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A comment on I am a New York City public high school student. The situation is beyond control. Parent comment

Re:I am a New York City public high school student. The situ... by labster on Saturday January 08, 2022 @07:31PM (#29858382)
Everyone in June 2020 was too busy assuming the best case scenario to plan for disruption. I never really understood the human capacity for self-delusion until 2020. I knew we’d have two years of lockdowns in February 2020, unless we lucked into a drug that treated it (despite not having a drug for SARS-CoV-1). Even the logistics for distributing a vaccine is hard, and takes months to set up. I have no idea how people can ignore evidence they dislike so easily.
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Re:I am a New York City public high school student. The situ... by yarky on Saturday January 08, 2022 @09:11PM (#29859146)
> I have no idea how people can ignore evidence they dislike so easily.

Isn’t this the natural response to the unknown? Denial? I guess not everyone likes Bayes’ theorem!

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Re:I am a New York City public high school student. The situ... by LodeOfCode on Saturday January 08, 2022 @10:16PM (#29859619)
Even with Bayes' theorem, if your prior is zero, you can ignore any evidence - no matter how strong - that doesn't absolutely require the hypothesis to be true.
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Re:I am a New York City public high school student. The situ... by yarky on Saturday January 08, 2022 @11:59PM (#29860318)
That’s why they say Bayesians can’t be atheists by definition. At least that’s how all atheists in my stats 101 class starting calling themselves agnostic. Another way to put it I learnt in a finance class : financial models behave alright, the problem comes from our lack of imagination, i.e. assigning a null probability to a future event :/
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Re:I am a New York City public high school student. The situ... by astrange on Sunday January 09, 2022 @02:33AM (#29861130)
Bayesians are atheists, they just happen to believe in Roko's Basilisk, which obviously is nothing like a reinvention of the devil. Remember not to think of it since we can't prove it won't torture an infinite number of clones of you forever!
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Re:I am a New York City public high school student. The situ... by labster on Sunday January 09, 2022 @03:31AM (#29861458)
https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Roko%27s_basilisk

There, I just sent another 50 souls to rationalist hell.

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Re:I am a New York City public high school student. The situ... by rdtwo on Sunday January 09, 2022 @09:53AM (#29863709)
That’s just how American administrators work. The same thing happens at my company.
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