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Re:Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations ... by hx8 on Wednesday July 02, 2025 @12:37PM (#44445774)
I'm not sure household debt is a great indicator. Someone that has a mortgage will have much more household debt than a renter, but also not have to pay rent.

This would need data to contextualize.

Re:Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations ... by frontfor on Wednesday July 02, 2025 @01:37PM (#44446573)
You could argue household debt is just another form of rent, where you “rent” capital from the wealthy in exchange for paying interest on a monthly basis. Just because you don’t pay a rent directly named as such doesn’t change the substance of it.
Re:Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations ... by tshaddox on Wednesday July 02, 2025 @03:51PM (#44448062)
It's a very different form of rent though, namely because the mortgage borrower has a lot of collateralized debt and the mortgage borrower owns the appreciation (or depreciation) of the property (proportional to their equity).
Re:Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations ... by kevin_thibedeau on Wednesday July 02, 2025 @04:25PM (#44448428)
A home dweller is paying "rent" to the government as property taxes, possibly indirectly through a mortgage.
Re:Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations ... by hx8 on Friday July 04, 2025 @02:10AM (#44461597)
I don't think it is proportional to their equity. The borrower owns all appreciation and depreciation.
Re:Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations ... by ghaff on Wednesday July 02, 2025 @03:35PM (#44447902)
Debt, within reason, is just a tool. It provides leverage and it lets you buy things for which you don't have cash-in-hand--houses in particular. It can also encourage overspending (something that car dealers capitalize on) but that's another story.
Re:Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations ... by hx8 on Wednesday July 02, 2025 @02:08PM (#44446963)
Exactly my point. Rent and mortgage debt is functionally very similar and total household debt wouldn't capture rent obligations.
Re:Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations ... by elzbardico on Wednesday July 02, 2025 @01:14PM (#44446253)
Don't matter. You still have the debt. If you lose your job in a depression, odds are no much other people will be in the market to buy your home.
Re:Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations ... by hx8 on Wednesday July 02, 2025 @02:05PM (#44446921)
The amount of equity you have in your home matters. Most recessions do not take 20% off home values, so people with conventional loans are pretty safe. Even the Great Depression just cut valuations about 35%.

If you lose your job in a depression there will be plenty of people willing to buy assets at a discount. If you have equity in your home then your position will be net positive. About half of all mortgages have an outstanding balance less than 50% of the home's value.

Re:Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations ... by dmoy on Wednesday July 02, 2025 @09:07PM (#44450578)
That kinda works in the abstract, but it's pretty risky for any individual house. If your house was somehow a representative slice of all US housing, sure maybe it won't drop 35%.

But if you owned a house in Detroit from 2003-2010 it might have dropped 70-80%. Or, more on point for many on HN, if you own a house in the Bay Area worth $2-$3M with 25% equity, and the tech job market collapses, then you might get completely wiped out.

Re:Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations ... by const_cast on Wednesday July 02, 2025 @03:45PM (#44448013)
I think debt is good, actually, for most middle class households, and they're actively trying to increase their debt because that results in greater cash-flow, more savings, and more security in terms of retirement. That's why buying a home is Goal #1 for most Americans.
Re:Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations ... by brewdad on Thursday July 03, 2025 @12:05AM (#44451536)
Home mortgage debt is mostly "good" debt for middle class households. Pretty much any other type of debt is a net negative in financial terms. There are less tangible benefits to owning a newer, more reliable car for example, so it can be a bit murky. General consumption debt is a bad bet for pretty much anyone.
Re:Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations ... by spixy on Friday July 11, 2025 @11:05AM (#44532972)
What if I use debt to invest or to buy assets that increase productivity of my company?

Or for some loan you need to pay monthly 5% of your income (for iphone or car), and other loan need you to pay 50% of your income (mortgages). You cannot count them in the same way...

Re:Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations ... by spixy on Friday July 11, 2025 @11:09AM (#44533015)
What if I use debt to invest?

Or for some loan you need to pay monthly 5% of your income (for iphone or car), and other loan need you to pay 50% of your income (mortgages). You cannot count them in the same way. And mortgage can have 1% interest rate or 6%...

Re:Private sector lost 33k jobs, badly missing expectations ... by robertlagrant on Thursday July 03, 2025 @05:51AM (#44453358)
Similarly debt that got you a medical degree is different to debt on a shiny new car. A subsistence farmer in the DRC might have less debt than a college graduate, but that doesn't matter if the college graduate's earning prospects are excellent.

(No comment on the current reality of medical debt, of course. Just a general principle.)