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Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by raccoonDivider on Sunday December 03, 2023 @07:26AM (#38506574)
Because these countries rely on the US military for protection? All the EU does against Russia. Japan and south-east Asian countries do against China.

Look up how underfunded Germany’s Bundeswehr has been these past few years, how France’s push to build up European defenses is going, how Eastern European countries rely on NATO.

When you get defense for “free” from an overstretched US military, you obviously have more budget to develop your own country.

Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by fxtentacle on Sunday December 03, 2023 @07:40AM (#38506650)
Historically, it seemed like the US was very happy with Germany, for example, having a rather low military budget. And even now, how do you think US politics would react if Germany would kick the US military out of Rammstein to deploy their own nukes?
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by willcipriano on Sunday December 03, 2023 @08:15AM (#38506827)
> When you get defense for “free” from an overstretched US military, you obviously have more budget to develop your own country.

I have been saying for decades, they need to pay tribute. Never before in history has a super power defended smaller nations and expected nothing in return. The US taxpayer should enjoy some relief from foreign governments who want to be defended.

Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by atlantic on Sunday December 03, 2023 @08:29AM (#38506898)
The US is offering as much protection as the New York mafia offers local shopkeepers - protection from themselves. Sure, we need to pay tribute, but that's because we're vassal states, not because we get anything in return.
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by fatherzine on Sunday December 03, 2023 @08:33AM (#38506931)
They do pay tribute. Slightly obfuscated behind the financial order that comes with that 'protection'. Look up debt levels, or how ownership of strategic assets changed hands in the historical blink of eye since eg Eastern Europe joined NATO / EU.
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by willcipriano on Sunday December 03, 2023 @08:40AM (#38506971)
It they had paid enough the US wouldn't have trillions in debt from spending on defense.
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by vetinari on Sunday December 03, 2023 @09:57AM (#38507488)
That's entirely different problem, and US-internal one: privatization of the profits and socializing of the losses.
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by darthrupert on Sunday December 03, 2023 @08:13AM (#38506817)
While true, this doesn't quite explain why China has plenty of high speed rail.
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by afpx on Sunday December 03, 2023 @09:02AM (#38507138)
Their rail company is almost $1T in debt.
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by seanmcdirmid on Sunday December 03, 2023 @11:50AM (#38508426)
It is privately funded by public SOEs, at least. The BJ-SH line makes enough money, the rest of the HSR lines are running at losses. Maybe they can make money on renting space in train stations like Japanese rail companies do.
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by JCharante on Sunday December 03, 2023 @09:08AM (#38507177)
Only $1T? That's so cheap!
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by inglor_cz on Sunday December 03, 2023 @07:38AM (#38506637)
Unfortunately you are right and here in Central Europe, Putin's invasion of Ukraine caused a lot of anguish. At least initially, plenty of people were afraid that he is going to steamroll Ukraine, and then continue towards the Baltic/Poland, in order to restore the entire imperial zone of influence of the former USSR, or at least as much of it as practical (so, without the former GDR, probably; with AfD in his pocket, he could gain a lot of soft power there anyway).

In that case, if the US decided that they don't really care about a potential nuclear war for the sake of some distant Eastern European countries, we would be caught with our pants down. Only Poland was somewhat prepared.

Many European countries grew fatter and lazier under the American defense umbrella. It was easier to stuff money into popular projects than into guns and soldiers. Only, it turns out, sometimes you really need those guns and soldiers even in the 21st century.

"Si vis pacem, para bellum."

Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by ttyprintk on Saturday December 09, 2023 @05:26AM (#38580559)
Another HN post puts this in terms of civilian casualties:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38579988

The average people in powerful democracies have a responsibility to avoid the circumstances which historically have led to mass civilian casualties. For USA, the toll of nuclear strikes is an approachable example. Other great powers have a worse record in avoiding malicious mass suffering.

The part relevant to your comment is that the US military now needs to prevent war rather than excel at it. And it has chosen to look as formidable as possible to rational enemies. I think Europe agrees with this, but I don’t know if there are other ways.

Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by walkhour on Sunday December 03, 2023 @08:28AM (#38506893)
The US military budget is 12% of the total.

> I want affordable housing. Affordable healthcare. High speed rail. Better zoning laws. New subway lines.

Are you saying we only need 12% of the budget to fix these things? Note that coincidentally medicare is already accounting for ~12% of the total.

Say the military budget goes to zero (which it can't), and we spend half of that on medicare (it would be 18%). Will it fix the problem?

I think the problem is much deeper than wasting this 12%.

Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by seanmcdirmid on Sunday December 03, 2023 @11:46AM (#38508391)
American healthcare is unusually expensive. We spend more public money as a percentage of GDP than most other developed countries on it. Clearly something else is going on beyond money spent.
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by raccoonDivider on Monday December 04, 2023 @04:52PM (#38523649)
I can't say if it's correct or not, but here's an argument [1] that I've heard multiple times:

> Pharmaceutical breakthroughs are financed by the high prices paid by American patients (and backed by abundant venture capital); government-run health systems in Europe then bulk-buy the same drugs for much less. Europe has had some successes—German companies were among those pioneering mrna vaccines—but most of the cutting-edge research in science and technology is done at universities and companies elsewhere.

[1] https://www.economist.com/europe/2022/02/26/europe-is-the-fr...

Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by ttyprintk on Saturday December 09, 2023 @05:41AM (#38580655)
European drug-makers benefit from those high prices in the US, too. But anyway, I’ve heard that only 11-14% of new drugs are therapeutically important. The rest compete with pre-existing treatments, which I believe is how generic forms bring costs down. I’m ok with universities doing this; bringing costs down does save the lives of poor people.
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by tkpk on Sunday December 03, 2023 @08:42AM (#38506985)
This would be true if the only way to improve healthcare was to throw more money at it. The US could have the best healthcare system if it chose to spend those 12% on something else than pharma's pockets.
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by opo on Sunday December 03, 2023 @04:17PM (#38510855)
There isn't some simple silver bullet here. While the US ends up subsidizing other industrialized countries for prescription drugs (and that should be stopped), it is a small percentage of overall healthcare costs:

>While prescription drug costs only accounted for 8 percent of total U.S. healthcare spending in 2020, the price of such drugs has risen substantially over the last few decades. ... The U.S. spends twice as much on prescription drugs as other comparatively wealthy nations, on average.

https://www.pgpf.org/blog/2022/11/how-much-does-the-united-s...

Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by idontwantthis on Sunday December 03, 2023 @08:51AM (#38507063)
The government doesn’t need to and shouldn’t spend a dime on housing. It’s up to each state to just make it possible to build more homes. If the government can somehow compel that then great. We can fix the housing crisis and grow GDP at the same time.
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by kalleboo on Sunday December 03, 2023 @08:43AM (#38506997)
The US hegemony gives your country massive wealth. US GDP per capita is 30% higher than Germany. Europe is extremely poor compared to the US even when they're not paying for defense. The US has more than enough money to fix its domestic problems. There's just no political will. Nobody votes for the person who wants to fix difficult problems when you can just vote for the guy who points out flaws in the other guy's plan. (Europe is not really any different today - we're just lucky we got the big issues settled a few decades ago before social media gave everyone a voice)
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by surneaaa on Sunday December 03, 2023 @09:46AM (#38507422)
> Nobody votes for the person who wants to fix difficult problems when you can just vote for the guy who points out flaws in the other guy's plan

This is the major flaw with democracy and the reason it’s a moral imperative for the US to spread democracy. It’s easy for a small group (in reality, many disparate small groups) to manipulate a large population.

While technically it’s true the people of the US could fix this with voting, in reality it’s an insane way to operate. Our democracy was originally founded with restrictions on who could vote as well at a time when we had much stronger cultural bonds. Limiting who could vote mixed in with a healthy culture is necessary for democracy to work - otherwise it is exploited.

We need and deserve leaders who want to do the best for their people. Representative democracy allows for parasites to prevent this while placing the onus on the voter for their woes, knowing full well the voter will never be able to organize in a meaningful capacity because the population is too large and diverse. If the answer to our problems is always “get out and vote better”, nothing is ever going to get done and anyone pushing that idea is either ignorant or malicious.

Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by Gud on Sunday December 03, 2023 @12:57PM (#38509132)
You are producing a lot of words, but what are you actually saying? Less democracy, let the elites take care of it?
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by tetris11 on Sunday December 03, 2023 @08:57AM (#38507108)
GDP per capita requires just 1 multi-billionaire to bump those percentages up. You can't make such a QoL comparison that way.
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by kalleboo on Sunday December 03, 2023 @09:02AM (#38507136)
Just look at Americans though - they drive expensive trucks, have huge homes, middle class people can even own boats to require those trucks to drive back and forth with from their homes that have much land they can park a boat on it. Europeans are stuck in tiny apartments in cramped cities and take the train, bus or ride a bike. The US may not be sustainable but it has massively better QoL, I have so many friends who have moved to the US because you can live so much better with the same job.
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by atombender on Sunday December 03, 2023 @10:21AM (#38507660)
Your picture may be biased by what you see around you, and it seems to make some assumptions such as big trucks and homes being proxies for true affluence (a lot of what you're describing is funded by debt) or that big trucks and homes equals high QoL. I've lived for many years in both the U.S. and Europe, and the things you mention seem very superficial.

The U.S. has barely any public transportation infrastructure, it's ridiculously car-centric, it has enormous inequality, lacks a functional healthcare system (leading to dystopian situations like "medical bankruptcy"), suffers from insidious pollution (PFOAs are an American invention; meanwhile, a lot of drinking water in the U.S. does not meet requirements for safe levels of lead, and the U.S. is still mostly on fossil fuels), and has a deeply dysfunctional political two-party system that constantly threatens democracy.

A lot of people visiting from the U.S. or other countries marvel at my European country's high quality of life. We have great public healthcare, and a significant social safety net for the disadvantaged. We have a great public transportation infrastructure, a surplus of green energy (no coal), and there's generally little need to own a car for many people, nor a car-obsessed culture. We work less and allow more time for family and friends. Everyone gets 5 weeks of paid vacation every year, by law. Sure, we get paid less, but financial wealth isn't everything. Considering healthcare, we (both individuals and the state) spend a lot less than the U.S. I don't have any data on the sizes of apartments, but plenty of people live in big (perhaps not by American standards) detached houses here.

Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by kalleboo on Sunday December 03, 2023 @10:58AM (#38508004)
> the things you mention seem very superficial

They are. But they're still expensive(†). My point is that GP says the US can't have nice things because they're spending all their money on the defense of the rest of the developed world and Europe is just rolling in dough to spend on public infrastructure. The US absolutely has money that it can spend on these things if it wanted to, but it doesn't. $60k pickup trucks (the median cost) aren't a thing anywhere else in the world, and in every thread here on EVs it's full of excuses of why these vehicles are ESSENTIAL to the functioning of US society. If all of that money was spent on public infrastructure instead, they could have much nice things.

I totally agree that lots of people are suffering in the US. It's not being spread equally. I totally agree that US politics are completely dysfunctional. I agree that that is the problem. I'm just refuting GPs argument that "it's because we're sending money overseas". It's because you're misallocating money locally.

GP is saying Europe can have these things because the the US is defending them. I'm saying the US has more than enough money to do these things, if they allocated it the same as Europe does (even after removing military spending)

(†) Debt, sure, but Japan's national debt is 200% of GDP and people are touting them in this thread as an example of how you can have your cake and eat it too.

Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by strangesmells06 on Sunday December 03, 2023 @09:05AM (#38507157)
Id like to see a median comparison or some other stats.
Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by ttyprintk on Saturday December 09, 2023 @05:14AM (#38580490)
It doesn’t change the argument much:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Median_income

Off topic: China has done a great job pulling half a billion people out of poverty and it shows.

Re:Why the decline of US power has been greatly exaggerated by libertine on Sunday December 03, 2023 @09:08AM (#38507175)
> When you get defense for “free” from an overstretched US military, you obviously have more budget to develop your own country.

Don't forget that is not "free", the US has benefited from a lot of perks due to the position they're in.

But it is true sovereign countries should take care of their defenses beyond what the US has to offer, but that will also come at the cost of the US.

You can't have the cake and eat it at the same time - which is what some people seem to be forgetting among all of those internal politics complaints, and the mixing of the US geoplitics with internal politics.

Because you can't be the "leader of the free world" and get all the benefits from it, while you cherry pick what it entails. Now you might argue that you don't see the benefits of that position, which is fair, but a lot is going on more than just military bases in Europe.

And the world will carry on, and those voids left by the US will be filled. China is very happy to fill those empty spaces.