Re:My Sixth Year as a Bootstrapped Founder
by mateo411 on Friday February 16, 2024 @07:45PM
(#39405042)
I think you need to have ARR(annual recurring revenue) to have a multiplier like this. I think the company makes money when somebody buys the device, but that's it.
It would also help to know the TAM(total market area). How big is the remote KVM market? That gives you an idea on how many devices it's possible to sell in a given year.
Looks like the device sells for about $400.
Re:My Sixth Year as a Bootstrapped Founder
by Aeolun on Friday February 16, 2024 @09:14PM
(#39405660)
It wouldn’t be that bad if you are already substracting salaries right? Having a few years in which your earnings are zero due to purchase price is pretty doable if you start earning a cool 100k every year after (even better if it’s a growing business).
Re:My Sixth Year as a Bootstrapped Founder
by rsanek on Friday February 16, 2024 @11:33PM
(#39406386)
> Only high-growth, high-margin businesses can get 7x+ earnings
Not really, the S&P 500's P/E multiple has historically been at around 15x and now is somewhere around 30x [0]. And with that, we're talking about large, mature businesses that are not growing super fast -- more like 6-7% annualized, post-inflation [1].
[0] https://www.multpl.com/s-p-500-pe-ratio
[1] https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/042415/what-average...
Re:My Sixth Year as a Bootstrapped Founder
by paulddraper on Saturday February 17, 2024 @04:23PM
(#39413680)
Sorry, I should have said revenue.
There is a lot confusion in this thread (sorry) over "earnings multiples" vs "revenue multiples."
On HN you will almost always see revenue multiple discussed.
Only high-growth, high-margin businesses can get 7x+ earnings.
Creating a sufficient level of growth to garner 7x valuation is very tough to do bootstrapped.
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EDIT: The only reason anyone gets a 10x etc valuation is because they're doubling+ year-over-year, and very likely they'll be 3x bigger in 18 months.
So basically, that's a 3-4x valuation...of your probable revenue in a year and a half.