News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:To make progress on climate change, we must move past doo... by Sytten on Friday November 26, 2021 @07:21AM (#29349604)
I must say I do feel that way and it is a common "joke" within my circle (mid-twenties) that we will be lucky if we survive until our retirement. So I would not say 10 years timeframe, but more 40-50 years up to 100 years (so our potential children lifetime).

It will take a lot to change my mind on that, I believe we are truly f*ked and I don't believe humanity will get out of this one. It requires such drastic change in lifestyle that most are simply not ready to do unless facing imminent (in your face type) catastrophe. Most likely scenario in my mind is global disruption of food supply chain, wars for water access, lots of migrations and lots of death/suffering.

Planet is going to be fine, we don't need to "save it". Us? Not so much.

Re:To make progress on climate change, we must move past doo... by jimbokun on Friday November 26, 2021 @10:02AM (#29350788)
> It requires such drastic change in lifestyle

Of course not.

This is a political problem, not a technological one.

We can pretty much see how a zero carbon energy future can be realized, if there is just the political will to allow it to happen.

Solar is already close to beating fossil fuels in pure cost terms, without subsidies. And we are a long, long way from maxing out the potential of harnessing solar energy.

And then there's nuclear to see us through until storage is good enough to supply all our needs from solar. Again it's political stupidity failing to see that the risks of nuclear power are minuscule compared to the threat of carbon.

Tesla is probably the most popular car manufacturer in the world. And the other major automobile manufacturers are pushing hard in developing new electric vehicles. Building out fast recharging stations is not a complicated technical problem. Except for reducing the charging time, but I'm confident that will improve as well. So again, migrating to electric vehicles is a political and cultural problem, not a technical one.

I really so no reason at all why lifestyle needs to degrade at all to get off of fossil fuels. We have a road map to solve every single one of the technology problems. We just need the dumb politicians (and voters) to get out of the way.

Re:To make progress on climate change, we must move past doo... by lelag on Friday November 26, 2021 @10:57AM (#29351301)
> Solar is already close to beating fossil fuels in pure cost terms, without subsidies.

Looking at the marginal cost to produce renewable energy today in a world doped with fossil fuel is meaningless. It's only cheap because we have ample cheap fossil fuel energy supply at our disposition to support production and logistics. Try to completely build, ship and install your solar panel and your wind turbines only using renewable energy and I bet you would see the cost increase by at least an order of magnitude.

Re:To make progress on climate change, we must move past doo... by shmageggy on Friday November 26, 2021 @02:32PM (#29353269)
But why are fossil fuels currently so cheap? They have a bunch of situational advantages over renewables that will either go away (such as subsidies and plentiful easy-to-access reserves) or evened out over time as infrastructure and adoption of renewables catches up
Re:To make progress on climate change, we must move past doo... by Gravityloss on Friday November 26, 2021 @07:30AM (#29349657)
It's not a binary thing - the more that is done, the less the consequences.
Re:To make progress on climate change, we must move past doo... by randyrand on Friday November 26, 2021 @03:26PM (#29353757)
Most people (even self declared environmentalists) still take commercial airplanes.

If even environmentalists can’t stop flying - literally the most important thing you can do as a individual to help the globe - we have no hope for others to take necessary reductions in quality of life.

It’s clear we either need to accept climate change, or engineer some other solution.

Re:To make progress on climate change, we must move past doo... by o5ira on Friday November 26, 2021 @08:57AM (#29350209)
It's not just humans vs "planet". The big rock called Earth, yeah we probably aren't going to bother it much. But the destruction of biodiversity, all forms of life on earth, is an enormous ongoing tragedy that we absolutely have a responsibility to reverse with all our efforts.
Re:To make progress on climate change, we must move past doo... by refurb on Friday November 26, 2021 @07:56PM (#29356016)
I will bet the next 1000 years will look a lot like the last 1000.

We like to think we live in unusual or unique times… we don’t.

Re:To make progress on climate change, we must move past doo... by Nevermark on Saturday November 27, 2021 @03:49AM (#29358692)
I would argue the opposite. The rate of change due to biological impact on Earth has been slowly speeding up ever since life developed.

Changes that used to take hundreds of millions of years now happen in decades. And there is no sign of slow down.

I am not arguing negatively or positively about the future, simply that the efficiency of innovation and scaling new changes are increasing, so the rate of change continues to increase.

This is the Holocene.

I think geo-engineering the planet is inevitable, completely aside from that as a climate issue. We already have many planet wide systems, and the number and scale of them are growing.

Re:To make progress on climate change, we must move past doo... by flycaliguy on Friday November 26, 2021 @01:43PM (#29352826)
I can’t help but wonder if this same comment could be made in 1960 with a few dangers swapped out.
Re:To make progress on climate change, we must move past doo... by randyrand on Friday November 26, 2021 @03:24PM (#29353740)
Most people can’t accept a lifestyle of never flying again.

I think we need to look at alternate solutions.

[dead]
Re:To make progress on climate change, we must move past doo... by FieryTransition on Friday November 26, 2021 @08:53AM (#29350179)
If I remember correctly, and forgive me for missing some details, the last one states that we are most likely to experience warming until 2045/2050, no matter what we do.

They then proceed to give some different scenarios based on their models of what we do in those years from now to 2050. The models explain what changes we will likely experience, if the temperature rises post 2050 from a range of 2 to 6/7 degrees. The ideal scenario is a 1-2 degrees, which is still bad and can lead to a lot of global destabilization. But not as bad as all the other scenarios. The worse and worst case scenario is cause for concern, and if we don't do our best, we are in for a hell of a ride.

So no matter what we do, we will experience more and more harsh effects, that is most likely the reality now. It is not delusional, and it says so in the ippc reports you are referring too. I am referring to the latest one from 2021, made for policy makers.

I don't think we will all just have no future, we can still do a lot to mitigate the risks post 2050. It is neither productive to say it is hopeless, but neither that the risks aren't very very real. But if we don't take it seriously now, things are gonna be capital B bad. It's like one of the execs of an oil company said when asked about the implications of using oil, and I'm paraphrasing; "It's not my concern, the future generations will just invent tech and solve it". How arrogant and careless can you be....

Re:To make progress on climate change, we must move past doo... by seibelj on Friday November 26, 2021 @08:48AM (#29350152)
I’ve read comments from people arguing why having children now is immoral because the world is ending. Beyond absurd. At least those people are removing themselves from the gene pool.
Re:To make progress on climate change, we must move past doo... by hammock on Friday November 26, 2021 @10:04AM (#29350803)
Sell me your retirement fund.