Then you haven't been paying attention. Wright is continually spouting literal gibberish and technobabble, he's technical inept to the point of hilarity. For example, when asked to explain some C code he claimed that the line declaring a double-type variable were doubling the values.

Beyond his ineptitude, Wright has repeatedly claimed he would provide proof, but then when his 'proof' is exposed to expert analysis it turns out to be a provable forgery. Not just once, but over and over again. Forged emails, forged pgp keys, forged digital signatures, forged invoices, forged whitepaper drafts. Not merely falsifiable but actually falsified.

It's certantly possible that Satoshi lost whatever keys he had-- but if so he isn't saying anything about it. The idea that Satoshi would lose keys and then make a clown out of himself is just not parsimonious.

What is parsimonious is that we know for a fact that Wright has been selling his "fortune" to suckers for a number of years now-- the setup of a classic Nigerian scam: I am a prince in exile but with a small advance from you I can access a vast fortune which I will gladly share with you. At first his excuse was that he couldn't touch the coins without risking the AU government seizing them (due to stealing millions from AU with fraudulent rebates), then his excuse was that the coins were secured by a "bonded courier" (think of the end of Back to the Future 2) and wouldn't be delivered until Jan 2020, and most recently he claims that in Feb 2020 hackers entered his home and hid a 'wifi pineapple' to penetrate his network and steal his coins (of course, the coins haven't moved on the blockchain)...

Seems Dorsey's COPA is going to try to prove that in court shortly

"Bitcoin 'inventor' will face forgery claims over his Satoshi Nakamoto proof, rules High Court" https://www.theregister.com/2022/01/06/craig_wright_satoshi_...

Yes, though wright has filed lawsuits against more or less every remaining known developer that worked with Satoshi and doesn't have a relationship with Wright in an apparent effort to create a conflict of interest to disqualify their input and intimidate them from participation (that's the subject of this article).

Okay? I came up with a theory of ham sandwiches, but I’m no chef. (Thousand island dressing is an underrated addition to almost any sandwich.)

There’s nothing to indicate he’s who he claims to be.

Okay, then why can't he login to any of the accounts that Satoshi used originally in 2009? Mailing list accounts, email accounts, etc.

And when, presumably the real Satoshi, did so in 2014. (https://www.forbes.com/sites/kashmirhill/2014/03/06/bitcoin-...)

IIRC, his supposed reason is forgotten passwords. Not a great excuse, but also one that could plausibly happen.

One of the addresses he claims to own has signed a message saying it's not his though...