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Re:Successful room temperature ambient-pressure magnetic lev... by marginalia_nu on Friday August 04, 2023 @08:31AM (#36999059)
It's also worth mentioning that room temperature superconductor "discoveries" happen a lot, and have always turned out to be a disappointment.

It's been considered to be within the same bermuda triangle of scientific vaporware that demarked by quantum computers performing useful tasks, fusion power generation, that sort of thing. Always just around the corner. It's basically a meme in physics.

Room temperature superconductivity is not demonstrably impossible like a perpetual motion machine, but mainstream press picking up on yet another set of amazing claims in this field tends to (deservedly) lead to a lot of eye rolling.

The consequence is that if you've actually made actual progress in the field, you'd better be very sure you are right and able to back it up.

Re:Successful room temperature ambient-pressure magnetic lev... by pmoriarty on Friday August 04, 2023 @10:31AM (#37000606)
So how sure are we that this isn't yet another in a long line of disappointments?
Re:Successful room temperature ambient-pressure magnetic lev... by sillysaurusx on Friday August 04, 2023 @10:35AM (#37000644)
Re:Successful room temperature ambient-pressure magnetic lev... by yellow_postit on Friday August 04, 2023 @10:55AM (#37000895)
What’s the track record of open prediction markets (no barrier to join) vs super predictor markets (have some requirements - be it credentials, proven expertise, or track records)?

I keep seeing markets like this posted for LK99 and personally find it unconvincing more than a sentiment analysis of the twitter and news hype cycle.

Re:Successful room temperature ambient-pressure magnetic lev... by collective-intl on Friday August 04, 2023 @11:14AM (#37001152)
The track record is pretty good, even including a bunch of small markets with few traders: https://manifold.markets/calibration
Re:Successful room temperature ambient-pressure magnetic lev... by marginalia_nu on Friday August 04, 2023 @11:08AM (#37001066)
We're not, and don't think there's a physicist in the world who wouldn't advice tempering expectations at this point. Yes it would be exciting if it's the real deal, but it's also far from the first candidate we've seen and so far they've never been replicated.
Re:Successful room temperature ambient-pressure magnetic lev... by eastbound on Saturday August 05, 2023 @03:52AM (#37009943)
Talking about fusion, isn’t the major part of the Tokamak plant in Cadarache in France, dedicated to cooling down the superconductors to zero temperatures?

If we make a leap in room-temperature superconductors, do we also make a leap in fusion?

Re:Successful room temperature ambient-pressure magnetic lev... by marginalia_nu on Saturday August 05, 2023 @09:04AM (#37011625)
It would help with one (out of many) problems in that field, sure. Though it would likely depend quite a bit on the nature of the superconductors we're able to produce.