And the same general purpose publicly available free AI can perform at that level for a very, very wide range of tasks.
Even if the general purpose bot is just 'adequate', how long until fine-tuned versions for specific tasks come out, performing at superhuman levels?
We'll rewrite those to be by AI for AI.
Craziness is incoming technologically and societally.
I think when AGI arrives, there will be so many AI tools out there we won't notice another one.
AGI seems like a moving goalpost target that always changes to whatever AI can't do today.
The singularity is real and AGI is here —but it isn’t like some runaway single agent that self improves and takes over the world. Just wait till it all starts talking to each other, training each other, using each other, all in convergence with humans. It’s very real. And very weird.
Of course, arguably artificial intelligence is much older than this— and the bylaws of corporations constitute the algorithmic utilization of people.
In fact, I’m extremely averse to hype, perhaps almost to a pathological degree.
And yet, I can’t remember when I was more scared and excited about some tech. Take that as you wish.
It's a shame that people who are rightfully sceptical - precisely because of the hype-merchants and snake-oil salesman of the past decade or so on various tech "advances" have misjudged the quantum leap we are witnessing, and will duly fall behind or paint themselves into a luddite corner because of it.
I am not too concerned about that. It was easy to dismiss the blockchain/nft/web3 hype because there really is nothing there. No matter how hard the snake-oil salesmen tried, they were unable to create a killer app over the course of more than a decade.
I am likewise on the skeptical end of the AI hype, but I am using ChatGPT daily to do tedious stuff for me. The utility is so obvious and AI will become so ubiquitous that it will be impossible to ignore.
The pattern: new thing -> decide if good or bad -> hype or attack.
Waiting to see how it evolves and gathering pros or cons is boring. Using it? Boring. Thinking? Better see if there's some expert you trust that has some opinion already. Readiness is all.
What a crazy world we're in.
LLMs mostly provide a way for companies to increase their efficiency. Currently anything an LLM can do a staff creative worker in the correct field can do.
Me asking ChatGPT:
In this context, RoR most likely refers to Ruby on Rails, which is a web application framework written in the Ruby programming language. The second comment is suggesting that people had similar dismissive comments about Ruby on Rails (RoR) when it was first introduced, but it has since become a widely used and respected framework in web development. The comment implies that similar trends may apply to AI tools used for web design.
Stable Diffusion is there. But GPT-3 still has to be run on my behalf by a company that could pull the rug at any moment, or add more stuff that they don't approve of to their TOS. (You already can't use it for "sexy" content. Want help writing a love letter? Oh no, you're banned.)
The "lighter" versions these text models that can be run at home aren't good enough yet.
Based on Microsoft's relationship with OpenAI, it wouldn't be surprising to me if they also wish to offer access to these AI models via Azure for example as a SaaS offering. Then you can imagine some small start-ups with Billy and Jimmy making some other SaaS product that is based on this very API. It would be a clever way to extract revenue from supposedly novel products whilst controlling and shaping the game.
Google isn't for real yet?
Build something, scale it, raise capital.
The losers will wish they'd done the same.
I honestly think this is the biggest evolution of our field in our lifetimes (I was here for early web). I'm so excited and have already been building incredible stuff, and I'm saying that as someone who has had a decent career at top employers.
Grumpy and cynical takes everywhere you look.
But even at those low prices the biggest thing for me is time
going back and forth on a 8 day delivery, the logo designer bottlenecking the website designer and explainer video creator
that alone makes the AI tools worth it to me, to not consider doing a contract with 5 people at all and having so many iterations across a few minutes or few hours
it is very likely that different specialists will just be on fiverr, delivering complex things for $20 in a matter of hours, instead of a craft for $350 one week later
Think about it for a second: a machine understood your request in plain English and executed it adequately, instantly and free.
If you can’t think how that will affect every aspect of UX and creative job I don’t know what to tell you.
And that’s not even touching on the philosophical questions like a LLM suddenly displaying personality, like Sydney, and mostly passing the Turing test.
The floor is shifting beneath our feet. This is for real.