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Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by bsuvc on Sunday December 25, 2022 @10:01AM (#34127772)
1. We will learn that one or more traditional banks have taken on cryptocurrency exposure and will need to be bailed out to prevent another financial crisis.

2. Politicians will introduce legislation to regulate AI, with the initial focus on copyright protection, but it will be defeated. Court cases are brought against companies for training ML using copyrighted data, setting up an eventual supreme court battle in coming years.

3. AI will drive advancements in medical treatments, especially in pharmaceuticals and personalized medicine. While this has already been happening to some extent, the recent interest in AI will cause an increased investment of money and resources to companies working in this space.

4. Year of Linux desktop!

5. Remote work will end for many, due to the recession making employers feel more powerful to enforce back-to-office, for which which many middle managers will advocate. Companies who have thrived with a remote culture will remain that way, but those who have struggled will "force" employees back to their offices full time.

Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by thefourthchime on Sunday December 25, 2022 @11:16AM (#34128417)
> Year of Linux desktop

Haha, I think I've been hearing this one since 1998!

Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by metaltyphoon on Sunday December 25, 2022 @11:27AM (#34128515)
> Year of Linux desktop!

There is always a joker :D

Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by bakuninsbart on Sunday December 25, 2022 @03:06PM (#34130725)
I've always been a holdout due to pc games, now I just bought a desktop pc for the first time in 10 years. If steam really manages to pull of Linux gaming, it is gonna be my year of Linux desktop!
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by askiiart on Monday December 26, 2022 @12:55AM (#34135030)
Well, proton and wine have made significant advancements. You should check out your Steam library on protondb, that'll show what can run on Linux and what can't.
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by digitallyfree on Sunday December 25, 2022 @12:04PM (#34128812)
Seriously though, the "Year of the Linux desktop" is when YOU decide that the Linux desktop is good enough and start using it full-time. That was many years ago for me, and for other people maybe it's not ready for them yet. But if you're talking about market share, it's going up slowly but steadily year after year.
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by worik on Sunday December 25, 2022 @04:58PM (#34131847)
> ...the "Year of the Linux desktop" is when YOU decide that the Linux desktop is good enough and start using it full-time...

1995

Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by mensetmanusman on Sunday December 25, 2022 @02:10PM (#34130132)
5. Ain’t happening, too many people died or retired and the worker shortage won’t be fixed for decades due to a population collapse that is starting.
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by cpsns on Sunday December 25, 2022 @02:14PM (#34130173)
> Year of Linux desktop!

After buying a chromebook a month ago I am completely convinced this came a few years ago and no one paid any attention as it wasn't the vision they had of the Linux desktop.

I was blown away by how nice ChromeOS is to use, how seamless everything is, and how well Crostini (I think it's called this) works at running Linux programs. ChromeOS is honestly the single best Linux experience I have ever had.

Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by jraph on Sunday December 25, 2022 @03:26PM (#34130909)
> After buying a chromebook a month ago I am completely convinced this came a few years ago and no one paid any attention as it wasn't the vision they had of the Linux desktop.

I noticed but I don't think this is a satisfactory Linux Desktop. It goes against many stuff Linux Desktop proponents could be fighting for, mainly privacy and controlling one's computing. The main point of the Chromebook is to make your computer a thin client to run your computing on Google's servers. I think computing should go the opposite way. It's fast and has no virus though.

As for the market share, I know nobody with a Chromebook around me, I don't think it's a big thing where I am.

Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by wan_ala on Sunday December 25, 2022 @05:07PM (#34131938)
As someone who used ChromeOS for a year or so, I think its kinda cool that mainstream people are using Linux, but 1: They don't know they are using Linux. Most users dont even know what Linux is. 2: Not open source. 3: Not privacy respecting.
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by cpsns on Sunday December 25, 2022 @05:27PM (#34132146)
I really don’t think open source and privacy respecting are requirements for the so called yotld. A desktop linux system usable by anyone with no prior knowledge, available preinstalled on devices in store, mass potential appeal, etc are more important.

I think the fact one can pick up a chromebook and not know it’s linux is actually part of what makes it so good. Most users know nothing about OSes and they shouldn’t have to. For most people windows is just what comes on the computer and chromeos is exactly the same to them in that regard.

Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by P5fRxh5kUvp2th on Sunday December 25, 2022 @11:31PM (#34134601)
ChromeOS counts the same way that MacOS being popular means that "Year of BSD desktop" has already happened.

Technically true, but not what is meant by that term.

Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by fragmede on Monday December 26, 2022 @12:31AM (#34134880)
Given that Linux mode is a directly supported feature of ChromeOS, I think it gets a little bit murky. A consumer grade device with Debian Buster/10 I can just run Emacs on? True it's not the Ubuntu+Gnome running natively future we wanted in our desktop domination (though Dell and System76 and Framework will sell you one of those these days), but Chromebooks aren't this totally locked down bastardized single-app device anymore. Runs Android apps too.

https://support.google.com/chromebook/answer/9145439?hl=en

Eg Instructions on how to run Firefox on ChromeOS with Linux mode

https://support.mozilla.org/en-US/kb/run-firefox-chromeos

Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by P5fRxh5kUvp2th on Monday December 26, 2022 @12:52AM (#34135009)
fair enough, I do think it's arguable that users of ChromeOS would regularly do that, but I get your point.

Also, I had a System76 laptop for work once and absolutely loved it. I tried to buy it when I left, but they weren't happy about my reasons for leaving and refused to do so.

Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by askiiart on Monday December 26, 2022 @12:54AM (#34135018)
If 99% of people don't know what Linux is, and don't use Linux mode, should it really count? Most people just use what is essentially a browser that can also run Android apps.
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by fragmede on Monday December 26, 2022 @01:10AM (#34135129)
If 99% of the people using it don't know what a Linux is, I think that means we've totally won because it means that Linux got easy enough for them to use!

Really though, I think it's for you to decide. It's not like there's a standards body with a rigorous criterion on if a given year is "Year of Linux Desktop", which is perhaps OPs point. Personally I think that 2013, when Dell first started selling the XPS 13 with Ubuntu was the Year of the Linux Desktop and I personally think that we've actually lost the plot in subsequent years.

Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by cpsns on Monday December 26, 2022 @04:25PM (#34142053)
Given that ChromeOS uses Linux under the hood? I'd argue yes it does count. Even if they don't access Linux mode/Linux VMs they are still using a Linux system.
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by fnands on Friday December 30, 2022 @11:10AM (#34186329)
> 1. We will learn that one or more traditional banks have taken on cryptocurrency exposure and will need to be bailed out to prevent another financial crisis.

Don't know if this will pan out, but if it does it will probably be Deutsche Bank right?

Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by ttyprintk on Saturday December 31, 2022 @10:57AM (#34197559)
Credit Suisse
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by fnands on Monday January 02, 2023 @03:30AM (#34215677)
Also a strong contender. Likely the DB/CS double whammy
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by zirgs on Sunday January 01, 2023 @04:05AM (#34204835)
> 4. Year of Linux desktop!

Steam Deck is the best gaming console that I've owned.