LogicFailsMe

Good genes and he's always been a swimmer. He also apparently didn't carry any copies of the apoe4 gene.

So replacing actual organic search results with hallucinating AI summaries reduced profitability? Oh no!

So apparently Charlize Theron hacking self-driving cars for the "make it rain" one great scene in an installment of the Fast and The Furious franchise was not enough incentive for our short term gains corporate overlords to do anything about it. So apparently it takes your catastrophic strike(tm) to get the job done much like it took 9/11 to justify the price of reinforcing cockpit doors.

I do not like this. But it seems to be how it works here.

there was a TV commercial in the 1970s that suggested this would happen in the future. Knowing Seth MacFarlane, that's where he got the idea.

Seems like that behavior could be abliterated out of the model on par with getting it to talk about June 31st, no?

Arcades mostly failed to adapt to the advances of home consoles to provide experiences you couldn't get at home. That's on the dimwitted game suits of the 1990s who cared little about novel gameplay, networked gameplay, or better NPC AI and physics. Then mobile happened and there was a brief glorious Cambrian explosion of new ideas until the Zynga playbook and DLC. Evidence: lived through it as a small game studio developer trying to do original things. The fun experiment now and then is to break out your 1980s video game consoles and play through their libraries. Most of the games are objectively terrible but gems like Yar's Revenge are still gems today IMO.

That depends on whether "frontier" models can maintain an expanding frontier. If the frontier settles, they're dead, and it will be commoditized. Otherwise, there are still plenty of pathological behaviors of these things to address that will keep expanding that frontier (if that's possible and the limitation isn't the approach itself).

The reception of saying things like this is interesting. AI stans think I'm way too pessimistic but AI haters think I'm mindlessly optimistic.

Counterpoint: fortunately we still have more than 5 years to prepare for 2032.

Stupid obsolete laws that stay on the books forever is seemingly the American way and occasionally we refresh them with new even stupider laws that were obsolete before they were even proposed.

Despite really kicking our asses on their approach to an AI ecosystem, China has problems of its own. Too bad we can't just copy the parts that work but those are the rules I guess.

https://www.wsj.com/world/china-economy-gen-z-f9058941

So, the course of AI is currently in the hands of ~10 billionaires. That seems like the root cause here to me. And I don't think AI made them terrible, other people agreeing with single every brain fart they uttered rotted any reasonable sense of self worth into narcissism and psychosis. But each and every one of them knows how to play power games: they build coalitions around themselves that make them nearly impossible to depose. Compare and contrast with Carly Fiorina who was not particularly good at this and never made it to three commas.

For the record, IMO AI and LLMs are amazing and magical technology. And they raise important existential questions about abilities we once considered hallmarks of conscience and sentience that can be reduced to floating point math. I think people find that threatening having invested quite a bit of ego in being the sole possessors of such abilities. I do not see them as a threat to art: go watch a live performance or visit an art museum. But boy can they create content. And most human content was slop to begin with, see photoslop.

But it's also a cop out to cite that to rationalize the billionaire situation as if everything is fine. It's absolutely 100% not. Musk's investments in Ken Paxton alone should be enough to drive a wealth tax on unrealized capital gains past $1B or so through Congress in 2027, but it likely won't because so many consider themselves temporarily embarrassed paper billionaires. Note that Meta and Zuckerberg have already blinked on this in California. Now if Musk could have just stuck to robots and spaceships, he wouldn't have made himself such a sore thumb, but nooooooo...

And a wealth tax won't solve the national debt. I know that. Duh. But it will start to erode the ridiculous level of influence the top 10 billionaires in tech have right now. The Dictator's Handbook argues that taxation is how leaders transfer money from people they don't like to people they like. Elect people who hate the billionaires and this will all happen organically. Wealth taxes on everyone are bad, that's a given. We're not talking everyone here. We're talking the top 2000 or so richest in America. And if their demographic has no problem going after "welfare queens" I do not see the problem in returning the favor.

Meanwhile, in autocratic China, the AI situation is somehow much healthier than in the states. Go figure.

If I could afford 37,000 acres of forest land, I'd tighten my belt a bit and buy a whole 50,000 myself. You can never be too sure!

And lose paper billionaire status?

This does not sound like he was joking, the people driving the clown car are not even clown competent IMO.

https://www.businessinsider.com/ai-researchers-smoking-ai-cu...

That report about AI researchers came from one guy at Palantir, its CTO.

Unless some bona fide "AI researchers" came forward and confirmed it, it never happened IMO.

Edit: Palantir snowflake can't handle facts

Billionaire bootlickers: because those billionaire boots weren't just going to lick themselves.

Good. Who cares? Billionaires in California created <3% of the jobs and now that they're gone, that's a niche small business owners can fill right back up. Hooray!

The sooner we treat billionaires as cost centers the better.

Clearly before we were against single engineer unicorns we were for them. Then the billionaires fled in terror...

TLDR: F*** billionaires

Edit: single commas think they're gonna be three commas by enabling them. Tee hee. They'll see. Oh wait, it's 2026, they'll never learn, the Singularity will happen first.

I'm just wondering where the EFF and the ACLU are at the moment. This seems like a perfect opportunity to point out the dangers in current cyber crime laws and do some genuine good in the world.

Prosecutors have no interest in "justice." They are measured solely on conviction rates. If she's convicted, she will go through needless life-destroying suffering because of this. But at the end, it will be overturned after the prosecutors in question have been elected to Congress or a governorship. And then lawsuits will ensue. And that's why BS like this will never stop.

Natural gas is better than coal. Natural gas exhausts can be sequestered. But since we can't even break the coal habit let alone embrace renewables and clear the path for nuclear as needed, good luck! Stupid meatbags.

Love to know who this actually triggers and what's inaccurate about the above? Coal is super good and clean? Natural gas emissions can't be sequestered despite numerous examples of exactly that? How dare I even suggest nuclear? Or is it just downright America-hating unpatriotic and letting the evil drag queens win? Genuinely curious.

The insider baseball in AI is extreme I agree. I still know people who insist large language models are just glorified autocomplete.

China is doing all the heavy lifting for the free market in AI right now. I did not have that in my 2020s playbook.

If you've ever watched a world class prodigy try to do some basic home repairs, and I have, the comedy and the tragedy come intermingled. Which is to say a pure intellect cannot bring the robot apocalypse without grounded agents in the real world.

But I welcome the attempt to build a domestic home repair robot as it's a valid attempt at getting AI better at something it's godawful at currently.

Indeed, any asset is better understood once it has been marked to market.

Interestingly, that's equivalent to the not ready for primetime play replacing junior engineers with coding agents. But as someone with decades of product development and support under my belt, so many unintended consequences here and there.

You don't pay the plumber to replace the widget. You pay the plumber to look at the problem and know what widget to replace and the correct set of moves to do so without flooding the house. Good luck!

Cue the "Obviously, with a master plumber guiding them, they could do this!" non-counterpoint counterpoint because you've just destroyed the cost savings of not sending that master plumber to the site and if you try to make the master plumber multi-task, there goes the cognitive load burnout event horizon just like... Stay with me... REPLACING JUNIOR ENGINEERS WITH CODING AGENTS!

Kill me now. The Robot Apocalypse has already segued from tragedy to farce and the AI intelligentsia need to read more Adrian Tchaikovsky and less Eliezer Yudkowsky. I eagerly anticipate the downvotes once again for loving the science and technology of AI yet despising the breathless ridiculous hype on both sides of the AI wars. This is an alien mindset, I get it, but do try to convince me the error of my ways by the only way you know how to do.

And the arrest warrants for Sam Altman and Greg Brockman will be issued any minute now I 'm sure...

Because that's how things work now. But also, no disagreement, the gooning is absolutely in the 6-8 hours not the 5 seconds of joy joy.

Opposite of gooning no? More like Mr. 2 seconds leaving one's partner stimulated but unfulfilled.

Now do the definition of AGI.

Not at a PE of ~336 in a world where BYD will eventually arrive in the US.

But TBF if they offered the SpaceX thrusters as an option, the SF effective altruists would slurp them right up to be their daily drivers even if they have to be strapped in next to a tank of toxic boom boom to use them. And Sam Altman would cry into his protein-supplemented energy drink because his Koenigsegg doesn't have them and I'd happily hand over 50 Quatloos to watch that.