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Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by 1270018080 on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @12:56PM (#36406948)
That's happening right now though, and people are still fervently climate change deniers. When it comes to conspiracy theories or cults, no amount of evidence or rational thinking is going to change someone's mind. It's not a tool they use to perceive the world.
Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by mrguyorama on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @02:04PM (#36408018)
Indeed. People who will believe anything instead of facing change will just get MORE ANGRY as that reality forces it's way into their life. They will hit back harder, become more radical, and be willing to push for harsher measures against whatever scapegoat they have found.
Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by aapl88889 on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @02:46PM (#36408652)
Which coastlines are burying houses underwater?
Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by undersuit on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @03:18PM (#36409098)
What if your house wasn't buried... but the increased sea levels have made your pacific island inhabitable? How much water and food can you afford to ship to your perfectly safe home?
Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by revelio on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @04:09PM (#36409783)
What if pacific islands aren't actually sinking?

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-018-02954-1

Results highlight a net increase in land area in Tuvalu of 73.5 ha (2.9%), despite sea-level rise, and land area increase in eight of nine atolls.

Note how dishonest the scientists are. Their abstract starts by saying "Sea-level rise and climatic change threaten the existence of atoll nations" before getting to the part just quoted where they admit their data says the islands are getting bigger.

This kind of brazen dishonesty is pervasive throughout modern academic science. It's not just the "lab leaks are impossible" crowd, you see it in many fields. Data tables don't match summaries which don't match abstracts which don't match IPCC reports which don't press releases which don't match TV news. Here, climatologists used picturesque Pacific islands to motivate major social changes without even bothering to measure whether their claims were true or not up until very recently. And when they did, and discovered the claims were not true, this fact was promptly buried and given no coverage. The misinformation gets repeated - which isn't your fault. After all, how were you to know?

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by pfisch on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @05:27PM (#36410899)
I know you think this is some big gotcha that indicts the entire concept of climate change, but it is really just you desperately finding some factoid that backs up your idea where you can't see the forest for the trees.

The climate is clearly changing and it is really causing massive disruptions and costing trillions of dollars. The evidence is overwhelming and it is impossible to ignore at this point. This little gotcha doesn't change that or matter at all.

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by wrycoder on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @06:00PM (#36411286)
You can keep saying it, but that doesn't make it true. The global troposphere has increased its temperature by only 0.52C in the last forty years. Local climate change is a reality and happens continuously. Changing humanity's CO2 output won't significantly affect it. The "trillions in cost" is due to civilization putting pressure on marginal areas, like Florida, by overbuilding directly on the hurricane-prone coastline and on land that is actually subsiding. Global sea levels are rising about one foot per century during the top of the current interglacial era. Here in New England, we handle nine foot tides daily.
Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by pfisch on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @06:54PM (#36411868)
sigh. You can see the global temperatures rising. Wildfires in Canada were out of control this year. Last year it happened in Australia. These temperatures and this level of fires aren't normal occurrences.

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/....

We didn't overbuild in the florida keys because that isn't even possible. But the government is buying out people because it isn't viable anymore.

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/environment/climate-c...

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by aapl88889 on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @11:14PM (#36413941)
There are 13,458 florida keys homes sold recently according to Zillow. The prices for the homes are almost at record highs. The homes bought from the "Voluntary Home Buyout Program" were for homes impacted by Hurricane Irma not by rising sea levels.
Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by pfisch on Wednesday June 21, 2023 @11:39AM (#36419957)
Ok I'll do this one more time with you.

Solar output has been decreasing as global temperatures increase.

Over 20 years ago scientists weren't just predicting temperature increase, but also making a wild prediction that global temperatures would not revert back to the mean and would increase well beyond our temperatures. That has happened.

You can't be sure at all that global warming is false based on the available information. If you are wrong and we do nothing humanity will cook.

I don't personally want a leopard to eat my face. I don't spend my whole life doing climate research. The people who do say this is happening, and they were right 20 years ago predicting the global temps would increase over our previous max.

The people saying global warming wasn't going to happen were wrong. They are heavily funded by the people releasing all the greenhouse gasses. They lack credibility and they have a worse track record.

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by aapl88889 on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @11:06PM (#36413894)
The original question asked which coastlines are burying houses underwater.

"The climate is clearly changing and it is really causing massive disruptions and costing trillions of dollars"

...to which coastlines? Los Angeles? Hawaii? Miami? Thailand? Barcelona? Marseille? Which?

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by revelio on Thursday June 22, 2023 @04:18AM (#36429355)
Your last link is about Tebunginako. That island was already identified in 1991 as suffering from ordinary coastal erosion and sandbank migration:

https://spccfpstore1.blob.core.windows.net/digitallibrary-do...

Although there is erosion near Tebunginako village centre, there is an accreting area north of the village centre where trees are systematically being planted to reclaim the accreted area. This situation implies the natural northward migration of a sand bulge along the beach

The article presents this as a narrative about climate change because that creates clicks, but it's misinformation. The fact that most of the Tuvalu islands have grown over the past 40 years shows that climate change is not sinking the Pacific Islands, even if some very small ones do disappear or move due to natural forces.

From a quick look, your other links aren't more reliable unfortunately. These sorts of islands are prone to erosion and movement of the coastline, which would occur regardless of whether humanity was here or not.

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by undersuit on Thursday June 22, 2023 @05:45PM (#36439501)
But it's our actions that are causing the erosion. Our anthropogenic climate change has caused these coastlines to change. People are being affected by our actions. Over just 200 years instead of 10s of thousands.
Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by revelio on Friday June 23, 2023 @03:35AM (#36443915)
Please prove that it's human actions that cause coastal erosion, because I'm pretty sure coastlines have always been moving and shifting in response to erosion. That's how beaches are made, isn't it?

Also, even if that were to be true which I doubt, so what? They were supposed to sink beneath the waters as they rapidly rise due to melting polar ice. That was the doom scenario that was used to motivate people, but it hasn't happened. In a rational world that should cause us to toss out the other predictions made by such "experts", not try to retcon what was said to fit whatever actually happens. Especially because a change like "maybe a beach migrates northward a bit in some islands, others grow a bit, others shrink a bit" is nowhere near important enough to make disruptive changes to the lives of everyone on the planet.

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by revelio on Wednesday June 21, 2023 @04:49AM (#36416044)
The supposed flooding of low lying Pacific islands have been one of the primary emotional stories told by environmentalists, governments and the UN for decades. The poor innocent islanders having their homes destroyed by massive sea level rises created directly by rapacious westerners in their gas guzzling cars.

The falsification of these claims is therefore no mere "factoid" or "little gotcha". It means all the people and institutions who made these claims were wrong and wrong whilst asserting 100% confidence in what they were saying. It is not just a falsification of a scientific hypothesis but the falsification of their self-proclaimed expertise too.

Now think about how many other "gotchas" are lurking out there in the science. Because for sure this isn't the only one.

In reality there is no evidence for "massive disruptions costing trillions of dollars". None. Zero. It's a fiction that's been made up out of whole cloth and now way too many people just can't let it go.

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by wrycoder on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @06:03PM (#36411324)
It is well known that coral atolls naturally adjust their height to the current sea level.
Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by undersuit on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @09:03PM (#36413015)
How much water and food can you afford to ship to your perfectly safe home?
Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by aapl88889 on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @11:01PM (#36413859)
Which pacific islands have houses that have become inhabitable due to rising sea levels?
Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by undersuit on Wednesday June 21, 2023 @04:43PM (#36424141)
Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by harambae on Wednesday June 21, 2023 @09:05PM (#36426870)
inhabitable means habitable (“what a language!”)

Hawaii and other tropical paradises do ship in a massive amount of products they consume, with most of their actual industry being tourism. There are problems with global warming but I wouldn’t rank this as #1

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by pfisch on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @05:22PM (#36410841)
The florida keys. The houses don't go underwater. They just stop being insured and their value goes to 0.
Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by aapl88889 on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @10:52PM (#36413796)
How many houses in the florida keys have been buried underwater or deemed unviable compared to the total number of houses in the florida keys?
Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by revelio on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @04:04PM (#36409713)
Farms that stop surviving winter due to it being warmer? Please point to these farms, and the underwater houses whilst you're at it.
Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by BobbyJo on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @04:42PM (#36410214)
> Farms that stop surviving winter due to it being warmer?

Is that all you think climate change does? Make the whole planet uniformly a degree or two warmer?

It changes climates in a variety of ways, commonly making wet areas dryer, dry areas wetter, and producing larger temperature variations.

Here in Florida, the last two years have been some of the worst due to frosts in the winter. These cold snaps are largely driven by the breakdown of the polar wind currents.

> underwater houses whilst you're at it.

Miami here in Florida recently had to dedicate billions of dollars to installing new water pumps because of the increase in flooding in the last decade. The problem is worsening every year for South Florida: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/environment/climate-c...

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by wrycoder on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @05:48PM (#36411148)
Local climate change happens constantly. There is no scientific evidence that global warming is enhancing variations about the mean increase, which is 0.13C per decade for the global troposphere[0]. Local climate change, especially extreme year on year changes like in California, is not noticeably affected by global warming, and thereby not by the human contribution to the global CO2 increase.

[0] https://www.drroyspencer.com/2023/06/uah-global-temperature-...

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by BobbyJo on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @06:40PM (#36411726)
The frosts the last few years have been from arctic cold blasting south, which is directly attributable to the weakening Polar vortex [0], which is directly linked to higher global ocean temperatures and sea ice loss [1].

[0]https://www.rmets.org/metmatters/polar-vortex-sudden-stratos...

[1]https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms5646

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by aapl88889 on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @11:33PM (#36414081)
The average annual rainfall in Miami has remained relatively constant since 1950.

https://climatecenter.fsu.edu/products-services/data/precipi...

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by BobbyJo on Wednesday June 21, 2023 @08:19AM (#36417522)
And yet the frequency of floods has increased in the past decade due to high tide events, e.g. rising oceans waters.

https://climate.miami.edu/the-complex-climate/flooding-event...

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by revelio on Wednesday June 21, 2023 @12:06PM (#36420343)
Miami Beach tide gauge readings haven't changed since the year that study was published.

https://psmsl.org/data/obtaining/rlr.monthly.plots/1858.png

Also, do you really find that study credible? "tide-induced events increased by more than 400%" in one single year? Sea level rise is a slow and steady process, but these guys are claiming it tripled in the span of a single year. That hasn't been reported anywhere else.

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by BobbyJo on Wednesday June 21, 2023 @12:30PM (#36420691)
The plot you posted shows a clear growth over the last 20 years.

> Also, do you really find that study credible?

I just looked for a local study. In either case, South Florida just this year had "once in 100 year" floods. At this point I would need studies to prove climate change isn't a key driver.

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by revelio on Thursday June 22, 2023 @05:01AM (#36429615)
Yes, but that's not what I said. Sea levels do rise globally at a slow rate, but it can also be offset by the land itself rising and falling (isostatic rebound), by minor changes to instruments (because the actual changes we're talking about are tiny), temperature changes affecting the volume of the ocean etc.

In that particular city and beach, you can see that tides went down between 2000-2005, then remained more or less stable until 2015, then went up a bit and stabilized at a new level. CO2 levels meanwhile go up very steadily. This data clearly doesn't indicate something CO2 driven given the various trends including declines that have happened within the time since the gauge opened in 1995. These look like natural changes, which are expected because especially when zoomed into these tiny differences everything is always changing.

In either case, South Florida just this year had "once in 100 year" floods

If they happen every 100 years then why is human CO2 emissions to blame? Even climatologists don't claim there was much CO2 impact in 1920 or 1820.

Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by willio58 on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @05:07PM (#36410637)
I think we’re still at the phase where people aren’t being affected enough personally. Once Florida is actually struggling with flooding to the point where thousands are forced to lose their homes, I could see some of those people start to believe.
Re:53% of parents say climate change affects their decision ... by pfisch on Tuesday June 20, 2023 @05:20PM (#36410817)
Those people will believe, sure. They will still make up a minority though.