Ie. in the evening whilst everyone has their ovens on, charging might only be 3 kW per bus, but then at 1am when everyone has gone to bed, it can be 30 kW per bus.
Using that approach, you can get far more capacity out of old infrastructure.
Unfortunately, some utility companies aren't amenable to that approach, and instead insist you pay to upgrade the infra, since to them it's a free upgrade.
Also, if it is a cold night and everyone leaves electric heating/heat pumps on, what happens then? Noone can get to work the next day?
Regardless most urban transformers are not going to have 15MW of overnight capacity spare even on a good day. The largest LV substations might be 30MVA in the UK at least - they won't just have half capacity suddenly free.
As an aside, we have so far really dropped the ball on level 1 electric vehicle chargers at offices. As solar power and EV numbers increase, it's pretty obvious that we want more cars charging during the day and fewer charging at night.
Our govt. really did a disservice to transition to EVs by slapping on a big tax to anyone even brushing against a charger at work: 120€/year
Not sure why you are being downvoted.
The absolutely largest peak is in the morning and then a smaller one in the afternoon.
So you might have a baseline like every 10 or 15 mins and then in rush hour it is every 3 or 5 mins.
humans have places to be. They shouldn't wait for transit. and they mostly won't.
City busses don’t need that much energy because as they don’t move quickly, the cargo is light, and regenerative breaking offsets stop and go.
Sure, for regular battery buses without trolley collectors, indeed some new transformers might be needed. But even here, I wonder if you could make it somewhat distributed, with some charging happening at the line terminus where the drivers also often have to take a break anyway.
Battery buses have a battery capacity of around 400kWh. Assuming they are stabled for 6 hours overnight, that's only a charging power of 66kW. Suddenly your depot needs a connection with a peak capacity of 3.3MW instead of the proposed 15MW.
This can get significantly better in practice. There's a peak transit demand during commute hours, but that means there are quite a few unused buses in the middle of the day. Those can charge at the depot to take advantage of cheap daytime solar. A lot of bus routes are timed, with a waiting time of 5 to 10 minutes at the turnaround point. Place an overhead charger here, and the charging demand can be distributed across the day. As a bonus, this also reduced the battery capacity needed - and the associated lower weight reduces total energy demand as well.
Sure, bus depots are going to need beefy connections, but that's hardly an insurmountable obstacle. The ongoing rapid rollout shows that it simply isn't a such a big issue in practice.
Firstly you have charging losses - and you're assuming that you can charge at the same rate consistently over the cycle of the charge.
Secondly, doing it like that massively reduces operational flexibility. If buses are all late back (bad traffic for example) you would want to charge more aggressively than the 60kW. You can't so you're going to have buses that are low on charge the next day.
Finally, it's all a bit moot. In most areas you do not have 3MW of spare capacity on the LV network to suddenly plug into. You're going to need a new HV connection or dramatic LV grid reinforcement, so you might as well put a decent connection in at that point. The cost is basically the same, most of the cost is in permits and civils.
Your idea to place charging points at turnaround points is also not as feasible as you make out. It's incredibly hard to do that (TfL massively struggles to get planning for a simple toilet block for drivers at turnaround points) and they are not designed in a way to have buses in a certain exact position to charge often. And even if you could if buses are late they cannot skip the turnaround like now as they need to charge. This will cause massive cascading delays down the route for the rest of the day.
Grid connections are the reason rollout is so slow, at least in the UK. There is relatively plentiful funding for it but most depots are now completely maxed out in power availability - any spare capacity has already been used and the LV DNO queue is 10+ years for local reinforcement.
I do definitely think green hydrogen has a big future ahead of itself though. We still use an absolutely ridiculous about of H2 in industrial processes (especially fertilizers).
Europe could produce huge amounts of fertilizers in the summer in the future with all the excess solar and wind it has via this method.
It seems to me hydrogen skipped a step - focus on replacing hydrogen feedstocks in industrial processes directly with green hydrogen, instead of replacing stuff up the chain that can be done with batteries directly anyway.