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Re:The Drivers Cooperative by agloeregrets on Friday March 26, 2021 @08:22AM (#26591204)
This. I never got how Uber was still unprofitable for so long. Sure you have a bunch of Silicon Valley salaries to pay but realistically speaking, one could build an Uber/Lyft for under $1M and basically can operate with two or so devs fixing issues. Yet, they are blowing hundreds of millions of dollars yearly all over the place while shorting drivers who can’t make a living wage and are basically trading vehicle expenses down the road for payment today.
Re:The Drivers Cooperative by mindvirus on Friday March 26, 2021 @08:39AM (#26591355)
Which of those two devs will be responsible for ensuring taxes are properly charged and keeping up to date with the tax code?

Which will maintain parking and map zones?

Who will work on routing and matching?

Who's working on fraud? On safety?

Who is working on payments, both from riders and paying drivers?

Who is generating required tax reports for drivers?

Who's doing driver onboarding?

Which will ensure that drivers have the proper paperwork to operate in their market (insurance etc)?

And who is working on Android and iOS apps, both for drivers and riders?

Who's working on the backend?

Re:The Drivers Cooperative by agloeregrets on Friday March 26, 2021 @09:57AM (#26592190)
My numbers were talking app expenses, obviously a company of Uber's scale would need 100+ employees. I broke down below that if they worked at their current scale and charged just a penny, they could pay their employees an average of $100K per year and still make millions in profit after spending millions on Infrastructure. Uber bills on average more than 100-200 times that and spends insane numbers on unprofitable projects like self driving cars. I've read the whole book, a set of co-ops could easily spend as little as a million dollars, retain devs for work on it, bill a tiny service fee of a penny per ride (plus card processing) and then have local co-ops operate the other half of everything above at a reasonable scale whereas drivers get paid the rest other than management costs. Uber is intentionally using automation to overswamp driver markets to keep prices low and driver pay low to boost ride numbers and eliminate competition.
Re:The Drivers Cooperative by aerosmile on Friday March 26, 2021 @10:16AM (#26592422)
Nope, your words were clear - you were flat out wrong, and are now trying to save face. I don't have a tendency to call people out, but blindly applying the "two devs in a garage" axiom is not only wrong when it comes to labor marketplaces, but it also unnecessarily spreads discontent to the point that we have to stop this silliness. I don't care one bit about your recalculated math from now on - for me, you're just another armchair quarterback who speaks before he thinks.
Re:The Drivers Cooperative by ryandrake on Friday March 26, 2021 @11:20AM (#26593160)
Yes, OP was wrong to specifically call out "two devs" and HN, as it always is, was technically correct and called him out on it. Congratulations HN! Bad OP!

I agree with the overall sentiment though: "What are all these people doing?" is a valid question against lots of Silicon Valley companies who are currently growing for the sake of growing. Yes, you need a few lawyers. Do you need 100 lawyers, each with executive assistants, and lawyer managers of other lawyers? Why? What specifically are they all doing? Why can't you do it with 90 lawyers? or 80?

I've worked for companies ranging from 12 people up to 100,000+. I've seen companies that were legitimately understaffed, but also companies where I don't think anyone (including the employees themselves) could articulate why all these people were needed. Outwardly, it's always explained with some nebulous reason like "Oh, what we do is oh-so-complex! We need people to, um, manage the complexity, and uh, create synergies." Yea, and they need exec assistants and interns, and their own staff of sub-complexity-wranglers, who also need assistants, and soon it's complexity-wranglers all the way down, and nobody knows what any of them are actually doing, but they're all sending E-mails to each other!

The unspoken side is that most companies simply measure your importance by how many people are under you, so everyone tries to hire as many people as they can get budget for, and build their empire. But it's an empire of paper, of TPS reports! These people aren't really doing anything, but they make this SVP's org bigger than the other SVP's org, and the CEO can tell everyone how huge (i.e. important) the company is getting, and that's what's important.

Re:The Drivers Cooperative by bhupy on Friday March 26, 2021 @12:03PM (#26593691)
> The unspoken side is that most companies simply measure your importance by how many people are under you, so everyone tries to hire as many people as they can get budget for, and build their empire.

If we're throwing around conventional aphorisms, one could just as easily argue that most companies simply optimize for maximizing profits by minimizing labor costs, and therefore have an incentive to eliminate redundant labor. Heaven knows that Uber's primary goal for the next few years is profitability. Why, then, wouldn't Uber just get rid of all of these paper TPS report empires? Should be simple enough, right?

The reality is that it's a lot more complicated. I think GP's comment about armchair quarterbacking is an important one, and I think this comment as a good example of that. A fun joke I've heard is that the mark of a senior engineer is how often they say "Well, It Depends™". It mostly alludes to the general tendency to avoid simple explanations of complex systems the more senior one gets.I think the same applies in the context of organization building.

There was a good comment a while ago from a former Uber engineer that broke down just why the Uber app is so big: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25376346

If you take that, and try to imagine that it's not just engineers, it's also Product Managers, Designers that feed into the raw R&D; and the fact that Uber actually operates in multiple business lines (Eats, Rides, Freight, Bikeshare, Transit) and then the operationalization of all of those features, including customer support, biz ops, product marketing, etc. And then wrap all that up into the core organizational infrastructure necessary to support all that: FP&A, HR, etc. It all adds up! And that's just the current businesses we see, you also have portions of all of that feeding into the numerous exploratory efforts they probably have underway into new business lines.

Re:The Drivers Cooperative by ryandrake on Friday March 26, 2021 @01:26PM (#26594679)
I think the Uber example is a great read, and kind of makes my point. All that complexity and they are still losing money! All those payment methods, hundreds of megabytes of application binary, hundreds of backend teams, all of them very busy "doing things" but the company is not making money. Maybe they need to hire 60 more bizops ninjas.

Even with this thread, I have to say I'm kind of a hypocrite, since I'm one of these "support role" guys in my own company. I make it a goal every day to try to draw a clear understandable line between my work and the company making money. Some days it's not easy after 8 hours of TPS reports. I've been in roles where to this day I can't figure out how what I did made the company money. It was a lot simpler to explain when I was directly making the product.

Re:The Drivers Cooperative by MrMan on Saturday March 27, 2021 @08:24AM (#26601803)
No you are wrong. The coop and Uber have different structures. The coop is built from the bottom up and does not need to scale. So a per-msa analysis of costs is an appropriate starting point.
Re:The Drivers Cooperative by objclxt on Friday March 26, 2021 @08:57AM (#26591555)
> one could build an Uber/Lyft for under $1M and basically can operate with two or so devs fixing issues

This is fundamentally untrue, although you hear it a lot here. I have to wonder whether the people who think this have actually worked on a system at the scale Uber operates at.

Uber is an incredibly complicated system. The trick is it's presented to the user as a very simplistic one, so people overlook what's actually going on behind the scenes.

Sure, like many well-funded tech companies with a large engineering staff there's a fair amount of fat you could probably cut away (and indeed, Uber have - they've done engineering layoffs in the past). But just to sustain the app in all the territories they currently operate in you're talking hundreds of engineers, not "two or so devs fixing issues". That's how large the problem surface area is.

Re:The Drivers Cooperative by killbot5000 on Friday March 26, 2021 @08:52AM (#26591497)
The Uber business model is:

Undercut competition. Use borrowed money to sell rides under cost. Wait for all competitors to die. Jack up prices.

AFAIK they’re still living on borrowed money.

It reminds me of the airline deregulation of the 90s. New airlines would use borrowed money to sell seats at below cost to attract customers, driving established carriers out of business.

The funny thing is that this smells a lot like “the tragedy of the commons”. Everyone wants to use this amazing infrastructure for flying, but no one wants to pay for it. New firms undermine the stability of the system by charging less than cost in order to starve established competitors whose business model is focused on being profitable.

Re:The Drivers Cooperative by tmoertel on Friday March 26, 2021 @09:29AM (#26591880)
> The Uber business model is: Undercut competition. Use borrowed money to sell rides under cost. Wait for all competitors to die. Jack up prices.

The interesting thing is that there is more than one startup using this model. The competition isn't the other startup; it's the other startup's investors.

I wonder how long those investors will keep on pumping money into the scheme, hoping their guy will be the last standing. Or will they ride the sunk cost fallacy all the way down?

Re:The Drivers Cooperative by missedthecue on Friday March 26, 2021 @10:06AM (#26592287)
That's not their business model. Uber knows very well how low the barrier to entry is in ride hailing.

It's not like they're building railroads here. It's an app.

Re:The Drivers Cooperative by ta988 on Friday March 26, 2021 @08:36AM (#26591327)
I'm not sure you realize that a product at that scale can't run with two people. You need lawyers, service support, testers, advertisers... People that hacl the other company to sabotage their launch (if you are not aware, uber did that).
Re:The Drivers Cooperative by agloeregrets on Friday March 26, 2021 @09:50AM (#26592114)
I was referring to Silicon valley salaries, obviously you would need ~ 50-100 people or such. At current scale of Uber, if they charged just a penny (instead of the 20-30% they currently do) They would make 16 million dollars which could pay 100 people an average of 100K per year, they could spend $4M on infrastructure and still make $2M in profit despite being not much more than a payment processor and app provider (like square or shopify) They bill more than 200X that on average.
Re:The Drivers Cooperative by ozim on Friday March 26, 2021 @08:35AM (#26591321)
I think they are blowing hundreds of millions of dollars yearly on marketing/sales people not on developers.
Re:The Drivers Cooperative by n4r9 on Friday March 26, 2021 @08:36AM (#26591331)
I subscribe to an email newsletter called BIG by Matt Stoller. It's all about US monopolies and he's very interested in exactly what you describe. His response is that both ride-hailing and delivery apps are taking a gamble on establishing a monopoly in several years time, at which point the profits will pay off the current losses.
Re:The Drivers Cooperative by andrepd on Friday March 26, 2021 @08:44AM (#26591414)
This is evident. We're at such a crazy level of capitalism/neoliberalism that it's a regular occurrence to see large businesses operating at a loss for 5 or 10 years.
Re:The Drivers Cooperative by twelvechairs on Friday March 26, 2021 @09:03AM (#26591616)
Being able to run at a major loss for 5-10 years is great for 'hard tech'. For a simple phone app though its a different story.
Re:The Drivers Cooperative by MrMan on Saturday March 27, 2021 @08:20AM (#26601787)
This is my analysis too. The app should be open sourced and then subsequent new market entrants enjoy the benefit, lowering costs. I don't think running servers to handle a few transactions per minute per zip code is too expensive