I know it won't, because we're entering stagflation territory and unemployment is going to go up. COVID was a massive wealth transfer from the lower and (esp) middle class to the oligarchs.
In a high inflation environment you may find yourself in a position where you have to shift more resources to sales rather than operations. Your current situation with it's pre-inflation salary might just not meet your business goals. Just like they may choose to spend additional income from inflation adjustments on things other than your salary, you can choose how much time you devote to things that are important to you depending on how they reward you.
Stop thinking of yourself as an individual employee and start thinking of yourself as a member of a union. Then actually form that union.
You don't get across-the-board raises by "generating leads". You get them by collectively bargaining.
And I reject entirely the notion that one should be only looking out for one's own gain.
We live in a society, and we damn well need to start acting like it again, rather than the proverbial crabs in a bucket, desperately stepping on each other to try to get ourselves higher.
My parent made a living working for the same employer. My SO's parent made a living working for the same employer. Somehow, not canning the entire staff every two years worked for their generation.
Meanwhile, I work for tech companies where hardly anyone knows anything because nobody has any experience because the entire workforce has to turn over every two years just to try to recoup what inflation has devalued their salary to?
Hiring budget is 3x bigger than rises budget.
Dont ask me whose retarded idea is that.
Who's Mark?
Oh, he worked here three years ago.
Citation needed. Unemployment is at 3.6% and the population on UE insurance is below 1%, and we are adding 400k+ jobs/mo.
This of course can change, but as of right now, UE is not going up.
Can't have that.
Poor people either don't go to college, or go to a cheap community college, or get scholarships/financial aid.
Very rich families just pay for college without taking out student loans.
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front/2020/10/09/who-owes-...
> The highest-income 40 percent of households (those with incomes above $74,000) owe almost 60 percent of the outstanding education debt and make almost three-quarters of the payments. The lowest-income 40 percent of households hold just under 20 percent of the outstanding debt and make only 10 percent of the payments.
Also, medical and credit card debt can generally be discharged in bankruptcy. Student loan debt can't, but consider this from the same link:
> What may be more surprising, however, is the difference in payment burdens. A growing share of borrowers participate in income-driven repayment (IDR) plans, which do not require any payments from those whose incomes are too low and limit payments to an affordable share of income for others. And some borrowers are in forbearance or deferment because of financial hardships. As a result, out-of-pocket loan payments are concentrated among high-income households; few low-income households enrolled in IDR are required to make payments.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/dataviz/household... for a higher level set of charts.
If you look at it by state, you can draw a north south line from the western boundary of Texas to the western boundary of North Dakota. West of that line is debt; east of that line (until you hit the coast) its better.
Running it from 1999 to present is also kind of interesting.
The St. Louis Fed has a report on Income Distribution, Household Debt, and Aggregate Demand: A Critical Assessment1 https://www.stlouisfed.org/-/media/project/frbstl/stlouisfed... - it is not light reading.
From part of the summary (on page 29):
> With respect to the long-term rise in household debt: This is a monetary phe- nomenon. Fundamentally, it is the result of higher interest rates and lower real income growth and inflation. On the other side of the equation, increasing income inequality has simply led to an increase in private consumption inequality. To the extent that consumption demand has been stronger than would be predicted by a Keynesian story of consumption propensities declining with income, the ex- planations appear to be a mix of increased luxury consumption by high-income households and and increased social spending classified as household consumption in the national accounts. Income inequality may indeed have contributed to weaker aggregate demand. But so may a number of other factors affecting desired consump- tion and investment, including: the progressive satiation of consumption demand; slowing population growth; increasing monopoly power; the shift from manufac- turing to less capital-intensive services; changes in the fraction of profits retained in the business sector; the trade deficit; and increased longevity of capital goods. The possible influences of all these factors, along with countervailing forces tending to raise aggregate demand, need to be investigated systematically we should not immediately focus on one possible story to the exclusion of the others.
Page 28 appears to have the line item you're after:
> Household debt is concentrated near the top of the income distribution; very little is owed by lower-income households.
Another chunk of data to work from: https://www.debt.org/faqs/americans-in-debt/demographics/
Anyone with $1,000 has the resources to stop any (or several) of a large number of unfortunate circumstances that they may encounter. $10,000 even more so. $100,000 should be years of runway along the same lines. So it makes sense that when everyone is riding an economy downward, the people with the least cushion get hurt the worst.
Furthermore, a lot of inflation is in housing itself, so if one already is a homeowner, then a significant amount of inflation is bypassed.
Tanking the economy will hurt these people the most. But yes, inflation would flatten.