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Re:Teach your kids poker, not chess by Mikeb85 on Saturday May 21, 2022 @10:58AM (#31458453)
Variance in poker evens out over months, not a single session. A competent but not great player can definitely beat a pro in a single session.
Re:Teach your kids poker, not chess by cman1444 on Saturday May 21, 2022 @01:13PM (#31459730)
I think you're overstating the variance. If you watch high level poker play you will consistently see the same players at the final table of big tournaments. Sure, a few lucky random players will go pretty deep in the tournament, but they just don't do it nearly as frequently as the top few guys.

A competent but not great player has a chance of beating a pro in one session, but it's definitely pretty slim.

Re:Teach your kids poker, not chess by Mikeb85 on Saturday May 21, 2022 @01:28PM (#31459902)
When poker players measure variance, it's $$$ over time. And while some pros are indeed good are surviving the bubble in fishy tournaments, none make a perfectly consistent income. Even amongst crushers, the variance can be massive.

For every tournament you make a big score, you crash out of 5 and get min payout on a few more.

Many of the biggest names in poker have been the biggest losers in a given calendar period. For example, Gus Hansen and Daniel Negreanu are two of the biggest winners of all time yet also have some of the biggest documented losses...

Re:Teach your kids poker, not chess by DarylZero on Saturday May 21, 2022 @01:16PM (#31459762)
Not clear how long your "sessions" are but they have poker tournaments where the same people regularly make it to the top.
Re:Teach your kids poker, not chess by Mikeb85 on Saturday May 21, 2022 @03:56PM (#31461221)
Not as regularly as you think. Earnings vary a lot.

As for how long a session is? 8 hours. I made a living from poker for a few years.