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Re:The tech bubble that never burst by paulpauper on Tuesday April 19, 2022 @12:49PM (#31085615)
The USA stock market went through one of histories greatest bubbles from 1927 to 1929. Afterwards, it took the stock market 24 years to recover. But by the mid 1950s, the stock market was rising to new heights.

This also assumes you put no new money in the market and ignoring dividends. Buying the dip in the 30s, 40s would have cut this time to breakeven significantly. Also, we're talking a once in a 100+ year event. We may never see a repeat of a similar sized crash again in our lifetimes.

Re:The tech bubble that never burst by ChuckNorris89 on Tuesday April 19, 2022 @01:01PM (#31085771)
> Also, we're talking a once in a 100+ year event.

The 2008 financial crisis was also a once in a 100+ year event.

So was the 2020 Covid-19 pandemic.

And the 2022 Russo - Ukrainian war.

And now I wonder what "once in 100+ year event" we'll have next year.

Re:The tech bubble that never burst by jdminhbg on Tuesday April 19, 2022 @01:25PM (#31086098)
> And the 2022 Russo - Ukrainian war.

That is absolutely not a once per century event. WWII was 80 years ago.

Re:The tech bubble that never burst by slg on Tuesday April 19, 2022 @02:24PM (#31086868)
It isn't even the first Russian invasion of Ukraine in the last decade.
Re:The tech bubble that never burst by paulpauper on Tuesday April 19, 2022 @03:35PM (#31087880)
yeah , foreign conflicts are not uncommon, the market historically does fine
Re:The tech bubble that never burst by vharuck on Tuesday April 19, 2022 @01:59PM (#31086542)
"Scientists have calculated that the chances of something so patently absurd actually existing are millions to one. But magicians have calculated that million-to-one chances crop up nine times out of ten."

- Mort, by Terry Pratchett

Which actually plays out often, birthday-paradox style.

Re:The tech bubble that never burst by paulpauper on Tuesday April 19, 2022 @01:46PM (#31086366)
the market recovered within a year after covid began.

2008 was closest to 1929.

Re:The tech bubble that never burst by ChuckNorris89 on Tuesday April 19, 2022 @02:13PM (#31086710)
>the market recovered within a year after covid began.

The market only "recovered" because the government intervened and infinite money got printed and poured onto it. Otherwise it would have crashed.

The greatest wealth transfer in history is not "the free market recovered" but a rigged game.

Re:The tech bubble that never burst by astrange on Tuesday April 19, 2022 @03:24PM (#31087689)
Poverty in the US went down in 2020. CARES act wasn't a "wealth transfer", but you can claim rich people made all the money if you quote stock market gains starting at the bottom of the crash in March.

What actually happened is Gates and Bezos lost half their wealth, but everyone's still complaining! Just get all the other rich guys to get divorced.

Re:The tech bubble that never burst by jltsiren on Tuesday April 19, 2022 @01:33PM (#31086181)
If it was a one in 100 years event or a one in 200 years event, it was still pretty mild as far as crises go. If your horizon is 50 years, there is a real risk that you will experience something far worse in your lifetime.