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Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by nameless912 on Monday August 21, 2023 @02:40PM (#37213638)
I once was interviewing for an internship at a quant firm in Chicago (I was in my Sophomore year I think at UIUC) and my interview went pretty well up to the point of my second-last interview of the day.

Then, I sat down with the VP of engineering, and he opened the interview with "so, what do you think it is we do here?" And I naturally stuttered through a canned answer about how they use arbitrage opportunities in the market to profit off of mis-priced securities, etc. Then he asked me, "but what benefit do we provide? Why is working here good for society?"

I blanked, and didn't answer for about 15 seconds. Then, I tried to start piecing together an answer until he stopped me, told me he had found my Facebook, and wasn't appreciative of my politics (I was moderately lefty in high school, significantly more so now; maybe this conversation is part of why). He had _printouts_ of some posts I had made criticizing George W. Bush, talking about why I thought we should be raising taxes on higher earners, supporting Obamacare, etc. He told me that he didn't think I had the "cojones to stomach the job" (direct quote), and told the recruiter not to bother with the last interview and that I had failed.

I _sobbed_ on the train home; I think it was the worst I had ever felt about an interview in my entire life, and yet looking back at it, I think this was the best possible outcome. Imagine if I had worked for this asshole.

I've worked for companies I don't personally agree with in the past; it's part of living in a society(TM). I am able to hold my nose to a certain extent to make an income for my family (heck, I am currently having to cross picket lines to come to work, which makes me feel icky). But I can't fathom what hell I would have been living under had I gotten and taken that job.

Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by eachro on Monday August 21, 2023 @03:14PM (#37214021)
Which firm was this?
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by nameless912 on Monday August 21, 2023 @03:33PM (#37214246)
I don't remember at this point to be honest, this was like...10 years ago? But this moment is seared in my mind.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by allo37 on Monday August 21, 2023 @03:43PM (#37214370)
I'm curious what the answer was. I've read plenty about how the boutique finance sector is basically a parasite that only benefits a small cohort of already wealthy individuals, would like to hear what the other side has to say.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by nameless912 on Monday August 21, 2023 @03:44PM (#37214380)
Right? Like, I tried really hard to prepare a very neutral answer focusing on taking advantage of arbitrage and fixing over- or under-priced securities, which I think is the closest thing to a benefit you could come up with. And that apparently wasn't good enough for this guy.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by nvm0n2 on Wednesday August 23, 2023 @06:56AM (#37234076)
He was checking if you understand what the actual benefits of trading firms are to the wider market participants. I've never worked in trading and even I know the answer to that: he was looking for a discussion of the value of liquidity and price discovery.

Sounds like you gave an answer that didn't mention that at all, and may have presented the firm as merely taking advantage of other people's mistakes to make profit. Clearly that's not how he saw it, and the VP correctly guessed from your social media that you may not actually have understood the part of the finance industry that you were applying to work for. The question was to check whether you'd actually be enthusiastic about the work you were doing and you did indeed fail it.

This would be like if you turned up at Google and an interviewer said, "What do we do here" and you said "exploit data to profit from people's ignorance" and when they gave you a second chance you couldn't answer.

Frankly you can't get a job at most firms if you can't explain why you think the company should exist.

Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by jerkstate on Monday August 21, 2023 @05:05PM (#37215349)
The answer I get from people working at market makers I’ve talked to is that they provide liquidity (so you can buy or sell a security immediately rather than waiting minutes or hours?) and decrease volatility.

An example is onions futures; see https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onion_Futures_Act and check the onions price history: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPU01130216/ compared to a commodity where futures trading in common, like corn: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PMAIZMTUSDM where there are price swings but the volatility and frequency of the swings is lower.

I’m a layperson, not involved in finance, but this is the value add I most commonly hear about.

Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by scubbo on Monday August 21, 2023 @05:45PM (#37215756)
Likewise, this is the answer I generally hear from those folks. IME it's still begging the question - the increased liquidity is still overwhelmingly only meaningful to those already-ultra-rich, unless you subscribe to trickle-down Economics.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by mihaaly on Monday August 21, 2023 @05:48PM (#37215790)
This does not sound as value for the society but advantage for the tradesman.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by abdullahkhalids on Monday August 21, 2023 @06:17PM (#37216090)
One set of markers of a "good" industry or organization is whether they pay for all the harm they create in society and whether their profits are equal to or below the value they create for society.

For instance, the oil/car industry pays for basically none of the large negative externalities they create. In this case, I hazard that futures industry captures more value than they create. And that value is extracted from other players in the vertical chain, particularly farmers.

Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by scarby2 on Monday August 21, 2023 @07:44PM (#37216794)
futures contracts work somewhat well for farmers. There's a level of certainty provided and they are reducing their risk so that a low price at the end of the season doesn't ruin them (however they also don't profit from a higher price). As a farmer i would likely prefer to sell a certain percentage of my goods with a futures contract so that i can have less risk of financial ruin.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by wdg3 on Monday August 21, 2023 @09:03PM (#37217306)
The relationship between futures traders and farmers is pretty much identical to that between any kind of insurance company and its customers - it's a risk arbitrage transaction where the client (farmers in this case) are sacrificing profit in expectation for a flatter outcome curve which in a properly priced market yields higher utility in expectation, since utility as a function of profit is concave for an individual farmer and much closer to linear for a well-capitalized market maker.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by abdullahkhalids on Monday August 21, 2023 @11:04PM (#37218152)
I understand the mathematics. The problem is that there is a practical asymmetry of information. Large future traders can invest a lot of resources into getting a much better prediction of future prices, while individual farmers cannot. In such scenarios, it is inevitable that farmers will be exploited by future traders into making bad deals.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by malloryerik on Tuesday August 22, 2023 @02:04AM (#37219195)
You might try examining -- with an open mindset -- a few CFTC Commitments of Traders reports and then see if you feel the same way.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by boring_twenties on Tuesday August 22, 2023 @02:07PM (#37226491)
This reasoning seems suspicious. Why would farmers choose to use futures markets if it doesn't benefit them?
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by Turskarama on Monday August 21, 2023 @06:53PM (#37216433)
That's the benefit they give to their _customer_, which is not the same as a benefit to _society_.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by md_ on Tuesday August 22, 2023 @01:42AM (#37219088)
In contrast to the parent post:

When I was an undergrad, I interviewed at a then-very small, now-very-prestigious quant firm. In the last interview or so, I asked the quant head something like, “but what value do you provide to society?”

He said, “we provide liquidity.”

I turned down the job they later offered and went to work at a software company that sells a thing people buy.

Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by tangjurine on Tuesday August 22, 2023 @08:34AM (#37221777)
I took a look at the two graphs.

I would prefer the price of onions - seems like the price is a lot more stable other than a few points out of the year where it is very high. For those times, I could choose to have a small store of onions or go without.

For the price of corn, if the price is high, chances are it will be high for a while, so I'll have to go without for a while...

What do other people think?

Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by m463 on Monday August 21, 2023 @11:00PM (#37218129)
I wonder too. Some things are really non-intuitive.

I really enjoyed "The Rational Optimist" where it explains things like trade, which tends to make everyone wealthy, while generally the people trading think they are both getting the better end of the deal.

Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by gsuuon on Thursday August 24, 2023 @04:14PM (#37253971)
I think the value add of the speculative markets is (in theory) that people make predictions of what will be valuable -- if they're right they earn and if not they lose out. In effect, it's market research expressed as bets. That information can have utility but my opinion is that our current setup probably over rewards this sort of work.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by hw-guy on Monday August 21, 2023 @04:01PM (#37214602)
I have a friend in a similar business who was honest enough to admit that his impact on society was "likely negative, at best neutral," but it was a comfortable living.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by strikelaserclaw on Monday August 21, 2023 @05:16PM (#37215471)
Should have been honest and said "You contribute nothing to society"
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by jacknews on Monday August 21, 2023 @06:29PM (#37216197)
I'm sure they already know that, indeed that they actually contribute negatively, which is why you need to be able to 'stomach the job'.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by abjr on Monday August 21, 2023 @06:57PM (#37216478)
"You're just taking up space."
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by version_five on Monday August 21, 2023 @07:30PM (#37216714)
What a loser. I probably align more with him than you politically, but I don't go around berating internship candidates about it, it's no way for an adult to behave whatever your politics.

Whenever I have shitty experience like that I always think of the James Bond movie Quantum of Solice, there's some part where somebody doesn't deliver and the bad guy loses out, and upon being told he lost something valuable, he says "not as valuable as knowing who to trust". Like you say, it was a bad experience but actually the best possible information you could have gotten.

Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by dekhn on Monday August 21, 2023 @08:38PM (#37217132)
I asked this exact question ("what is the net benefit of currency arbitrage") and nobody has been able to articulate is.

Stock markets, I can see- they existed and exist to share risk and profit. But shorting and arbitrage, it's much harder for me to understand those.

(and yes, that VP was a sociopath)

Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by jpmoral on Monday August 21, 2023 @09:32PM (#37217518)
Re: shorting. If people who believe a company is undervalued are allowed to trade based on that belief then people who believe a company is overvalued should be allowed to do the same.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by dekhn on Monday August 21, 2023 @09:50PM (#37217635)
Are shorting and longing symmetric? IE, do they influence the market in the same way? They seem much more complicated than straightforward stock purchase and fractional ownership.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by jpmoral on Monday August 21, 2023 @11:20PM (#37218264)
Don't know enough to say but I would guess so.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by hcks on Tuesday August 22, 2023 @02:39AM (#37219430)
In the generic case:

Longing == buying a share

Shorting == selling a share

Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by pjacotg on Wednesday August 23, 2023 @11:17PM (#37244615)
I'd add to that and say shorting is typically selling a share that you don't own. Which means you need to borrow it from a broker for a fee. There's a securities lending market which revolves around borrowing and lending shares for these reasons.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by nvm0n2 on Wednesday August 23, 2023 @06:59AM (#37234086)
Yes, they're symmetric. Shorting is logistically a bit more complex than going long, but that's not an argument against it. After all, buying stocks is itself more complicated than buying land, and buying land is more complicated than renting, etc.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by hcks on Tuesday August 22, 2023 @02:36AM (#37219413)
1/ both shorting and arbitrage can and will happen as soon as you let people more or less freely buy and sell things

2/ people do it for their own (expected) personal profit

3/ at the market level, these transactions contribute to price discovery

You could imagine banning currency arbitrage, but then you’d have to at the same time enforce somehow consistent prices on all markets (I.e. literally do the same thing as arbitragers do)

Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by pcthrowaway on Tuesday August 22, 2023 @05:36AM (#37220451)
In theory you're making the markets more efficient.

Someone outside of finance exchanging one forex for another could get a more fair rate if their exchange is more efficient due to increased liquidity.

But by the same token, the other side of that trade is getting a less favourable (but still more "fair") rate

Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by blq10 on Tuesday August 22, 2023 @05:49AM (#37220538)
Price discovery was brought up, but think about it this way - if Good A is plentiful in Market A and scarce in Market B - prices will be very high in B but cheap in A.

Robber Baron Capitalist comes in and says "hey wait a minute, there's money to be made!"

He starts buying goods in A, then selling them in B.

This is a very, very stupid idea, your 5 year old could have it. So that means as soon as Business A figures it out, B , D, E, and F aren't far behind.

The net for people in Market B is that now they don't pay the previous scarce price, but something closer to Market As, and more people can afford the good. This means that someone does all the work of building out all that logistics for us, simply to exploit the price differential.

Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by zoky on Tuesday August 22, 2023 @08:12AM (#37221551)
I feel like this question fundamentally demonstrates a lack of understanding of what arbitrage actually is. The obvious answer is: Because water seeks its own level.

If there is an imbalance in the market, someone will balance it. That's how it works. Let's say you have two different securities, that both represent the same underlying aspect of the economy. This happens all the time; there are multiple ETFs that represent the same basket of stocks, there are options and futures on those ETFs, including different types of futures that represent the same ETF but at different levels of leverage, there are options on those futures, and so on. All of this exists because there is no reason for them not to—people believe they can make money, reduce risk, or whatever by using these derivative instruments, and maybe they can.

But all of these stocks, funds, and derivatives are valued by one thing, and one thing only: their price on the open market. So, what happens when one of these funds get out of whack with the value of its derivatives, or even the underlying stocks themselves? Remember how we had multiple securities representing the same underlying aspect of the economy? Well, one is now worth more than the other, despite the fact that they represent the same thing. There's an imbalance, and if it gets too far out of balance, people are going to realize, wait, I can just buy 500 shares of SPY and short one ES contract, and that's free money! And that's entirely correct, you can. But the result of doing so is a minor market correction; the price of SPY goes up and the price of ES goes down, and boom, we're back in equilibrium.

So, arbitrage is a necessary and unavoidable aspect of the stock market. You can't have a stock market without arbitrage, because the stock market reflects so many different facets and ways to trade ownership and value of companies. Arbitrage is, in essence, the means by which information flows between various aspects of the market, and it connects them together so they effectively move in lockstep. It is nothing less than the market leveling itself, just as water poured into one side of a swimming pool fills every part of the pool.

Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by nvm0n2 on Wednesday August 23, 2023 @07:02AM (#37234109)
> what is the net benefit of currency arbitrage

It means you can actually ask the question "how many dollars is a pound worth" and get a meaningful answer.

If arbitrage wasn't possible for some reason, and it's a natural phenomenon so that would have to involve pretty horrific levels of state-backed control, then the answer would be:

"It's $X in London and heading down, was $Y in New York yesterday and heading up, and $Z in Chicago but you probably can't get an account there because it takes ages and requires special paperwork, and <thousands of additional prices>"

You would then spend the rest of the afternoon attempting to figure out how the hell to do a basic international trade or FX transaction and by the time you'd finished reviewing the prices they'd have all changed again.

Arbitrageurs seek out and correct fixable price disparities, thus enabling you to talk about one global price for a particular type of trade. This has tremendous value for everyone.

Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by gardenhedge on Tuesday August 22, 2023 @08:49AM (#37221964)
Wow, that's a clear abuse of power and position against someone interviewing.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by wruza on Tuesday August 22, 2023 @01:32PM (#37225996)
I’d genuinely ask why the fuck he waited for all these rounds to complete if political cojones scan was mandatory for the job. These last Big Men in Power never fail to deliver the most irrational nonsense you’ve never even thought about.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by i_am_a_peasant on Tuesday August 22, 2023 @05:50PM (#37228994)
As long as you're not some violent extremist/racist who the hell cares which way do you lean politically? o.O I never once asked a workmate who they vote for. Nor will I.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by BizarroLand on Tuesday August 22, 2023 @07:53PM (#37230122)
That's like the devil telling you he won't buy your soul because there's too much light in it.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by white_dragon88 on Wednesday August 23, 2023 @05:03AM (#37233474)
That guys sounds like a borderline sociopath. What a terrible way to treat someone.
Re:Ask HN: What's the biggest red flag you've encountered du... by Pound5260 on Thursday August 24, 2023 @11:42AM (#37250185)
This comment has a lot of support (and indeed was a shitty interview experience) but the one mentioning the interviewer asking if they voted for Trump due being born in a red state it's crickets. It's ok to be shitty, as long as you do it in a politically correct context.