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Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by nelsonmandela on Monday March 08, 2021 @05:28AM (#26384192)
Closed borders, no students/backpackers, farmers unprepared to pay minimum wages to Australians is resulting in a lot of produce being plowed back into the ground. I just don't know how this economy keeps rolling.

How can farmers meet the payments on their loans?

Reading 'The great depression: A diary' and looking at the world today just shocks the hell out of me. We are following it step for step and the crash is going to be devastating.

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by blazespin on Monday March 08, 2021 @06:01AM (#26384398)
"We are following it step for step".

Really? Top voted comment on Hacker News? Yikes. Things have really gone downhill around here. Stick to tech, folks.

"During the early 1920s, for example, prices dropped a total of 20%. And during the worst years of the Great Depression, from 1930 to 1933, prices fell a total of 25%"

I mean, the title of the article was even : "Food Prices Soar Globally"

If you want to be a doomer, than at least compare it to the stagflation of the 70s, but honestly, that's probably not accurate either.

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by nelsonmandela on Monday March 08, 2021 @06:05AM (#26384424)
That was in regards to following the diary step for step - Farmers plowing food back into the fields, enactment of minimum wage laws, booming house prices followed by a massive crash with nobody attending auctions, booming stock market with massive unemployment.
Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by octodog on Monday March 08, 2021 @06:05AM (#26384426)
The snark in this comment is completely unnecessary. It is better for everyone if you make your point in a more constructive manner.
Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by bondarchuk on Monday March 08, 2021 @06:43AM (#26384684)
Rant incoming.

I, for one, appreciate it. This thing on HN where you have to beat around the bush and phrase your sentences objectively and in a general way, when everybody knows that you are just talking about a specific instance, saying things like "if you [x] then someone may respond [y]" when it is clear that someone literally said [x] so you can just say [y] in reply.. All that stuff is incredibly tiring to read IMHO. If you just want to call out someone's bullshit you should be able to do so in a straightforward manner and in a tone that corresponds with "calling out someone's bullshit".

If we could just be a little bit more honest here I think it would be an improvement.

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by josalhor on Monday March 08, 2021 @06:51AM (#26384735)
While I somewhat agree with the sentiment of your comment, one of the reasons I believe Hacker News is so civilized is because the arguments are always very rationalized. That is, it is easy to point out faulting logic.

Following up with your example: If someone simply states [y] then the context of where [y] came from is lost and the discussion turns into a person saying [x] and a person saying [y], which is a step too close to becoming Twitter.

While I agree it can sometimes be a bit tiresome to read and write, I say this significantly improves the overall quality of the conversations.

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by roenxi on Monday March 08, 2021 @07:44AM (#26385101)
It isn't normally clear that someone just said [x]. HN is united only in interests; the usual crowd has a pretty broad range of cultural backgrounds and there enormous room to misinterpret people without body language. Twitter has sentences, HN has paragraphs. It is an improvement, but it isn't really a suitable format for discussion.

And in that vein, the most reasonable interpretation of the thread ancestor is "look, we've been through this sort of thing a couple of times in the last 7,000 odd years of recorded history - why does this all seem to be surprising to the people in charge and catching them unprepared?".

We know we've been here before, and it isn't that crazy to say the current state of the world looks like the prelude to WWI or WWII. Reading books like "The great depression: A diary" is a pretty decent idea. It would have been much more helpful if old mate had argued why there were similarities. Maybe with coaxing they would have. "Yikes. Things have really gone downhill around here. Stick to tech, folks." does not encourage anything half as productive as looking to the past for answers. There are bigger problems afoot in 2021 than tech.

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by inglor_cz on Monday March 08, 2021 @07:08AM (#26384832)
I understand your position, it is definitely more natural to answer less analytically and more emotionally.

But this is commonplace elsewhere on the Internet and you can see the results. Too often the argument deteriorates into ad-hominem mud flinging.

HN is pretty rare in its analytic culture. I appreciate it and enjoy the difference from Twitter, Reddit et al. enormously.

It is important to realize that we cannot really read the minds on the other side of the screen and a lot of our assumptions what somebody really wanted to say are just prejudice.

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by j4yav on Monday March 08, 2021 @06:45AM (#26384701)
I didn’t really read it as snark. It has historically been pretty shocking here to find a top comment so confidently wrong and just seemingly totally made up (farmers going bankrupt just like the Great Depression.. because food prices are going up?), and it’s fair to directly call it out. It wasn’t done in any particularly mean way as best I can tell.
Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by yorwba on Monday March 08, 2021 @07:15AM (#26384867)
> It has historically been pretty shocking here to find a top comment so confidently wrong

You should not be shocked by that, because every comment starts out as the top comment, votes only affect how quickly it drops. If you come back a few days later and the top comment is still confidently wrong, maybe you can be shocked then.

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by j4yav on Monday March 08, 2021 @01:54PM (#26389899)
I promise to moderate my shock as a function of time spent at the top.
Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by Hammershaft on Monday March 08, 2021 @08:40AM (#26385561)
When posters assume competence within a domain that they do not have and make predictions with absolute confidence that they have no evidence for, it damages the greatest quality of this board, which is open intellectual discussion. When bullshit get called out in a snarky tone its in the defence of that quality.
Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by blablabla123 on Monday March 08, 2021 @06:43AM (#26384690)
Okay but this was the start of some pretty dark times, so I think it's necessary to be historically accurate here which is not the case. The great depression followed the first more or less industrialized war, also the geo-political situation was a completely different one.
Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by Cederfjard on Monday March 08, 2021 @05:42AM (#26384287)
Am I interpreting this correctly that there’s a minimum wage that applies to Australians but not foreigners, and farmers thus rely on foreign labor?

Edit: In Sweden we have/have had similar situations with temporary immigrants that for example pick berries for exploitative wages, but that’s because there’s no actual minimum wage per se - in the rest of society decent wages are ensured by strong unions (except in areas where demand is high anyway, like say for software developers).

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by dbetteridge on Monday March 08, 2021 @05:47AM (#26384320)
More like.

I'll pay you minimum wage, but charge you exorbitant amounts for board and lodging and you have no choice because it's the middle of nowhere.

Or for the extra dodgy types, cash payments below minimum wage because they know international workers are less likely to know their rights and be aware of what the minimum wage is.

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by rapnie on Monday March 08, 2021 @05:57AM (#26384372)
The first happens in The Netherlands on large scale, since they deregulated job agencies. There are 1,000's of shady ones, where administratively all is fine and dandy, but in practice foreign labour is paid far below minimum wage + they are often threatened to not speak up, passport taken, etc.

This, btw, happens all across the EU is my impression. Modern-day slavery very much alive globally even!

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by kungito on Monday March 08, 2021 @06:13AM (#26384477)
I've heard first hand about this happening in Denmark on a large scale as well. It's hard not believing the government knows about this but does nothing. I wouldn't call it slavery in this case because people come by buses from Poland and go back home after the work is done. They have their freedom of movement. It's just the origin countries are so much worse than the ones where they go to work
Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by simiones on Monday March 08, 2021 @06:46AM (#26384706)
It's usually not even that they are so much worse. It's just that the monetary value differences make up the difference. These people can live a much better life in Poland with a Denmark subsistence wage, then they can in Poland with the minimum wage. So they sacrifice some months of their lives living in worse conditions in order to make some money for back home, where they can use that money to improve the lot of their children.
Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by kypro on Monday March 08, 2021 @07:18AM (#26384883)
The problem here is more of a supply / demand thing which you can't simply ignore that because the issue will never go away so long as the incentives for it exist.

If farmers paid good wages they wouldn't need to rely on foreign labour and food prices would go up. This is a workable solution, but is is what people living in western countries want?

We have the same issue here in the UK with the NHS.. We pay NHS workers terrible wages so we need to import foreign labour because wages aren't high enough to attract domestic workers. In one sense it's great because we get better health care than we would otherwise afford and foreigners have an opportunity to get better pay in the UK (even if it's bad by UK standards).

I've found many people here get angry about what we pay NHS workers while also getting angry about NHS waiting times. If we wanted to we could increase wages which would either require resource cuts and lower output or higher taxes for the same level of care. It would also mean we wouldn't need to depend on foreign labour, but who benefits from this? By paying more foreigners now have less opportunity to move to the UK and British citizens have sub-par / higher cost health care.

Presumably, it's the same with agricultural workers. Sure you can pay more, but who benefits from it? The root "problem" is that labour is extremely cheap outside of developed countries. Developed countries can cut themselves off from that labour supply if they like, but I have no idea what the economic incentive (or benefit) of doing so is for either the workers or the citizens. Call it modern-day slavery if you like but these are consensual working relationships, which presumably wouldn't take place if they didn't benefit both the worker and the employer.

So long as labour remains cheap outside of the developed world a trade off will always exist – paying more will just mean higher prices for citizens and fewer opportunities for those living in the poorest parts of the world, but on the up side you can say you pay a fairer wage by your own national standards.

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by killtimeatwork on Monday March 08, 2021 @09:34AM (#26386160)
> Developed countries can cut themselves off from that labour supply if they like, but I have no idea what the economic incentive (or benefit) of doing so is for either the workers or the citizens.

It would end supply of people who are willing to work for unlivable wages, thus making wages for low-end work to go up. The lowest rungs of society would benefit greatly from it, while everyone pay would pay for it (via increased prices).

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by rjsw on Monday March 08, 2021 @08:40AM (#26385570)
> Developed countries can cut themselves off from that labour supply if they like

The UK has done, it is known as Brexit.

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by dbetteridge on Monday March 08, 2021 @06:05AM (#26384428)
Sounds just like what happens in Australia, joy...

Jobseeker agencies paid by the Federal government to 'place' workers, this doesn't factor in the jobs actually being suitable or useful mind.

The workers on unemployment are also required to apply for a quota of jobs or risk losing their benefits, even though there may actually be no new jobs to apply for.

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by danjac on Monday March 08, 2021 @06:51AM (#26384739)
What Americans used to call the "company town".
Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by nness on Monday March 08, 2021 @05:49AM (#26384330)
Some of Australia's visa's require that the applicant spend a few months working on a farm, usually fruit-picking. These workers are still entitled to the same minimum wages (as far as I know) and other protections, in theory.

(Australia's geographical isolation makes it difficult to attract seasonal workers, unlike throughout Europe where traveling for work is comparatively cheaper and easier.)

However, farmers have always benefited from the fact that people wanted the visa more than the didn't want to work — many workers are taken advantage of. Now that there are none of these workers, farmers are having to complete for labor like anyone else and that is costing more than they intended.

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by nelsonmandela on Monday March 08, 2021 @05:57AM (#26384374)
In addition to supposedly paying them minimum wage - the farmers employ a racket where they charge the poor souls exorbitant rates to stay on the farm as it is rural and there is no other accommodation thereby bringing the effective minimum wage down significantly.
Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by klingon78 on Monday March 08, 2021 @06:15AM (#26384495)
I don’t mean to downplay this, but it’s similar to the migrant worker booms across the globe over past decades.

For example, people from Central America trek up at risk of their lives through dangerous drug lord territories to get to US states where they can work illegally for less than minimum wage, then send that money back to their families because they can make much more doing that than they could at home and may have no other choice.

The working and living conditions can be terrible, and answer is not to deport them or make their conditions worse; that hurts the host country as well as the workers and creates more division. Similar workers boosted the US culturally and economically because industry and governments embraced them for labor and taxes.

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by swarnie_ on Monday March 08, 2021 @05:52AM (#26384352)
We have a similar situation in the UK where minimum wage is payed but work and living conditions are horrendous.

No locals will do the work because... Why would you. Living in a caravan for the whole summer and working 12 hours a day isn't a good deal. Maybe its worth it if you intend to move back to a county where you get much better purchasing power?

Re:Food Prices Are Soaring Faster Than Inflation and Incomes by imutemyteam on Monday March 08, 2021 @06:24AM (#26384560)
I really doubt that the backpacker community was the major labor source in Australia.