> Most of us would love to have a flop that gets 100M users in just over 100 hours.

Vast majority of those users have stopped using the service. Activity is down at least 85%.

https://techcrunch.com/2023/08/31/threads-web-launch-did-lit...

https://www.similarweb.com/blog/insights/social-media-news/t...

Yes, and it’s still doing 10x the DAU of Bluesky. Every time Twitter does something boneheaded, as seen this week, there’s another exodus. The best way to predict the future is to examine the past, and the past for Twitter is unforced error after unforced error sending their userbase running into Threads’ open arms.

Oh man I missed it, what did Twitter do this time?

I'm not arguing for Twitter's viability, just against the idea that Threads is promising. If there were repeated exoduses from Twitter to Threads, we'd expect to see Threads' activity go up, not decay smoothly downward.

What happened to all those senior twitter engineers Musk fired a year ago who said twitter would die in a week without them?

"it's now worth 1/10 what you paid for it" seems like death to me; I assume those fired Twitter engineers just thought that would be considered failure.

The sole asset propping up the stock valuation was the engineers?

This is a fair point. I think there were also product people in the rif that might’ve been able to push back on the notion of incinerating the Twitter brand.

Obviously not, but when your engineers are leveling lawsuits left and right it certainly doesn’t help with confidence in your company.

Add to that the kind of person Musk is and Twitter is on a nosedive, it just has an absurdly long way to fall.

Look at the replies on this post, it's a dumpster fire: https://www.threads.net/@jeffbezos/post/CyFInFjrRxs

So far, a community made of people whose most common shared trait is hating Elon Musk seems like not a very nice place to be.

The only interesting thing about it as a user is if someone famous happens to post there for some reason they often get very little engagement, and as a result if you reply to them there's a higher chance they might read it and respond compared to other platforms.

Are they wrong to criticize Jeff "you paid for this" Bezos' rocket vanity project?

Yes they are wrong, and you are wrong too. This isn't "Bezos' rocket vanity project". This is Amazon's Kuiper satellites, planned to provide globally available fast internet access and some welcome competition for Musk's Starlink. This isn't space tourism for rich people, Bezos has less than a 10% stake in it (through his remaining, dwindling ownership of Amazon), and it's not even using a Blue Origin rocket. It's a real business that should provide a lot of value to real people on Earth.

Besides that, the overwhelmingly hateful sentiment is way over the top. I want no part of a platform that is populated by people like that, especially when they clearly have no regard for facts.

I enjoyed the civil honeymoon Threads enjoyed, but my feeling was always that we’d know Twitter was dead when the jerks migrated to Threads. The Bezos post comments marked that event.

I mean I get that and hooray competition I guess? Personally, I don’t want either of those men in charge of a utility like that. Elon has already shown that he’ll mess with Starlink out of spite, and Bezos is a person who does not understand _anything_ about what being a person is.

> Elon has already shown that he’ll mess with Starlink out of spite

Are you referring to the supposed shutting down of Starlink over Crimea during a Ukrainian operation? That was misinformation and never happened. The US government has control over Starlink in several different ways and you can be sure that if they really needed it turned on or off in any specific area they could have it done immediately.

Thanks! I forgot that that part was from the book by Musk and Isaacson and is clarified shortly thereafter. I’ve updated my comment to reflect the actual impact (which I still don’t agree with)

The power to grant is almost always the power to deny or even take away

Honestly the only interesting thing about that thread is the severe lack of engagement. Single digit likes and replies on the reply comments. Threads definitely didn't work out.