News for hackers. Stuff that matters.

A comment on Successful room temperature ambient-pressure magnetic levitation of LK-99. Parent comment

Re:Successful room temperature ambient-pressure magnetic lev... by yellow_postit on Friday August 04, 2023 @10:55AM (#37000895)
What’s the track record of open prediction markets (no barrier to join) vs super predictor markets (have some requirements - be it credentials, proven expertise, or track records)?

I keep seeing markets like this posted for LK99 and personally find it unconvincing more than a sentiment analysis of the twitter and news hype cycle.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Successful room temperature ambient-pressure magnetic lev... by collective-intl on Friday August 04, 2023 @11:14AM (#37001152)
The track record is pretty good, even including a bunch of small markets with few traders: https://manifold.markets/calibration
[ Parent | on HN ]