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Re:I am a New York City public high school student. The situ... by LodeOfCode on Saturday January 08, 2022 @10:16PM (#29859619)
Even with Bayes' theorem, if your prior is zero, you can ignore any evidence - no matter how strong - that doesn't absolutely require the hypothesis to be true.
Re:I am a New York City public high school student. The situ... by yarky on Saturday January 08, 2022 @11:59PM (#29860318)
That’s why they say Bayesians can’t be atheists by definition. At least that’s how all atheists in my stats 101 class starting calling themselves agnostic. Another way to put it I learnt in a finance class : financial models behave alright, the problem comes from our lack of imagination, i.e. assigning a null probability to a future event :/
Re:I am a New York City public high school student. The situ... by astrange on Sunday January 09, 2022 @02:33AM (#29861130)
Bayesians are atheists, they just happen to believe in Roko's Basilisk, which obviously is nothing like a reinvention of the devil. Remember not to think of it since we can't prove it won't torture an infinite number of clones of you forever!
Re:I am a New York City public high school student. The situ... by labster on Sunday January 09, 2022 @03:31AM (#29861458)
https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Roko%27s_basilisk

There, I just sent another 50 souls to rationalist hell.