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Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by _-david-_ on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:23PM (#29969800)
>And the pay would obviously go up.

Maybe. Many jobs can be automated, but it was cheaper to just hire minimum wage people to do a job. If the pay required to find people got to be too high, automation would happen more rapidly.

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by wizzwizz4 on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:27PM (#29969864)
Then roll on automation. Not even the Luddites had a problem with automation; just with the quality of the result and with who reaped the rewards.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by ajuc on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:31PM (#29969945)
Automation is good. Automation in a capitalist society with unlimited IP laws results in dystopia.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by worik on Monday January 17, 2022 @02:04PM (#29970392)
"a capitalist society" is not a binary attribute. There can be elements of capitalism and elements of "socialism".

Private property can coexist with government supplied housing for instance.

In the "capitalist" USA a lot of the military industrial complex lives off government handouts. Why not the people too? The cakes and cookies we should earn ourselves, the meat and potatoes (and housing) should be a right for every citizen

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by wizzwizz4 on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:51PM (#29970221)
Not necessarily. Society is made of people; some things can be automated in a non-capitalist way (e.g. free software) even by capitalists. Though, of course, we will have to struggle to avoid the dystopia.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by rrrrrrrrrrrryan on Monday January 17, 2022 @05:08PM (#29972223)
Capitalistic societies still have taxes. Any realistic UBI proposal would have to funnel some of the efficiency gains from automation toward constructing a strong social safety net.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by wizzwizz4 on Monday January 17, 2022 @05:16PM (#29972288)
For a one-sentence policy proposal, that sounds almost perfect… but how do you quantify “efficiency gains from automation”?
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by rrrrrrrrrrrryan on Monday January 17, 2022 @06:46PM (#29973031)
Revenue per employee, usually. (There are many measures of labor productivity, though.)

Really, you'd just want to tax corporations over a certain size that are both highly automated (i.e. high revenue per employee), and have lopsided compensation structures (which could be measured by CEO to median worker pay). If a company successfully automates a bunch of jobs, and then makes that money rain equally on all their remaining employees, I'd have no problem with it. I only think they should be taxed if they try to distribute those gains exclusively to the executives and shareholders.

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by chii on Monday January 17, 2022 @11:13PM (#29975014)
> makes that money rain equally on all their remaining employees, I'd have no problem with it.

why would the remaining employees, who have no invested capital into the business (with which the automation is driven by), receive any of the gains from said automation?

The people who invested the capital into the automation reaps the profit. In this case, it's often the shareholders in the end.

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by rrrrrrrrrrrryan on Tuesday January 18, 2022 @12:38AM (#29975531)
> The people who invested the capital into the automation reaps the profit.

Yes, that's how it works today. That's not how I'd like it to work.

Many people here get a significant portion of their compensation via RSUs, ESPPs, and other profit-sharing initiatives, and any company that decides to extend these benefits to lower level workers should be treated favourably by the tax system.

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by godelski on Monday January 17, 2022 @02:23PM (#29970626)
i.e. > just with the quality of the result and with who reaped the rewards.

Maybe we should leave terms like capitalism and socialism out of the discussion because no one can agree on their meanings so they just become fighting words and their usefulness to the conversations are less than meaningless.

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by ajuc on Monday January 17, 2022 @02:51PM (#29970962)
That's why I specified unlimited IP laws. Basically who licences the robots and AIs - owns the world.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by godelski on Monday January 17, 2022 @04:27PM (#29971868)
Then I'm confused what you are meaningfully adding to the conversation with your comment? The parent to your comment already suggested what you are stating.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by jjk166 on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:36PM (#29970036)
If a job doesn't need doing, why waste a human's labor on it?

Though that said, I remember not too long ago a lot of people saying "oh if minimum wage goes over $15 we'll just automate the jobs" and now the McDonalds by my house is offering $23/hr for entry level work and robots are nowhere to be seen.

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by toast0 on Monday January 17, 2022 @02:17PM (#29970547)
> McDonalds by my house is offering $23/hr for entry level work and robots are nowhere to be seen.

Who's pouring the drinks at your McDonalds? Over the past five or so years, the robots have taken that over. McDonalds has never been a stranger to labor savings, although I don't think they use burger conveyors like other chains, they do lots of little things. They've also been putting in two lane ordering all over the place, which increases throughput.

All these things work together to reduce the people hours to put together an order. Sometimes that means one less person on a shift.

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by vba616 on Monday January 17, 2022 @06:53PM (#29973078)
Is reducing the number of employees per McDonald's a bad thing if the total wages and total employees for all McDonald'ses go up?
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by morelisp on Monday January 17, 2022 @02:59PM (#29971065)
> Who's pouring the drinks at your McDonalds?

Generally, prior to COVID-19, the customers themselves.

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by toast0 on Monday January 17, 2022 @03:59PM (#29971633)
How about in the drive through? Moving the pouring of dine in/take out to the customers happened mid 200x, and saved labor back then, too.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by morelisp on Monday January 17, 2022 @04:08PM (#29971709)
> Moving the pouring of dine in/take out to the customers happened mid 200x

At least 10 years earlier. Probably more but that's outside my memory range.

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by toast0 on Monday January 17, 2022 @06:30PM (#29972920)
Here's a discussion from 2002 where someone says 'all the new McDonald's have serve-yourself-drinks' but older stores still had them behind the counter. At some point, most existing stores retrofitted self-serve, too. Other chains had it way earlier for sure.

https://boards.straightdope.com/t/mcdonalds-refill-policy-in...

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by staticassertion on Monday January 17, 2022 @03:32PM (#29971389)
Via a machine.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by _-david-_ on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:42PM (#29970109)
They are rolling out computer tellers all around my area. If they haven't done it in your area it is coming.

There are a few companies working on automated meal makers and they are slowly being rolled out.

It is just going a bit slow right now.

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by brimble on Monday January 17, 2022 @03:12PM (#29971192)
The ones I've seen (yes, at McDonalds specifically) are terrible, take forever to use, are abusive in attempting to push crap on the user and make some (what I'm sure are higher-margin) items easier to buy than others, and are yet another case of pushing labor onto the "consumer" and calling it automation(?!), like "automated checkouts" at grocery stores—a fucking lie, the buyer is doing almost as much work as paid workers used to, "automated" would be if you could just let go of your cart and a machine took care of the rest while you waited.

Or like shifting from having workers fetch items for you to modern-style stores where you have to find everything yourself (that change was long enough ago that the idea that you should feel put-out at having to do this part of a store's job is lost to time). Or filling your own drinks, which is at least semi-compensated by being able to refill as much as you want or even "steal" an extra cup, but since a large soda costs the store pennies that's not much of a benefit.

I'm struggling to think of a consumer-facing "automation" that wasn't actually just making consumers do more work. It's bad enough that we have to do the work of regulating prices (think of the time and brain-space you devote to figuring out whether the sale price on, say, apples is actually a decent one, keeping that figure/heuristic up-to-date, et c., now multiply by your entire shopping list, now multiply by the entire population)

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by JacobThreeThree on Monday January 17, 2022 @02:44PM (#29970883)
>It is just going a bit slow right now.

Ahh yes, as the AI marketing department always says, we're 99% of the way there, it's just that the last 1% is the hardest!

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-08-17/waymo-s-s...

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by _-david-_ on Monday January 17, 2022 @03:01PM (#29971088)
I don't think the comparison to AI is apt since meal making robots do currently function and are in restaurants right now. It is literally just being rolled out slowly.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by Ekaros on Monday January 17, 2022 @02:59PM (#29971062)
I love them.

Still, it seems that even those that clearly are solved problem can be done badly. Recently KFC rolled out here. And their kiosk seem to miss the basic options to customize the meals. Like just removing things. Can't do that with meals... Have list of extra options of stuff possibly not even in the product... Actually they don't even tell anywhere what is in their burgers. But I digress. All other chains including the local one manage to have these options present...

So in the end automation won't always solve everything immediately...

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by withinboredom on Monday January 17, 2022 @02:32PM (#29970750)
I love this in other countries. I don’t always speak the local language well enough but I can tap on pictures and wait for my number to come up.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by lostapathy on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:46PM (#29970158)
Pandemic driven wage increases haven’t been happening long enough to drive just too much automation yet - supply chains and all that would greatly limit how fast that will roll out. It will be interesting if in 5 years I’d wages stay at current levels how much automation displaces them.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by pixl97 on Monday January 17, 2022 @03:01PM (#29971081)
This pandemic is also coupled with a chip supply shortage that will also increase the cost/difficulty of automating for a bit.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by Verdex on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:49PM (#29970196)
Well, not common. However, I wouldn't say 'nowhere'.

https://misorobotics.com/flippy-2/

Looks like it's a work in progress.

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by morelisp on Monday January 17, 2022 @02:51PM (#29970958)
This looks more like deskilling than automation. There's not someone constantly on the fryers in most fast food outlets, this just makes it a button press instead of having to learn by sight/smell/feel when something is done. That can make things a little faster, but at 30% faster you're paying now paying a whole person's salary to... save at most a person's worth of work, with a much bigger business risk if anything goes wrong.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by jelliclesfarm on Monday January 17, 2022 @05:46PM (#29972565)
That’s because we rely on China for parts to make the robots and there has been a huge shortage. At least in America, we need to back to being self reliant. Software is not going to eat anything without hardware.

It’s all happening in Asia and we outsource our manufacturing to them. This won’t end well for America.

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by y4mi on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:27PM (#29969868)
Sounds like a net positive if they're getting basic income and thus don't have to suffer through the abuse anymore
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by wpietri on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:58PM (#29970306)
Done right, automation increases the value created per labor hour. Which makes both UBI and humane jobs even more achievable. I'm all for it.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by Natsu on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:33PM (#29969969)
Speaking as someone who has worked in a factory, you couldn't pay me a six figure salary to go back. And most of the things were automated already, at least as much as reasonably could be.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by yurishimo on Monday January 17, 2022 @02:18PM (#29970565)
I think that is more a testament to the lives we now live as Software Developers more than anything else. It's not uncommon to find anecdotes of others on HN talking about how they maybe work 2-3 hours a day and take home 150k+ a year.

I started working my freshman year in high school in 2008 as a busboy at a local restaurant making $4.50/hr + tips from the servers working that night. I couldn't even drive yet so I pocketed most of that money and was grateful for the opportunity. (This ultimately allowed me to build my first PC and I allowed me to get into programming.)

I moved from there to another local restaurant with a similar job title, but quickly moved up into working in the kitchen as a line cook. I think I made $8 or $9/hr when I got the "promotion". After graduation I wandered around some and eventually ended up as an asst. manager at a Burger King.

Now, over a decade later, I can sometimes look back nostalgically at my time in food service, but I don't know that I would ever go back, for any amount of money.

The things I am nostalgic for are structure, a defined start/end time, and being able to leave work at work. The pay was awful, the people were generally nice enough, but there's always a rude customer at some point or a manager with a power trip. I don't miss waking up at 5am to man the drive-thru, or going home after midnight smelling like grease.

If I woke up tomorrow with no qualifications to write software, I would sooner go into a back breaking trade than go back to retail.

I think we will see automation really start to take over these retail spaces in 2022. In my city (Dallas), pretty much every single fast food restaurant has mobile ordering or a kiosk available. My local Kroger expanded their self checkout lines and after 10pm, there are no more manned checkouts open. I've frequently had to scan and bag a full cart of groceries using self checkout (which sucks).

The past two years have opened up a lot of time for these giant corps to invest in R&D as the labor pool shrinks. Through the perfect storm of chip shortages and labor shortages, we haven't seen a large scale roll out, but I'm confident it's coming as soon as parts and installers are available.

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by Natsu on Monday January 17, 2022 @03:34PM (#29971412)
Oh, I definitely feel like I'm working in the top 1% of jobs now.

Full time WFH since significantly before covid, it's B2B so even though I'm nominally on call, that's just a nice chunk of extra pay for maybe 1-2 calls a year. I do work hard when required, but it's not as required any longer, so I end up with a lot of free time when there are no issues to solve and I use that to go the extra mile to keep my customers happy.

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by Kim_Bruning on Monday January 17, 2022 @02:26PM (#29970662)
Depends on the factory and what you're doing there. Last time I worked in a factory I was debugging printer-eating robots, shooting high powered lasers at things, and blowing stuff around with blasts of compressed air. (And I got to program all those things).

You haven't really debugged things until your tests involve forklifts and 10t cranes. O:-)

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by Natsu on Monday January 17, 2022 @03:24PM (#29971305)
I wish, this was more about working several summers near a large, hot furnace with no AC.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by Kim_Bruning on Monday January 17, 2022 @05:52PM (#29972620)
Oh, that's no fun. Sorry to hear it.

Fortunately people are working to make that kind of thing less necessary (though it can't be eliminated completely of course; someone still needs to watch and maintain the machines).

Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by Natsu on Tuesday January 18, 2022 @12:53PM (#29982913)
I mean, this isn't completely unsolvable--better AC would've made things better. But it probably wouldn't be that economical, because industries like that are rather price sensitive.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by ido on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:29PM (#29969899)
That's a good thing, right? What used to require a human toiling will then be made by a machine!
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by staticassertion on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:32PM (#29969960)
Good thing there would be UBI then?
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by meatsauce on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:25PM (#29969827)
I wonder where people get this idea that you should be paid like a rockstar without knowing how to play the guitar.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by jodrellblank on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:34PM (#29969989)
I wonder where people got this idea that UBI proponents are expecting everyone to be paid like rockstars.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by andi999 on Monday January 17, 2022 @01:58PM (#29970304)
That would bei URI, universal rockstar income.
Re:Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work by chii on Monday January 17, 2022 @11:16PM (#29975027)
which, ironically, would be a pittance since most musicians are starving artists.