But seriously tho, what parent is saying isn't a deep insight, it makes sense from a business perspective to consolidate your products into one so you don't confuse users
If OpenAI really are hitting the wall on being able to scale up overall then the AI bubble will burst sooner than many are expecting.
People evaluate dataset quality over time. There's no evidence that datasets from 2022 onwards perform any worse than ones from before 2022. There is some weak evidence of an opposite effect, causes unknown.
It's easy to make "model collapse" happen in lab conditions - but in real world circumstances, it fails to materialize.
[1] https://www.cs.utexas.edu/~eunsol/courses/data/bitter_lesson...
A broad generalization like "there are two systems of thinking: fast, and slow" doesn't necessarily fall into this category. The transformer itself (plus the choice of positional encoding etc.) contains inductive biases about modeling sequences. The router is presumably still learned with a fairly generic architecture.
You are making assumptions about how to break the tasks into sub models.
I don't agree with your interpretation of the lesson if you say it means to make no assumptions. You can try to model language with just a massive fully connected network to be maximally flexible, and you'll find that you fail. The art of applying the lesson is separating your assumptions that come from "expert knowledge" about the task from assumptions that match the most general structure of the problem.
"Time spent thinking" is a fundamental property of any system that thinks. To separate this into two modes: low and high, is not necessarily too strong of an assumption in my opinion.
I completely agree with you regarding many specialized sub-models where the distinction is arbitrary and informed by human knowledge about particular problems.
I say that as a VIM user who has been learning VIM commands for decades. I understand more than most how important it is to invest in one's tools. But I also understand that only so much time can be invested in sharpening the tools, when we have actual work to do with them. Using the LLMs as a fancy auto complete, but leaving the architecture up to my own NS (natural stupidity) has shown the default models to be more than adequate for my needs.
Is it though? To me it seems like performance gains are slowing down and additional computation in AI comes mostly from insane amounts of money thrown at it.
GPT-5 System Card [pdf] - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44827046
The corollary to the bitter lesson strikes again: any hand crafted system will out perform any general system for the same budget by a wide margin.
In practice the whole point is the opposite is the case, which is why this direction by OpenAI is a suspicious indicator.
From the system card:
"In the near future, we plan to integrate these capabilities into a single model."
It feels less and less likely AGI is even possible with the data we have available. The one unknown is if we manage to get usable quantum computers, what that will do to AI, I am curious.
> GPT‑5 is a unified system . . .
OK
> . . . with a smart and fast model that answers most questions, a deeper reasoning model for harder problems, and a real-time router that quickly decides which model to use based on conversation type, complexity, tool needs, and explicit intent (for example, if you say “think hard about this” in the prompt).
So that's not really a unified system then, it's just supposed to appear as if it is.
This looks like they're not training the single big model but instead have gone off to develop special sub models and attempt to gloss over them with yet another model. That's what you resort to only when doing the end-to-end training has become too expensive for you.