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Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by jacquesm on Thursday February 24, 2022 @04:47PM (#30460766)
> I really doubt too many Ukrainians are eager to die for nothing

As in: you don't believe that Ukrainians will defend their country?

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by mikeyouse on Thursday February 24, 2022 @04:58PM (#30460872)
Just the most absurd line of argument from OP -- there are tons of videos of dead Ukrainian soldiers, burned out tanks/APCs, videos of indiscriminate rocket attacks on civilian centers, jets firing on residential buildings, cruise missiles striking civilian airports, at least one video of a child on a bicycle being hit with a mortar.

Because the confirmed number of military KIA in the first hours of the war is only "several dozen" it's "a weekend in Chicago". Just incredibly ghoulish.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by Mikeb85 on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:13PM (#30461018)
No ghoulish is the west who abandoned Ukraine... The West who beat war drums but won't defend a country being invaded.

You say nice words and the "right thing" but the US hasn't done shit for Ukraine.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by dillondoyle on Thursday February 24, 2022 @06:52PM (#30462011)
What would you have suggested? and the consequences of say putting US or NATO troops in Ukraine?

I agree we should have an even stronger response to Russia right now in terms of just completely crushing their country economically. And perhaps provided more air defense weapons.

But I wouldn't take a bet that Putin wouldn't call our bluff (of troops sitting in Ukraine). And if it's not a bluff......

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by jacquesm on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:11PM (#30460994)
Precisely. It is revolting some of the sentiments on HN regarding this make me sick.

To believe that Ukrainians will just let their country be run over is naive, what bugs me is that they are left to hang in the wind rather than that they receive help, that's the one thing that Putin really fears right now judging by his performance earlier, clearly aimed at persuading the public in the West that he would rain nuclear destruction on any country that decides to interfere.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by Mikeb85 on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:27PM (#30461199)
So why isn't the west helping?

And why do you expect Ukrainians to march to their deaths if your country and NATO won't help?

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by jacquesm on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:46PM (#30461408)
Because they are under the - in my opinion mistaken - belief that they will be able to deal with this using sanctions and external pressure alone. For some reason people seem to want to believe that the counterparty here is rational even if all of the evidence is against that.

It is very much like the run up to World War II, when countries were making all kinds of deals with Hitler regarding neutrality because they believed that that would keep them out of the firing line, when in fact it enabled a war on a much larger scale than would have ever materialized if the allied sphere had immediately struck back. But even the United States only responded after Pearl Harbor. So, now we have a real problem, and the people of the Ukraine get to choose between abandoning their country, fighting back or living under the Russian jackboot for as long as it takes to plunder their country.

This is not a good day, for anybody.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by toyg on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:22PM (#30461117)
Well, I'll be frank: between nuclear holocaust and Ukraine going back to 1989, I pick the latter. Sucks to be Ukrainian right now, I know, but this is the time to be smart: France was overrun in a month too, and looked pretty pacific under occupation for a pretty long time, but eventually...
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by jacquesm on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:25PM (#30461167)
Ok, then what about Poland, Romania, Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia?

Good enough to supply troops to NATO, not good enough to be defended when it matters? They should go back to 1989 as well?

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by toyg on Thursday February 24, 2022 @06:00PM (#30461527)
You mean good enough to buy NATO-grade American weapons, surely. But anyway, obviously the allegiance matters - if anything because they already got troops and missiles deployed there, so the risk for Russian assets is too high - you can hit St. Petersburg from Tallinn with little more than a fishing boat.

Besides, there is no reason for Putin to claim those, nor a real strategic value. Ukraine has value: the pipelines, the coast, the Dnieper, and the example for Belarusians not to get ideas once Lukashenko goes. That it would remain a Moscow satellite was basically the agreement post-1990, this makes it more explicit. Sucks for self-determination and all that, but again, avoiding nuclear holocaust is probably worth losing the occasional battle.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by jacquesm on Thursday February 24, 2022 @06:25PM (#30461751)
I'm going on the assumption that you haven't visited those countries or you would realize that the sentiment runs a lot deeper than being allowed to buy NATO grade American weapons, those countries have Russian occupation in living memory and very much won't go back to those days without a fight.

> Besides, there is no reason for Putin to claim those, nor a real strategic value.

The strategic value of Lithuania or the North of Poland for Russia can not be underestimated.

> Sucks for self-determination and all that, but again, avoiding nuclear holocaust is probably worth losing the occasional battle.

It isn't the West that is threatening nuclear holocaust here, Putin did just that on live television and if that threat works this time I don't see any reason why it would not work the next.

Historically appeasement of dictators never ends well, I don't see why this would be the exception.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by toyg on Thursday February 24, 2022 @06:32PM (#30461816)
> you would realize that the sentiment runs a lot deeper than being allowed to buy NATO grade American weapons

Oh but I referred to sentiment at the other end of the alliance.

> if that threat works this time I don't see any reason why it would not work the next.

Eh, I don't completely disagree, but the risk/reward calculation of invading a full NATO member with deployed military infrastructure is undoubtedly different - if anything because the stay-behind capabilities in those areas would be very difficult to uproot.

> Historically appeasement of dictators never ends well

The luxury of getting rid of dictators in certain countries by swinging a bigger club, effectively ended in Hiroshima in 1945.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by southerntofu on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:57PM (#30461504)
France was invaded because the liberals in France and UK refused to act against Hitler when he first invaded Poland and Austria, or when he and Mussolini supported Franco's coup d'etat in Spain in 1936, crushing a popular anarchist revolution and destroying any notion of hope across Europe for the decade to come.

France/UK argued that helping elected governments (or people's militias) against their invader could ignite war spreading throughout Europe, so they would rather not irritate these angry dictators. Where did this strategy get us? It's hard to imagine just how different Europe (and probably the rest of the world, for better or for worse) would be today if the western powers had intervened at that time.

It's also worth noting already at the time, social-liberal democracies from the USA to France were very unwelcoming of refugees from the nazi regime. Let's make sure to make them welcome no matter what our governments say, there's quite empty housing for everyone!

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by toyg on Thursday February 24, 2022 @06:07PM (#30461592)
> France was invaded because the liberals in France and UK refused to act against Hitler when he first invaded Poland and Austria

No, France was invaded because they didn't shore up their Northern border.

> Let's make sure to make them welcome no matter what our governments say, there's quite empty housing for everyone!

I absolutely agree, except I reckon this is the time for the Visegrad bloc to take them, for once.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by southerntofu on Friday February 25, 2022 @06:22AM (#30466092)
> No, France was invaded because they didn't shore up their Northern border.

Technically correct, yet completely misses the point. If you don't want to be bullied, don't let someone bully anyone else. To be clear, i'm extremely hostile to any colonial Empire (Russia/USA/France/etc) and i'm certainly not a fan of military intervention.

My point is not to compare modern Russia to the nazis, but rather that this laissez-faire policy in regards to military invasions of sovereign territories doesn't exactly have a history of leading to a more peaceful situation overall (see also: France in Mali, USA in Iraq/Afghanistan, China in Tibet, Turkey in Bakur).

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by toyg on Thursday February 24, 2022 @04:59PM (#30460873)
Some of their country, probably yes. All of it, including Donbass and the coast, probably not. After all, anybody who felt strongly about the Donbass was already there fighting. Ukrainians might well decide that they can live with a landlocked country, if the alternative is annihilation.
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by mikeyouse on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:02PM (#30460896)
Russians are literally driving on Kyiv as we speak. 3 million people live there and it's the seat of government. I'm not sure what to tell you if you think the Ukrainian military is going to abandon the fight.
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by jacquesm on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:12PM (#30461007)
I know a couple of Ukrainians, I can't say they share your sentiment, to put it mildly.
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by Mikeb85 on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:12PM (#30461003)
They've had how many regimes in the last century?

No, they won't die for this.

Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by jacquesm on Thursday February 24, 2022 @05:14PM (#30461034)
They are already dying for this. Really, you make no sense to me at all.
Re:Twitter based map of Russian troop movements by richardfey on Thursday February 24, 2022 @07:20PM (#30462218)
Some people will certainly die in the line of duty, and some already have.