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Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by kergonath on Sunday August 06, 2023 @11:55AM (#37023255)
> I don't see how this could ever work, and non-scientists seem to often dramatically underestimate the amount of work it would be to replicate every published paper.

They also tend to over-estimate the effect of peer review (often equating peer review with validity).

> If someone cares enough about the work to build on it, they will replicate it anyway. And in that case they have a good incentive to spend the effort. If that works this will indirectly support the original paper even if the following papers don't specifically replicate the original results. Though this part is much more problematic if the following experiments fail, then this will likely remain entirely unpublished.

It can also remain unpublished if other things did not work out, even if the results could be replicated. A half-fictional example: a team is working on a revolutionary new material to solve complicated engineering problems. They found a material that was synthesised by someone in the 1980s, published once and never reproduced, which they think could have the specific property they are after. So they synthesise it, and it turns out that the material exists, with the expected structure but not with the property they hoped. They aren’t going to write it up and publish it; they’re just going to scrap it and move on to the next candidate. Different teams might be doing the same thing at the same time, and nobody coming after them will have a clue.

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by techdragon on Sunday August 06, 2023 @02:31PM (#37025092)
This waste of effort by way of duplicating unpublished negative results is a big factor in why replicated results deserve to be rated more highly than results that have not been replicated regardless of the prestige of the researchers or the institutions involved… if no one can prove your work work was correct… how much can anyone trust your work…

I have gone down the rabbit hole of engineering research before and 90% of the time I’ve managed to find an anecdote or subsequent research footnotes or actual subsequent research publications, that substantially invalidated the lofty claims of the engineers in the 70s or 80s (which is amazing still despite this, a genuine treasure trove of research unused and sometimes useful aerospace engineering research and development) and unfortunately outside the few proper publications, a lot of the invalidations are not properly reverse cited research material and I could have spent a week cross referencing before I spot the link and realise the unnamed work they are saying they are proving wrong is actually some footnotes containing the only published data (before their new paper) on some old work that has a bad scan copy on the NASA NTRS server under some obscure title and no related keywords to the topic the research is notionally about…

Academic research can genuinely suck sometimes… particularly when you want to actually apply it.

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by aeternum on Monday August 07, 2023 @01:46AM (#37030613)
Publishing positive/noteworth results only does seem like an embarrassingly obvious major flaw in academia and the greater scientific community.

A research assistant would quickly be thrown out if he/she refused to record negative experimental results, yet we somehow decide that is fine when operating as a collective.

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by godelski on Monday August 07, 2023 @05:21AM (#37032179)
Alternatively, maybe researchers should be encouraged to publish all kinds of results and not just "novel" work. Successes, failures, insights, etc. This idea of how we evaluate researchers is often silly. We're asking people to push the bounds of knowledge and we don't know what will come from it or how long it will take. But we are hyper focused on this short term evaluation.
Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by vibrio on Sunday August 06, 2023 @03:59PM (#37025986)
“They also tend to over-estimate the effect of peer review (often equating peer review with validity).“

In my experience, scientists ate comfortably cynical about peer review- even those that serve as reviewers and editors- except maybe junior scientists that haven’t gotten burned yet.

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by jakear on Sunday August 06, 2023 @04:39PM (#37026425)
It's the general public that equates "peer reviewed" with "definitely correct, does not need to be questioned".
Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by PaulHoule on Sunday August 06, 2023 @08:21PM (#37028432)
Except for the ones that conclude it is all a scam.
Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by kibibu on Sunday August 06, 2023 @08:26PM (#37028481)
There is genuine merit in peer review though. A lot of the marketing "papers" from OpenAI and Google would benefit from going through a peer review process instead of scholarwashing and uploading straight to Arxiv.

One simple example, (from memory) the Bard paper doesn't include results for experiments in which GPT-4 outperforms it. As a result, people come away from these works with an inflated understanding of their capabilities. This wouldn't pass peer review.

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by jakear on Sunday August 06, 2023 @09:50PM (#37029047)
Industry doesn't need peer review. The proof of the pudding is in the sales.
Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by ModernMech on Sunday August 06, 2023 @10:32PM (#37029352)
This is the final stage of capitalism, where market success is conflated with scientific rigor.
Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by jakear on Sunday August 06, 2023 @10:54PM (#37029508)
Engineering, not scientific.

High Sales = A large number of people can attest to the engineered good or service being of high enough quality that they will exchange hard earned money for the ability to use it.

Peer Review = Some folks who derive self-worth from citations ask you to add a citation to their work and you do it because you'll probably need to ask them for the same some time later.

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by depereo on Monday August 07, 2023 @12:35AM (#37030176)
This doesn't really account for fraud or abuse. Plenty of profitable companies whose product is a scam, or has other factors that make it successful.

Market success isn't the same thing as validity.

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by jakear on Monday August 07, 2023 @07:23AM (#37032990)
Peer review isn't the same thing as validity either. Both are proxies, sales are simply a much better proxy. Especially long term sales from an established company.

Look at it like this: a Peer Reviewed (tm) article comes out saying "Foos cannot Bar, it is impossible". The same day, Apple releases "Bar for Foos, $8/month". Over the next year you see media outlets discussing how well Foo Barring works. Online reviewers talk about how they've incorporated Barring their Foos into everyday life and it has benefitted them in all these great ways. Your colleagues at work mention their fruitful Foo Barring adventure over the past weekend. Routine posts on HN come up where hackers describe how they've incorporated the Foo Barring API's into their own products in some novel way.

Your mother then calls you up to ask if she should get involved with this new Foo Barring thing. What do you say, can Foos Bar?

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by tsimionescu on Monday August 07, 2023 @02:09AM (#37030769)
A quick trip around audiophile companies should quickly disabuse you of the notion that high sales implies any kind of worth to a product. There are several companies making lots of money on selling gold HDMI, ethernet etc cables "to improve sound quality", and plenty of rubes buying them and "hearing the difference".
Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by memefrog on Monday August 07, 2023 @02:17AM (#37030826)
Real Hi-Fi companies like Sennheiser and Bose make far more money than people selling gold HDMI cables. And they've been making much more money for decades and will continue to make money for decades.

Grifters don't win in the long-term.

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by Qwertious on Monday August 07, 2023 @11:37PM (#37044226)
>Grifters don't win in the long-term.

Plenty of religions suggest otherwise.

(Dear reader: I'm not referring to your religion - I'm referring to the other religions.)

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by memefrog on Tuesday August 08, 2023 @02:11AM (#37045137)
Wow so edgy and cool. Are you a teenager?
Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by optionalsquid on Monday August 07, 2023 @03:33AM (#37031421)
You frequently see this kind of reasoning in medical quackery:

> Butt-candling[1] must work, just look all these happy customers!

But history is replete with ineffective or downright harmful treatments being popular long after the evidence showed them to be ineffective or harmful. Homeopathy is a prime example of this, seeing as those concoctions contain either no active ingredients or (in cases of low dilutions still labeled "homeopathic") contain ingredients picked based on notions of sympathetic magic ("like cures like").

[1] A hopefully fictional example.

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by jakear on Monday August 07, 2023 @07:14AM (#37032928)
This is a perfect example. In the real world, some placebos work. You take them, believe that they will work, and they do. Fantastic! Your problem has been solved, you share your story with friend(s), the cure spreads based on how well it works for them.

It's only in academia that they must instead work in a sterile environment that some person who has never stepped foot off a school campus thinks is "more authentic" for them to be seen as legitimate.

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by kibibu on Monday August 07, 2023 @12:08AM (#37029982)
Then why does it dress its marketing up in academic paper format?
Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by jakear on Monday August 07, 2023 @12:10AM (#37029999)
In want of sales.
Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by kergonath on Monday August 07, 2023 @07:43AM (#37033133)
It gives a nice patina and some legitimacy. They have no need to publish quasi-scientific articles.
Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by somenameforme on Monday August 07, 2023 @12:42AM (#37030236)
You can often see a p-hacked study from a mile away because they measure large numbers of unnecessary variables. They then pick those 4 variables that yield a probably false signal and publish on it. One would think these would never pass peer review, but they're regularly peer reviewed, published, and then, shockingly enough, fail to replicate. Hypothesizing after the results are known falls in the same bucket here. This is why pre-publishing kicked off, yet it's also hardly a savior.

The point I make is that peer review can not be guaranteed to 'fix' science in any way we might like. The Sokal Affair [1] has now been replicated repeatedly, including in peer reviewed journals. The most recent one even got quite cheeky and published it under the names "Sage Owens, Kal Avers-Lynde III" - Sokal III. [2] It always preys on the same weakness - bias confirmation.

[1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sokal_affair

[2] - https://www.nationalreview.com/news/academic-journal-publish...

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by kjkjadksj on Monday August 07, 2023 @01:32AM (#37030525)
What is honestly a lot more compelling than peer review is multiple supporting pieces of evidence from different sources. One result might be spurious, but if you can find a couple independent studies showing as much its probably a real phenomenon.
Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by kergonath on Sunday August 06, 2023 @04:35PM (#37026369)
Yes, because we know how the metaphorical sausage is made: with unpaid reviewers who have many other, more interesting things to do and often an axe to grind. That is, if they don’t delegate the review to one of their post-docs.
Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by aftoprokrustes on Sunday August 06, 2023 @05:18PM (#37026892)
Post doc? In what kind of utopian field did you work? In my former institute virtually all papers were written by PhD candidates, and reviewed by PhD candidates. With the expected effect on quality (due to lack of experience and impostor-syndrome-induced "how can I propose to reject? They are likely better than me"). But the Prof-to-postdoc-to-PhD-ratio was particularly bad (1-2-15).
Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by kelipso on Sunday August 06, 2023 @06:11PM (#37027427)
I was reviewing papers starting second semester of grad school with my advisor just signing off on it, so not even PhD candidates, and it was the same for my lab mates too.

Initially we spent probably a few hours on a paper for peer review because we were relatively unfamiliar with the field but eventually I spent maybe a couple of hours doing the review. Wouldn't say peer review is a joke but it's definitely overrated by the public.

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by godelski on Monday August 07, 2023 @05:35AM (#37032251)
> "how can I propose to reject? They are likely better than me"

Funny enough, I see exactly the opposite. I've seen this in both reviews I've done and reviews I've received. Just this week I reviewed and saw one of my fellow reviewers write in their justifications: I am not familiar with X, but I am skeptical that the method can scale to a more complex application. Their weaknesses section was extremely generic and it was very clear they didn't understand the work. They gave a weak reject. In fact, when I first started reviewing, I was explicitly told to _only_ accept if I was confident that the work was good. So in my experience, the bias goes the other way that you are proposing.

Btw, I've even seen undergrads acting as reviewers. I was asked to review in in my first year of grad school. I don't think I was qualified then, but I was always a junior reviewer rather than a full so idk.

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by godelski on Monday August 07, 2023 @05:30AM (#37032224)
> with unpaid reviewers who have many other, more interesting things to do

It's kinda funny. A journal doesn't make the product it sells (the papers that it copywrites). It doesn't pay for the service it performs ("vetting" and editing). And both of these would be done regardless of their existence. I can understand distribution, but that hasn't been useful for over a decade now. What even do these things do anymore?

(btw, I've seen profs delegate to undergrads. And it is quite common for post-docs AND grad students to be reviewers. Trust me, I am one)

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by kergonath on Monday August 07, 2023 @07:52AM (#37033214)
> What even do these things do anymore?

Networking, mostly, in the sense that an article in a high impact journal has a higher probability to be integrated in citations networks. The fact that there is some gate keeping means that it’s valuable to be in rather than out, and that’s something you can use to get a position. Also, better journals (which are not necessarily the highest-impact ones) tend to have more thorough peer review (such as 3 reviewers by default instead of 1 or 2, editors who are not afraid to ask for more reviews if the 3 are not conclusive, etc).

> (btw, I've seen profs delegate to undergrads. And it is quite common for post-docs AND grad students to be reviewers. Trust me, I am one)

I am lucky not to have been in that situation when I was a student, and I did not delegate any further when I got the occasional review from the prof when I was a post-doc. But I am unfortunately not surprised.

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by godelski on Monday August 07, 2023 @01:41PM (#37037832)
I am not asking "what do they do" in the sense of bureaucratic circular logic, but rather what do they serve us, as scientists, that is a unique thing that is not solved by other things that we do.

What field are you in where post-docs aren't getting calls to review directly from the conference? I'm in ML and it isn't my advisor assigning me reviews, it is the conference.

Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by renonce on Sunday August 06, 2023 @06:59PM (#37027843)
I don't know how scientists handle peer review but aren't they fighting with peer review to get their papers published and apply for PhD and tenure and grants etc with these publications?
Re:Replace Peer Review with “Peer Replication” (2021) by godelski on Monday August 07, 2023 @05:27AM (#37032209)
It's because we all know it is a con to just get money from universities and governments. We had a long time without this system and we perverted it from its original intent. 3-4 people reading a paper are incapable of proving something is valid (the inverse is true, but also remember there's 3 options: true, false, indeterminate). It's even more silly that we think we can rank them (i.e. top tier venues). Rejection rate isn't a ranking, and it is silly to think it could be (way too easy to hack). We just go with the momentum and because that's what the admins require of us. Otherwise, let's me honest, we're all communicating our work outside the structure of journals and conferences (at least they offer meetups). It's very hard for me to justify their existence if we're being honest. And honestly, I don't see how abandoning these systems wouldn't just save us time and money. Like god, the number of hours I spend reworking things which got no actionable feedback from the previous round, is insane. It is just too easy to get non-actionable rejections and that just wastes everybody's time and money, and frankly holds back science.