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Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by highfrequency on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @10:29AM (#41446260)
“…a straight shot to safe superintelligence and in particular to spend a couple of years doing R&D on our product before bringing it to market," Gross said in an interview.”

A couple years??

Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by layer8 on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @11:39AM (#41447057)
They’d need a year or two just to rebuild a ChatGPT-level LLM, and they want to go way beyond that.
Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by JamesSwift on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @12:20PM (#41447492)
a current-day* ChatGPT-level LLM

At a time when things are advancing at breakneck speed. Where is the goalpost going to be in 2 years time?

Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by hintymad on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @01:30PM (#41448300)
A possibility is that they are betting that the current generation of LLM is converging, so they won't worry about the goalpost much. If it's true, then it won't be good news for OpenAI.
Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by aithrowaway1987 on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @11:12AM (#41446722)
I am not sure if you're incredulous about the number being too high or too low:

- if it's a few years R&D on an already-finished (non-ASI) commercial product then that is maybe too long

- if they're claiming a few years R&D to develop ASI then they should be laughed out of the room. Nobody has a clue how to make a computer smarter than a cockroach. (I am being uncharitable to cockroaches by assuming they are as dumb as transformers, as cockroaches can form plans and transformers cannot.)

The magical thinking and delusional arrogance of the AI economy is something to behold.

Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by sim7c00 on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @11:00AM (#41446575)
well since it's no longer ok to just suck up anyone's data and train your AI, it will be a new challenge for them to avoid that pitfall. I can imagine it will take some time...
Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by mholm on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @11:11AM (#41446713)
I believe the commenter is concerned about how _short_ this timeline is. Superintelligence in a couple years? Like, the thing that can put nearly any person at a desk out of a job? My instinct with unicorns like this is to say 'actually it'll be five years and it won't even work', but Ilya has a track record worth believing in.
Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by whimsicalism on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @11:09AM (#41446683)
what laws have actually changed that make it no longer okay?

we all know that openai did it

Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by bschmidt1 on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @01:15PM (#41448169)
There are class actions now like https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/13/business/clearview-ai-fac...

Nobody even knew what OpenAI was up to when they were gathering training data - they got away with a lot. Now there is precedent and people are paying more attention. Data that was previously free/open now has a clause that it can't be used for AI training. OpenAI didn't have to deal with any of that.

Also OpenAI used cheap labor in Africa to tag training data which was also controversial. If someone did it now it would they'd be the ones to pay. OpenAI can always say "we stopped" like Nike said with sweat shops.

A lot has changed.

Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by vidarh on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @01:26PM (#41448267)
There are at least 3 companies with staff in developed countries well above minimum wage doing tagging and creation of training data, and at least one of them that I have an NDA with pays at least some of their staff tech contractor rates for data in some niches and even then some of data gets processed by 5+ people before it's returned to the client. Since I have ended up talking to 3, and I'm hardly well connected in that space, I can only presume there are many more.

Companies are willing to pay a lot for clean training data, and my bet is there will be a growing pile of training sets for sale on a non-exclusive basis as well.

A lot of this data - what I've seen anyway, is far cleaner than anything you'll find on the open web, with significant data on human preferences, validation, cited sources, and in the case of e.g. coding with verification that the code runs and works correctly.

Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by bschmidt1 on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @01:58PM (#41448591)
> A lot of this data - what I've seen anyway, is far cleaner than anything you'll find on the open web, with significant data on human preferences, validation, cited sources, and in the case of e.g. coding with verification that the code runs and works correctly.

Very interesting, thanks for sharing that detail. As someone who has tinkered with tokenizing/training I quickly found out this must be the case. Some people on HN don't know this. I've argued here with otherwise smart people who think there is no data preprocessing for LLMs, that they don't need it because "vectors", failing to realize the semantic depth and quality of embeddings depends on the quality of training data.

Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by whimsicalism on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @03:45PM (#41449881)
i think we should distinguish between pretraining and polishing/alignment data. what you are describing is most likely the latter (and probably mixed into to pretraining). but if you can't get a mass of tokens from scraping, you're going to be screwed
Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by alpha_squared on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @01:28PM (#41448281)
A lot of APIs changed in response to OpenAI hoovering up data. Reddit's a big one that comes to mind. I'd argue that the last two years have seen the biggest change in the openness of the internet.
Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by linotype on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @03:01PM (#41449314)
It’s made Reddit unusable without an account, which makes me wonder why it’s even on the web anymore and not an app. I guess legacy users that only use a web browser.
Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by whimsicalism on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @03:45PM (#41449885)
did that not predate chatgpt?
Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by linotype on Thursday September 05, 2024 @01:27AM (#41453777)
It did not. Also VPNs were usable with the site, now I believe even logged in you can’t use them. I don’t know at this point, I no longer use Reddit at all.
Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by jckahn on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @01:36PM (#41448360)
What do you expect? This seems like a hard problem to solve. Hard problems take time.
Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by zerocrates on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @02:27PM (#41448892)
I interpreted the comment as incredulous that superintelligence is as close as a "couple years" away.
Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by jopsen on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @01:50PM (#41448498)
If you raise 1B in VC, it'd be shame to burn it all at once :D
Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by xenospn on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @02:20PM (#41448811)
Just until the $50B series A
Re:Ilya Sutskever's SSI Inc raises $1B by stephenitis on Wednesday September 04, 2024 @11:35PM (#41453224)
We need to inflation adjust the concept of unicorns.