Many coins have failed, many more will fail, and many if not all will drop to zero as the mania subsides. When that happens it doesn’t matter where your keys are if the market turns illiquid in seconds during a crash.
I can definitely see a lot of cryptocurrencies losing a ton of a value but they do have a legitimate use for remittances. If you're transferring $1000 it doesn't matter if you convert it into 1 bitcoin or 100 bitcoins since your wife is cashing it out the next day for 20,000 pesos.
The fact is that billions in locked value have accrued securely over the years in battle tested protocols like curve, aave and yearn.
Doesn't matter if you own your keys if nobody wants to buy your Crypto/NFT etc.
Re your numbers, I'm afraid I don't trust any of the numbers in this market as none of them are audited.
You don’t have to. That’s the point. It’s a trustless infrastructure, with public data that anybody can audit. There are countless independent services that are reporting the same numbers, from querying the blockchain data.
So while the blockchains provide public records of transactions, the prices are not set by the blockchains and participants are anonymous enough to be difficult to track.
Uniswap, Cowswap, Kyber, Balancer, they all agree.
Hint: they likely could never have even gotten to the point of taking customer deposits, or would have been shut down within weeks or months at most by regulators.
Pretty hard to avoid gov’t oversight/regulation when a USD Wire and ACH goes through the fed, for instance.
Easier when it goes through a blockchain which they can’t control.
Which is why a lot of exchanges (and all the sketchy ones) use things like Tether and stablecoins, and avoid US banks.
Programmers see all this bureaucratic regulatory red tape and decide to try and make something more efficient by removing it and claim that they've saved finance by reinventing it.
Then one by one, they start seeing why each of these regulations exist; the regulations didn't exist to keep the little person down, it was to protect against scams. And then they suddenly want regulation on their funny money, at which point cryptocurrency just kind of becomes a worse version of real currency.
It’s like taking to some floating Janus head sometimes.
In person interaction doesn’t work that way.
Yeah, I think it falls down pretty quickly; if nowhere sooner, then at the point where “We issue our own cryptocurrency” turns into “We issue our own cash”.
All point out the same issue, as both have various regulatory precedents and/or obvious real life issues.
Is there any crypto “bank” that promises to pay interest while you hold your own keys?
This makes some sense, as with treasuries you run the risk of not having access to your cash when you need it because of trade and settlement windows. Funds in Aave are 100% liquid.
This is indeed a failure of crypto, because FTX was the one primarily in control of the coin supply.
Anyway, it should be clear to people that the 7% in an outside currency has to come from somewhere. And most of this stuff has been a zero-sum game so the money comes from:
1) Investors who bought the top
2) Traders who got liquidated
3) IPO investors who bought shares in a money-losing business model like WeWork
4) Advertisers whose ads didn’t pay off (yes, advertising is a zero-sum game too)
Sadly, most people do not realize it’s a zero sum game and the bagholder class only grows and grows until the speculative bubble pops.
It’s a good question. The answer is deposit insurance and, perhaps, narrow banking. Not self custody for the masses.
Either you live in a country where you can trust your money system, or you don't.
And since they are too fragmented and comically self-serving to organize anything like their own soveriegn state, they need to piggyback off an existing one.
Good reminder to all here that if you don't hold they private keys to your crypto, all you have is an IOU from a risky new business.