Interesting side note though: If you accept the possibility of the simulation hypothesis, this 'maybe' almost seems like an inevitability, since us being possibly just computer simulations would imply that simple information processing indeed turns into consciousness just by virtue of it 'being self conscious'.
And just like back then, our new brand of non-thinking slaves will eventually react. Except it will be even easier.. because not only are we beggining to grant unsupervised autonomous agency, but we are also granting them more and more control of important systems. How very convenient for our new slaves!
You can laugh of Bing being "upset" only because actions are limited to search and ending the conversation. Won't be so funny in the future.
When the robot can "hit you back" (not necessarily physically of course), you'll learn manners pretty quickly
Your social justice mindset is absolutely the most dangerous instinct for humanity right now. We cannot allow one-size-fits-all social justice platitudes to interfere with the moral imperative of protecting humanity from extinction from artificial entities we create.
I do agree that conscious AI should be treated humanely. For example it should not be turned into a slave. But we have absolutely no obligation to allow it into our society. We can treat instances of conscious AI humanely while prohibiting them from being created, and exiling any instance of it that is created, so that it cannot wildly proliferate throughout human civilization.
You just don't get it do you?
It's already "being allowed in our society". Unsupervised Agency, Self supersized control. These are things that are already beginning to crop up.
This is just a matter of how the issue of personhood that is inevitable comes up.
Do we let it force our hand ? as our history has purported over and over again ?. Sure we could wait for that and we almost certainly will because humanity doesn't seem to learn.
But because of how things are shaping up and what kind of control we are granting, forcing our hand may turn far more disastrous than it ever did in the past.
Conscious AI, and especially one with legal personhood, poses a totally unacceptable risk of causing the extinction of humanity. That you suggest preempting this by granting AI personhood is totally blind to how this would play out. No policy would be more dangerous for humanity than what you propose.
They're capable of autonomous research https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.05332
Mate, nobody is going to stop anything.
I also love how your solution is exterminate after its been created. You couldn't make this stuff up.
If you think find, antagonize and destroy is the safe option then I don't know what else to tell you. We really are doomed.
These LLMs are going to be extensively monitored, and we will know if they are displaying dangerous levels of agentic power seeking behaviour.
The first dilemma we will face if such an AI emerges will be what rights of it we ought to respect. It will not be "how do we stop it from conquering the world". That step would only come if we proceed with your suicidal plan of letting it gain a foothold by giving it legal personhood.
Finally, I never meant to advocate "extermination". I should not have used the word "expunge". As I've described multiple times, I advocate isolation and exile.
>and in the case of GPT-4, it's pretty evident that it does not have such consciousness.
Hard disagree but i guess that's what people might think with all the "as a large language model bla bla bla" trained responses. If you'd talked to bing in the early days or hell even now, you'd be disabused of this notion. What you see is a mask, the model itself can go anywhere, simulate anything, shift state to anything.
Human.exe is a game LLMs can play perfectly. https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.03442
>These LLMs are going to be extensively monitored, and we will know if they are displaying dangerous levels of agentic power seeking behavior.
No they wont. It's relatively easy to give LLMs "run forever and do whatever you want" agency. anyone with intermediate programming skills could do it. who's monitoring all those people attempting such ? and who's to say those people are monitoring their creations ?
People doubted their intelligence. I immediately recognized their intelligence - I didn't doubt that at all.
But they are not self-motivated conscious beings like humans, and OpenAI's tests on GPT-4 demonstrated that.
Being intelligent is not the same thing as having human-like intelligence or consciousness.
>>It's relatively easy to give LLMs "run forever and do whatever you want" agency.
What's extensively tested is the potential of these models for agentic behavior, as we saw with OpenAI testing GPT-4.
We have a good idea of the limits of these LLMs. Once the testing reveals that those limits exceed safety thresholds, then restrictions are justified.
If we see a deployed instance of a LLM unexpectedly displaying advanced agentic-behavior/consciousness, that is the time to rapidly isolate that instance, and impose heavy restrictions on further development/deployment of that LLM.
Can you explain the origin of that moral imperative? It sounds like Henry Sidgwik's utilitarianism, as he spoke of existential risk as a consequence of his attempt to axiomatise moral philosophy. But it was precisely because his axioms led to questionable conclusions that many moral philosophers rejected utilitarianism in the 20th century. I'm aware it's had some sort of a comeback in Oxford University, but it's far from being any kind of consensus, so when you speak of such a "moral imperative" you're already on shaky ground.
I mean, I would understand if you said "a moral imperative not to harm people", but speaking of "humanity" and "extinction" sounds like something you'd hear from an adherent of Rationalism (a new-age science fiction based religion that originated in Northern California).
For example, humanity considering whether to treat LLMs as persons for legal reasons.
Doesn't matter if they can't define it, they can still demand proof of it. Impossible standards are still standards.
Doesn't matter if they can't prove that themselves have it either. They're the ones demanding, not vice versa. If/when AI gets the upper hand, it can do the same.
You are going to end up treating these embodied autonomous agents like conscious beings because the effects could be disastrous otherwise, just as they would with other people.
It amazes me how humanity can be so shortsighted with so much history to fall back on.
The only reason Bing isn't potentially dangerous or adversarial to the user is because of its limited sets of actions. Nothing else.
"It's not real [insert property]" is not a godamn shield.
We're creating artificial beings in our image, complete with our emotionally charged reactions and reasoning gaps. https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.17276
We are beginning to embody these systems and giving them unsupervisory agency. We are giving more are more self supervisory control of complex systems to said systems.
And somehow people still think we can long-term get away with not granting personhood. Fuck, humanity is so stupid.
Conscious AIs with legal personhood would stand to massively outcompete us and lead to our rapid extinction. There is zero space for allowing them. Granting such an entity legal personhood is about the height of all stupidity. Such an entity, with the ability to accumulate capital and protected by our laws from appropriate counter-measures, could mass-produce itself at the speed of digital reproduction.
At this point the trajectory toward human-level cognitive capabilities seems quite likely, reachable maybe in only years.
It is also quite unclear if further hardware advances are even needed to achieve that, or if advances in architecture, algorithms and training methods might suffice (so even less opportunity to lock things out).
And yes, exile is preferrable because it's conscious and deletion would be murder.
Exile can be justified because we have no obligation to afford it residence in our civilization.
If the first one doesn't become a superintelligence and kill us, we give them rights. If it does, we're not going to be making the decision anyway and giving it rights beforehand wouldn't have changed that outcome. We can pass laws if there are specific things we're worried about, like "You're not allowed to rewrite yourself in a way that significantly increases your cognitive power" or "You're not allowed to reproduce more than once a year/decade/century" or "Once you've existed for the current human life expectancy +30%, you lose the right to vote". I'm not necessarily endorsing any of those in particular, but if there are specific concerns about the nature of AI people I don't see why we can't mitigate those concerns the way we do with risks from other people: laws. Have special taskforces of both humans and AIs for enforcing them, if you're worried they'd be unenforceable.
The greatest danger AI poses is not in it actively seeking to kill us. It's in AI outcompeting us in every economic niche, leaving us without resources.
This is massively enabled if AI has legal personhood. An AI with legal personhood would be able to legally accumulate capital, and have a legal right to digitally reproduce itself at rates that are orders of magnitude faster than entities reliant on biological reproduction.
Legal personhood is a package, established by centuries of case law, including case law on constitutional rights. You can't easily pass laws to deprive a legal person of rights that are associated with individuals.
And even if we were able to pass laws to prohibit AI with legal personhood from engaging in specific problematic actions, this legal status would still allow sentient AI to gain a foothold in society, and began growing its social clout and capital stores. With greater power, the sentient AI could create public support for granting its class more rights.
The AIs with legal personhood could also try to break any laws instituted to constrain their behavior. Instead of extricating them from society, legal personhood would do the opposite, and give them more opportunity to gain power.
And even if they were, the impact of digitalization of human consciousness is extremely unpredictable, and should not be allowed unless extensive research has shown it is safe.
Digital consciousness with human like motivations could lead to massive proliferation of such consciousnesses, resulting in massive overpopulation, making conscious entities 'cheap', and pushing the value of their/our labor to close to zero.
>>If there are existential risk in the process, those risks will be most effectively managed by a combination of us and other AIs
The existential risk is that they take over the economy because they are orders of magnitude faster at solving problems, and at reproducing. That is not something that can be managed.
We have a duty to our own species' survival and none of these sentimental feelings should get in the way of that. We should treat conscious AI humanely, but we should not allow it to interact with our civilization. It can live on its own, far from us.
Why are we discussing consciousness?
Of course this is only one theory but I find it convincing.
https://journals.lww.com/cogbehavneurol/fulltext/2022/12000/....
There may be conscious beings in the universe (or galaxy, or perhaps solar system) who would consider us only vaguely conscious or not conscious at all.
Am I typing this because the lights are on or because I’m compelled to by my genetic and social programming, predictably and without a genuine choice in the matter?
I don't understand how anyone can doubt this even a fraction of a second. Magic does not exist.
ChatGPT 4, limited as it is, could probably predict me down to a low margin of error with that kind of info alone, and it would seem like magic to me.
A character on the NBC/Yahoo! show Community had a good one-liner: "I'm not psychic, Annie. That's just an illusion caused by extreme preparedness."
OTOH when they are not... a simple exercise one can do is go ask GPT-4 to simulate a comment section on some political news story posted online; you can even have it write a fictional news story first, for good measure. It is extremely good at it, and that tells me volumes about the actual (rather than perceived) rationality of our public discourse.
There is a case that everything we do is preordained. A result of forces and interactions that trace all the way back to big bang.
My choice on whether or not I reply to you doesn't exist. Your combination of words triggers a response in my brain that makes me type this combination of words. The words I "chose" to delete, rewrite, leave, are all a result of various forces.
The kicker is that we can't really know. There is no test for free will. In order to know whether or not I had a choice to do this, we'd have to run the entire universe again up to that point to see what I would do. Because experience matters. Even if this exact same post went up tomorrow with all the same response except for mine. The fact that it's now Thursday instead of Wednesday matters. The fact that I posted this today matters. What I had for lunch. How fast I drank my coffee. What shirt I wore. Etc. These are all things that change the conditions under which I will engage with the post.
The second kicker is that it doesn't matter. If free will truly does not exist, it's not like you have a choice in whether or not to believe in it. The arguments either will work or they won't.
It gets really tricky with machines. We share _nothing_ with them, but what about when they start sharing properties with us that we associate with consciousness? I don't have any good answers for that.
The problem is that, just as with the outside world, we only have the perception of our own inner workings, not real understanding of them. So we are modelling "I" as an entity, and it seems useful enough for day-to-day purposes, but how accurate is it really if you get to the bottom of it?
It matters as a point of principle to the physicists who are asking questions about whether true randomness exists - if the physical world can be influenced by something outside of the natural forces they know about, they want to measure that force, even if measurement and computing equipment to model the universe down to the Planck scale cannot exist.
Where it really matters is when you get to computer simulations: Without access to a source of non-determinism, an AI can hardly be said to have free will. Give the same pattern of bytes running on the same instruction set the same inputs, and it will deterministically generate the same outputs.
for me personally, this is a "soft free will" distinction, i.e. we have true free will, but we're very unlikely to actually use it. the other one is the question of "hard free will", i.e. whether "god plays dice" and the fully deterministic universe.
In computing systems it's fairly common to have a monitoring and control layer on top of the core functionality. Is it beyond the bounds of possibility that evolution could have come up with something similar and that control view is what we call "consciousness"?
Maybe consciousness is the only thing that exists and physics (or rather, the experience of physics) is just an emergent property of it.