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Re:U.S. Science Is in Chaos by anon84873628 on Wednesday June 17, 2026 @07:46PM (#48578622)
When interest rates are low, capital is willing to go to riskier enterprises like biotech in order to get a larger return compared to the alternatives.

When interest rates are high, capital shifts to yield-generating, interest-bearing investments. They give higher returns with less risk.

So basically the ROI of biotech becomes less competitive compared to alternatives. You have the same number of people/firms chasing a smaller supply of investment dollars.

Re:U.S. Science Is in Chaos by thaumasiotes on Wednesday June 17, 2026 @08:33PM (#48578975)
This doesn't work the way you imagine.

Suppose the ROI of biotech becomes more competitive compared to alternatives, because there's an ongoing series of technological breakthroughs.

The return on investing goes up (by assumption) and this means interest rates go up (by definition; they are the return on investing).

Is this bad for biotech? Does it shift capital out of biotech? Obviously not.

Re:U.S. Science Is in Chaos by klipt on Wednesday June 17, 2026 @09:04PM (#48579235)
You're using "high interest rate" to mean "biotech has great returns right now".

Everyone else is using it to mean "the Federal Reserve has set the interest rate high right now"

Very different situations.

Re:U.S. Science Is in Chaos by thaumasiotes on Wednesday June 17, 2026 @10:19PM (#48579793)
The difference between those two situations can't be determined by observing the level of interest rates. That's my whole point.
Re:U.S. Science Is in Chaos by lazide on Wednesday June 17, 2026 @11:57PM (#48580643)
It absolutely can.

High fed rates means the ‘tide’ is different. For biotech to get more interest, it has to have a higher roi than comparable other risk investments.

High ROI != high interest rates.

Re:U.S. Science Is in Chaos by mike_hearn on Thursday June 18, 2026 @04:27AM (#48582461)
High interest rate environment usually means the government specifically is paying a better rate on its debt. Then other interest rates are downstream from that. Government interest rates aren't connected to returns on investment (or only very indirectly).

Tech investments don't come with interest payments usually, so if interest rates go up it pulls money into government and corporate bonds which are much lower risk. Why take a gamble on new tech that might lose you everything to get 10% ROI, if you can get 6% "risk free" in bonds?