We have several agencies in the US with differing POVs and varying confidence. To suggest this is settled truth is a fallacy. In any case, even if it is true, it wasn't ascertained to be true at the height of the pandemic.
but the principal problem is that it became political. Eventually one side will be right. But people saying it was a lab leak said so for non-impactful reasons. they just wanted to blame China to help their election chances. The left, of course, couldn't agree with that as that would enable the other side. It's simply politics.
The leading theory should be the thing that has never happened before (lab leak causes epidemic or pandemic) instead of the thing that has happened dozens of times before (animal virus jumps to humans and causes epidemic or pandemic)?
It happens pretty often, we just don't hear about most of them: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_laboratory_biosecurity...
Using that name should've never been controversial and making it controversial was creating drama where there was none. The fact that people are still hurt about Trump saying that years ago shows how unprepared we are to have a discussion about anything.
(Also to be clear, it's not even that the China stuff made him racist; he clearly established himself as a racist, and then he said that stuff, which I agree wasn't necessarily racist. But of course, he wasn't speaking in a vacuum, he was speaking in the context of himself and his whole presidency, which led everyone to naturally assume the worst of it.)
Avoid the passive voice.
News companies and social media content moderators, who dislike Trump and overwhelmingly donated to his opponent, decided that the lab leak was not credible.
There was very clearly something exceptional about it, since we shut down much of the world for a year.
> Absent of other information, why is this the most probably explanation?
Again, the simple fact that the most severe viral outbreak in decades originated near a research facility for that same kind of virus, was reason enough to push lab-leak to the top of valid theories.
I still don't understand how in 2020 people were branded as racist sinophobes for saying that the coronavirus that originated in Wuhan, probably originated from the coronavirus research lab in Wuhan. I know suspicion isn't fact, but that should have always been the leading theory to be disproved. Instead, IIRC Twitter and FB were flagging any post that said "lab leak."