Yes, and it’s still doing 10x the DAU of Bluesky. Every time Twitter does something boneheaded, as seen this week, there’s another exodus. The best way to predict the future is to examine the past, and the past for Twitter is unforced error after unforced error sending their userbase running into Threads’ open arms.

Oh man I missed it, what did Twitter do this time?

I'm not arguing for Twitter's viability, just against the idea that Threads is promising. If there were repeated exoduses from Twitter to Threads, we'd expect to see Threads' activity go up, not decay smoothly downward.