Bring on the digital cash IMO but bearer instruments underpinning any large scale finance is a recipe for disaster.
https://www.pewresearch.org/internet/2005/03/06/part-2-the-r...
I don't know what it is about crypto that makes HN commentators want to make the most ridiculous, put-downy statements without evidence to back it up.
Crypto is not mostly useless, it is just that people don't like the uses. crypto is absolutely massive for avoiding capital controls in countries with inflation, etc.
I also think there are useful legal uses, but yes - where crypto has the best comparative advantage is when people are trying to circumvent harmful laws. Not every country is a (relatively) well-run procedural democracy. Crypto helps people route around that.
Crypto has legitimate use as a rebel medium. It’s also plagued with criminality. Its promoters had a decade to clean up its act, yet refuses to self regulate.
That’s soured the public’s mood towards the whole enterprise. If crypto’s benefits are niche, its development should be niche. And if its sole beneficiaries are people in failing foreign countries, it might make sense to put the whole thing under the aegis of State versus continuing to create chaos from the private sector.
This only applies to literally one or two cryptocurrencies, stuff like Monero. They're very much the exception to the rule. Most cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum just publish the entire ledger which is constantly being pulled in by the PLA, the SEC, the FBI and myriad other law enforcement authorities the world over. Not to mention Chainalysis.
If the government that's oppressing you is capable enough to oppress you they're more than capable enough to, in the fullness of time, deanonymize your transactions and send you directly to jail for them. You're not just defending against the current start of the art tech but all future improvements - against an adversary with dramatically more resources than you have.
Illicit transactions on public ledgers are simply prosecution futures. People get jail time constantly for crypto transactions.
If I were a dissident in a country like the PRC hypothetically, I'd run like hell from crypto. Talk about asking for trouble.
That's before we even get to the point of how you plan to acquire these currencies without the government noticing.
They have a use: gambling and speculation at a massive decentralized offshore casino. Coinbase and Kraken are the cage. Binance, for example, and DeFi are the table games.
Inflation hedge means mantaining parity against a weighted basket of stable currencies such as USD/EUR/CHF/JPY. Maybe gold?
Bitcoin didn't mantain parity at all, it's up some 20,000% since 2013 and +∞ since its inception.
So crypto failed as inflation hedge too, because the world of finance is very specific, you can't say 'this asset is an inflation hedge' and then it's up 20,000%
It also failed as a tool for capital controls and tax evasion because if you do that sort of things you don't want publicity...what happened is that crypto-bros and crypto-enthusiast went on to scream off the top of their lungs and it resulted in the death of the largest capital control avoidance use case: getting money out of China.
Nobody uses Crypto for getting money out of China anymore.
Dai and other stablecoins maintain parity and are what is mostly used.
> It also failed as a tool for capital controls and tax evasion because if you do that sort of things you don't want publicity...what happened is that crypto-bros and crypto-enthusiast went on to scream off the top of their lungs and it resulted in the death of the largest capital control avoidance use case: getting money out of China.
I don't know what to tell you, these are heavily used behind-the-scenes in the dollar black market in places like Argentina, etc.
> Nobody uses Crypto for getting money out of China anymore.
Yeah, the informal economy is not actually very large in China, it's not a good example.
Dai and stablecoins are currencies issued by private companies, if the private company sponsoring it were to disappear, the decentralized and federated (or whatever) community won't be able to support such a huge undertaking.
Besides the whole thing is pointless because whatever authority or control system you are evading with crypto sooner or later you'd have to come back into it, because nobody sells food, water, shelter, houses for crypto. Nor bitcoin nor stablecoins. Actually it's worse because the authorities will be waiting for you at on and off ramps.
HN has many people who understand how technology work and a smaller but still large number of people who understand economics. Cryptocurrency has a few people like that but also a ton of get-rich-quick types who think their best work is making random claims until someone buys whatever they’re selling. We’re a decade and a half into that, with billions of dollars of real money pumped in and almost no benefit outside of some early investors being able to cash out before the inevitable dip.
At this point, the onus is on anyone promoting cryptocurrencies to show up front why they’re different than their waves of predecessors. One big challenge here is the inherent conflict of interest: unlike other things which have come in and out of popularity, someone who tries cryptocurrency but realizes it’s not really useful to them doesn’t have an option for getting out without a financial loss which doesn’t involve finding a buyer for something they know isn’t really worth the price. If you backed MongoDB a decade ago, you can just switch to Postgres without either eating a loss or finding someone to buy your old Mongo server.
This also leads me to your next sentence: for years, the claim was that cryptocurrency was going to transform the financial world and beyond. Sales guys went on at length about how you’d use blockchains to buy coffee and a ride to work, make sure the farmer who grew your coffee beans was organic, store your software licenses, record the deed to your house, etc. They couldn’t explain how any of that would work and dismissed criticism, and were especially upset if people said the only real use cases seemed to be illegal transactions. Now, in 2023 we’re back to the primary use being breaking laws, hoping that the government in question chooses not to monitor cryptocurrencies?
> Crypto is not mostly useless, it is just that people don't like the uses. crypto is absolutely massive for avoiding capital controls in countries with inflation, etc.
There are literally hundreds of millions of people who're into cryptocurrencies...and you clearly don't have a clue what kind of people are into it and to what degree. I'd suggest not to make up statements like this if you want your opinion to be taken seriously. FYI bypassing capital controls with cryptos does not necessarily mean "breaking the law". Learn a thing or two if you're going to spout nonsense.
Can you cite an example where evading capital controls is legal?
etc doing some heavy lifting here. The article is about US-based crypto company. How is your list of massive uses applicable to US specifically? (I actually have sympathy for coinbase for at least trying to follow some rules)
Even back in 2016/17, many people involved were openly bemoaning how 80+% of ICOs were unregistered security offerings to vaporware.
You can almost pinpoint the inflection point at which Coinbase decided their goal was short-term profit maximization vs developing a healthy ecosystem. The company in the last 5 years is completely unrecognizable in contrast to when there were only 3 coins you could buy from them (USDT, BTC, ETH).
No matter how this case winds up, Coinbase is in a terrible financial position. If you were a Wall Street bank, would you give them financing right now?
But then people had they idea that they could still make money from it by grifting people if they just added layer upon layer of complexity in order to disguise the ultimate uselessness of the underlying technology. That is where all of your Ponzis, rugpulls, NFTs and everything else comes into the picture.