I was using GLM on ZAI coding plan (jerry rigged Claude Code for $3/month), but finding myself asking Sonnet to rewrite 90% of the code GLM was giving me. At some point I was like "what the hell am I doing" and just switched.
To clarify, the code I was getting before mostly worked, it was just a lot less pleasant to look at and work with. Might be a matter of taste, but I found it had a big impact on my morale and productivity.
I've also been testing OpenClaw. It burned 8M tokens during my half hour of testing, which would have been like $50 with Opus on the API. (Which is why everyone was using it with the sub, until Anthropic apparently banned that.)
I was using GLM on Cerebras instead, so it was only $10 per half hour ;) Tried to get their Coding plan ("unlimited" for $50/mo) but sold out...
(My fallback is I got a whole year of GLM from ZAI for $20 for the year, it's just a bit too slow for interactive use.)
This is a very common sequence of events.
The frontier hosted models are so much better than everything else that it's not worth messing around with anything lesser if doing this professionally. The $20/month plans go a long way if context is managed carefully. For a professional developer or consultant, the $200/month plan is peanuts relative to compensation.
Unless you include it in "frontier", but that has usually been used to refer to "Big 3".
(At todays ram prices upgrading to that for me would pay for a _lot_ of tokens...)
4x rtx 6000 pro is probably the minimum you need to have something reasonable for coding work.
I'd probably rather save the capex, and use the rented service until something much more compelling comes along.
Right now, I think we've probably got 3-5 years of manufacturing woes to work through and another 3-5 years beyond that to get power infrastructure where it needs to be to support it... and even then, I don't think all the resources we can reasonably throw at a combination of mostly nuclear and solar will get there as quickly as it's needed.
That also doesn't consider the bubble itself, or the level of poor to mediocre results altogether even at the frontier level. I mean for certain tasks, it's very close to human efforts in a really diminished timeframe, for others it isn't... and even then, people/review/qa/qc will become the bottleneck for most things in practice.
I've managed to get weeks of work done in a day with AI, but then still have to follow-up for a couple days of iteration on following features... still valuable, but it's mixed. I'm more bullish today than even a few months ago all the same.
Kimi K2.5 is good, but it's still behind the main models like Claude's offerings and GPT-5.2. Yes, I know what the benchmarks say, but the benchmarks for open weight models have been overpromising for a long time and Kimi K2.5 is no exception.
Kimi K2.5 is also not something you can easily run locally without investing $5-10K or more. There are hosted options you can pay for, but like the parent commenter observed: By the time you're pinching pennies on LLM costs, what are you even achieving? I could see how it could make sense for students or people who aren't doing this professionally, but anyone doing this professionally really should skip straight to the best models available.
Unless you're billing hourly and looking for excuses to generate more work I guess?
I still have to occasionally switch to Opus in Opencode planning mode, but not having to rely on Sonnet anymore makes my Claude subscription last much longer.
I'm not looking for a vibe coding "one-shot" full project model. I'm not looking to replace GPT 5.2 or Opus 4.5. But having a local instance running some Ralph loop overnight on a specific aspect for the price of electricity is alluring.
Are there a lot of options how "how far" do you quantize? How much VRAM does it take to get the 92-95% you are speaking of?
So many: https://www.reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1ba55rj/overvie...
> How much VRAM does it take to get the 92-95% you are speaking of?
For inference, it's heavily dependent on the size of the weights (plus context). Quantizing an f32 or f16 model to q4/mxfp4 won't necessarily use 92-95% less VRAM, but it's pretty close for smaller contexts.
Number of params == “variables” in memory
VRAM footprint ~= number of params * size of a param
A 4B model at 8 bits will result in 4GB vram give or take, same as params. At 4 bits ~= 2GB and so on. Kimi is about 512GB at 4 bits.
I'm completely over these hypotheticals and 'testing grade'.
I know Nvidia VRAM works, not some marketing about 'integrated ram'. Heck look at /r/locallama/ There is a reason its entirely Nvidia.
>moderate context windows
Really had to modify the problem to make it seem equal? Not that quants are that bad, but the context windows thing is the difference between useful and not useful.
As for useful at that scale?
I use mine for coding a fair bit, and I don’t find it a detractor overall. It enforces proper API discipline, modularity, and hierarchal abstraction. Perhaps the field of application makes that more important though. (Writing firmware and hardware drivers).
It also brings the advantage of focusing exclusively on the problems that are presented in the limited context, and not wandering off on side quests that it makes up.
I find it works well up to about 1KLOC at a time.
I wouldn’t imply they were equal to commercial models, but I would definitely say that local models are very useful tools.
They are also stable, which is not something I can say for SOTA models. You cal learn how to get the best results from a model and the ground doesn’t move underneath you just when you’re on a roll.
That's simply not true. NVidia may be relatively popular, but people use all sorts of hardware there. Just a random couple of recent self-reported hardware from comments:
- https://www.reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1qw15gl/comment...
- https://www.reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1qw0ogw/analysi...
- https://www.reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1qvwi21/need_he...
- https://www.reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1qvvf8y/demysti...
Then you sent over links describing such.
In real world use, Nvidia is probably over 90%.
You have a point that at scale everybody except maybe Google is using Nvidia. But r/locallama is not your evidence of that, unless you apply your priors, filter out all the hardware that don't fit your so called "hypotheticals and 'testing grade'" criteria, and engage in circular logic.
PS: In fact locallamma does not even cover your "real world use". Most mentions of Nvidia are people who have older GPUs eg. 3090s lying around, or are looking at the Chinese VRAM mods to allow them run larger models. Nobody is discussing how to run a cluster of H200s there.
This is a _remarkably_ aggressive comment!
Now as the other replies say, you should very likely run a quantized version anyway.
https://buildai.substack.com/i/181542049/the-mac-mini-moment
> Thermal throttling: Thunderbolt 5 cables get hot under sustained 15GB/s load. After 10 minutes, bandwidth drops to 12GB/s. After 20 minutes, 10GB/s. Your 5.36 tokens/sec becomes 4.1 tokens/sec. Active cooling on cables helps but you’re fighting physics.
Thermal throttling of network cables is a new thing to me…
I'll add on https://unsloth.ai/docs/models/qwen3-coder-next
The full model is supposedly comparable to Sonnet 4.5 But, you can run the 4 bit quant on consumer hardware as long as your RAM + VRAM has room to hold 46GB. 8 bit needs 85.
I've never heard of this guy before, but I see he's got 5M YouTube subscribers, which I guess is the clout you need to have Apple loan (I assume) you $50K worth of Mac Studios!
I'll be interesting to see how model sizes, capability, and local compute prices evolve.
A bit off topic, but I was in best buy the other day and was shocked to see 65" TVs selling for $300 ... I can remember the first large flat screen TVs (plasma?) selling for 100x that ($30K) when they first came out.
Great demo video though. Nice to see some benchmarks of Exo with this cluster across various models.
No one's running Sonnet/Gemini/GPT-5 locally though.
Kimi K2.5 is a trillion parameter model. You can't run it locally on anything other than extremely well equipped hardware. Even heavily quantized you'd still need 512GB of unified memory, and the quantization would impact the performance.
Also the proprietary models a year ago were not that good for anything beyond basic tasks.
But as a counterpoint: there are whole communities of people in this space who get significant value from models they run locally. I am one of them.
If you’re worried about others being able to clone your business processes if you share them with a frontier provider then the cost of a Mac Studio to run Kimi is probably a justifiable tax right off.
It is probably enough to handle a lot of what people use the big-3 closed models for. Somewhat slower and somewhat dumber, granted, but still extraordinarily capable. It punches way above its weight class for an 80B model.
I need to do more testing before I can agree that it is performing at a Sonnet-equivalent level (it was never claimed to be Opus-class.) But it is pretty cool to get beaten in a programming contest by my own video card. For those who get it, no explanation is necessary; for those who don't, no explanation is possible.
And unlike the hosted models, the ones you run locally will still work just as well several years from now. No ads, no spying, no additional censorship, no additional usage limits or restrictions. You'll get no such guarantee from Google, OpenAI and the other major players.
Hell, if you are willing to go even slower, any GPU + ~80GB of RAM will do it.
Before that I used Qwen3-30B which is good enough for some quick javascript or Python, like 'add a new endpoint /api/foobar which does foobaz'. Also very decent for a quick summary of code.
It is 530Tok/s PP and 50Tok/s TG. If you have it spit out lots of the code that is just copy of the input, then it does 200Tok/s, i.e. 'add a new endpoint /api/foobar which does foobaz and return the whole file'
That said, Claude Code is designed to work with Anthropic's models. Agents have a buttload of custom work going on in the background to massage specific models to do things well.
That might incentivize it to perform slightly better from the get go.
Whether it's a giant corporate model or something you run locally, there is no intelligence there. It's still just a lying engine. It will tell you the string of tokens most likely to come after your prompt based on training data that was stolen and used against the wishes of its original creators.
PC or Mac? A PC, ya, no way, not without beefy GPUs with lots of VRAM. A mac? Depends on the CPU, an M3 Ultra with 128GB of unified RAM is going to get closer, at least. You can have decent experiences with a Max CPU + 64GB of unified RAM (well, that's my setup at least).
For VS Code code completion in Continue using a Qwen3-coder 7b model. For CLI work Qwen coder 32b for sidebar. 8 bit quant for both.
I need to take a look at Qwen3-coder-next, it is supposed to have made things much faster with a larger model.
I have claude pro $20/mo and sometimes run out. I just set ANTHROPIC_BASE_URL to a localllm API endpoint that connects to a cheaper Openai model. I can continue with smaller tasks with no problem. This has been done for a long time.
I expect it'll come along but I'm not gonna spend the $$$$ necessary to try to DIY it just yet.
Instead have Claude know when to offload work to local models and what model is best suited for the job. It will shape the prompt for the model. Then have Claude review the results. Massive reduction in costs.
btw, at least on Macbooks you can run good models with just M1 32GB of memory.
Although I'm starting to like LMStudio more, as it has more features that Ollama is missing.
You can then get Claude to create the MCP server to talk to either. Then a CLAUDE.md that tells it to read the models you have downloaded, determine their use and when to offload. Claude will make all that for you as well.
The big powerful models think about tasks, then offload some stuff to a drastically cheaper cloud model or the model running on your hardware.
Which definitely has some questionable implications... but just like with advertising it's not like paying makes the incentives for the people capable of training models to put their thumbs on the scales go away.
Because of how the plugin works in VS code, on my third day of testing with Claude Code, I didn't click the Claude button and was accidentally working with CoPilot for about three hours of torture when I realized I wasn't in Claude Code. Will NEVER make that mistake again... I can only imagine anything I can run at any decent speed lcoally will be closer to the latter. I pretty quickly reach a "I can do this faster/better myself" point... even a few times with Claude/Opus, so my patience isn't always the greatest.
That said, I love how easy it is to build up a scaffold of a boilerplate app for the sole reason to test a single library/function in isolation from a larger application. In 5-10 minutes, I've got enough test harness around what I'm trying to work on/solve that it lets me focus on the problem at hand, while not worrying about doing this on the integrated larger project.
I've still got some thinking and experimenting to do with improving some of my workflows... but I will say that AI Assist has definitely been a multiplier in terms of my own productivity. At this point, there's literally no excuse not to have actual code running experiments when learning something new, connecting to something you haven't used before... etc. in terms of working on a solution to a problem. Assuming you have at least a rudimentary understanding of what you're actually trying to accomplish in the piece you are working on. I still don't have enough trust to use AI to build a larger system, or for that matter to truly just vibe code anything.
Wildly understating this part.
Even the best local models (ones you run on beefy 128GB+ RAM machines) get nowhere close to the sheer intelligence of Claude/Gemini/Codex. At worst these models will move you backwards and just increase the amount of work Claude has to do when your limits reset.