(This isn’t even to say there aren’t real problems. But they have enormously outsized influence.)
Any politician who correctly identifies these issues will be labeled as fringe. So likely the only solution will be local politics.
It depends on who you’re calling young and which country you’re talking about. Millennials in the US will be the largest eligible voting block for the next 30 years at least, and maybe longer if they don’t have kids at a greater rate. Gen Z [edit: typo] is the smallest generation as a percentage of the total in US history so they’ll be out voted by older voters for the rest of their lives. In most other western/developed countries even the millennials are hopelessly outnumbered by older voters.
Approximately half (53%) of young Americans indicate they will "definitely be voting" in the 2024 general election for president. Young Americans' interest in voting in 2024 is now on par with Harvard Youth Poll data from 2020, which indicated that 54% would likely vote.
If the presidential election were held today, President Biden would outperform former President Trump among both registered (50% Biden, 37% Trump) and likely young voters under 30 (56% Biden, 37% Trump). When there is no voter screen (i.e., all young adults 18-29), the race narrows to single digits, 45% for President Biden, 37% for former President Trump, with 16 percent undecided.
Among the 1,051 "likely voters" in our sample, we found significant differences in support levels based on gender, age, race/ethnicity, and education levels, among other subgroups. For example, among likely young voters:
President Biden's lead among young men is six points; among young women his lead is 33 points;
President Biden's lead among 18-24 year-olds is 14 points, and among 25-29 year-olds it is 26 points;
President Biden's lead among white voters is 3 points; among non-white voters his lead is 43 points;
President Biden's lead among college students is 23 points; he leads by 47 points among college graduates. The race is even among those not in college and without a four-year degree.
https://iop.harvard.edu/youth-poll/47th-edition-spring-2024That seems to support OP’s point. If you got that other half of young people to vote, they’d have very little effect on the election because they’re evenly split. Neither party has any reason to try and turn out those young voters.
Vote for who? Like, legitimately, who?
> 2024 will be a big tell for the young, depending on who wins, things could get far worse for them.
Will it though? The current state is decades of shitty politics from both sides of the aisle leading us here.
> the young, if that have patience, can change things by voting in all elections.
Every major, positive, change in the US has come from direct action in the form of withholding labor, violent (yes, violent) protests, and other forms of action that would get you put on a list.
We are living in a society where the President is saying we're a free country while in the backdrop, people are being arrested for protesting our involvement in a war.
Voting has never, and will never, solve anything. There are examples of this over, and over again. Neither party represents the views of the majority of Americans, are extremely susceptible to bribery, and have generally no reason to care about what the average voter wants.
Beyond that, corporations also control the majority of media we consume. To the point that when there is a corporation that's not immediately acting in the self interest of the US government, we lobby to ban that (TikTok).
How exactly is voting between D and R going to actually change anything for the future generation?
Who would they vote for according to you to see this change in 10 years?
Both parties have been taking turn governing and yet, here we are. A cynic would point out that we've seen empirically that voting doesn't change anything.
http://www.virginiaplaces.org/government/writein.html
but the article also shows that some write-in wins are based on a technicality, like when there are more seats than nominated candidates.
in other words, this is not a level playing field. write-in candidates are not on equal footing with candidates nominated by established parties. even alternative parties usually have little chance.
in a truly democratic system write-in candidates would have an equal chance to get elected compared to those nominated by major parties. i don't know what the solution here is. in the current systems, those with more funds can do more campaigning. so do we need to eliminate campaigning entirely?
My point is more that you are bemoaning your lack of influence and power, not pointing out some glaring unfairness in the system
equal chance refers to the awareness and knowledge about each candidate among the voting population. that can be achieved by promoting all candidates equally.
for other qualities, we need to get a better understanding what makes good candidates, and educate voters to choose candidates based on that.
We’ll be voting on two ~80 year olds as presidents who both can’t run a 100m sprint.
There are less young every year.
In reality, there is no such thing as not voting: you either vote by voting, or you vote by staying home and tacitly doubling the value of some Diehard's vote."
DAVID FOSTER WALLACE, Up, Simba!
They are a big voting block, if they all start voting, including in local elections, in about 10 years you will see change. But seems people these days want instant change.
2024 will be a big tell for the young, depending on who wins, things could get far worse for them.
Right now, the corporations determine who runs the US, the young, if that have patience, can change things by voting in all elections.