree 100%.
Now you can distinguish sufficiently simple ideas by means of slop, but accurately determining what will eventually mesh well with the wider world is still extremely difficult.
There's also a complexity ceiling. It's been raised but it's still there. For example it will presumably be a while yet before a feature complete project on the scale of LLVM can be quickly slopped together.
It's also cheaper than ever to clone a piece of software once someone else has done the hard work of figuring out the general shape it should take. So I'm not sure how viable services without strong network effects will be going forward.
I truly do not understand the mindset that defends the status quo and its ridiculously wealthy overlords. They're going to screw you anyway, it's the American way after all, but embracing AI toolchains and mastering them is a near sure thing path out of the poverty trap.
As a controversial example, somewhere out there is the Robert Rodriguez of AI filmmaking. And it's going to be amazing when they emerge. And oh the bellyaching that will ensue from the bottom of the film industry foodchain, but it will not change the outcome that people who master the tools now will be the next generation of overlords tomorrow, equally in need of overthrow by revolution when that day comes.
But it was instructive to watch him neg, criticize, and dismiss all of my own ideas that weren't in service of his vision thing, occasionally pivoting to deflecting any criticism of the potential for his own vision to succeed. This week I pitched my vision to my current employer. They loved it. Case closed. Ideas are cheap, it's executions that deliver value. And I have a superb record on that.
Conclusion: if you poke your head up for feedback now and then, there's nothing with spending most of your time in the cave to avoid the samsara of influencers, rage bait, and social media algorithms. Anyone telling you otherwise is 'sus.