A test starship is nowhere near that, though we don't have exact numbers. Probably closer to $100 million.
Also SpaceX is trying to solve a much harder problem. If you would have asked that Saturn team "Also, land all the stages of the rocket", the likely answer you would have got is "Screw off, you're insane" or "Give me 100 billion dollars".
The fuck? NASA lost people in production hardware multiple times.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apollo_1
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apollo_6 "The damaged third-stage engine failed to restart for trans-lunar injection... Despite the engine failures, the flight provided NASA with enough confidence to use the Saturn V for crewed launches..."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apollo_13
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_Shuttle_Challenger_disas...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_Shuttle_Columbia_disaste...
Here's a fun one: They tested the Saturn crew escape system. The booster was supposed to blow up, and demonstrate the crew would survive... but the test went wrong, and it blew up early, when it shouldn't have. The crew abort worked, so test failed successfully.
> Apollo 1, initially designated AS-204, was planned to be the first crewed mission of the Apollo program.
The "accidental abort test" was launched on a Little Joe II, a simple single-stage solid rocket motor, not a Saturn of any variety. This booster was unrelated to any Saturn hardware.
If the Starship second stage failed to restart causing it to fail to get to TLI, or tried to take out its manned crew like 13 did, you’d be claiming it’s still a sterling safety record?
You’d have considered this test a success if it reached orbit “despite sustaining severe damage” on the way up?
Come on.
> Every crewed launch of the Saturn V was a success
Fine. Same for Starship, so far.
“My hunch is that whatever happens, we'll see scenes of Apollo people clapping and cheering and Apollo fans calling the flight a success. From what they tell me, no Apollo launch has ever failed.”
b) The Apollo program actually cost not just money, but human lives = a much worse outcome than just losing a test rocket. And Apollo 13 crew was very lucky to have returned to Earth alive.
c) Losses of test hardware can only really be somewhat prevented by being extremely careful and pedantic during development, which takes time, and guess what? More time spent obsessing about every single detail = more money spent on development. It is entirely possible that the "hardware is expendable" approach is much cheaper than what you would like to have.
But now an explosion is an expected outcome for your million dollar hardware.
That approach works in software dev.