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Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by smt88 on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @01:31AM (#26086222)
I think what we're learning from many debacles on YouTube, Amazon, and Google is this:

Algorithms are not even close to substituting for human customer service, human moderation, and human judgment.

Maybe this means web-scale sites like Amazon's marketplace aren't viable. I'm fine with that implication. Stores like Target and Walmart seem to have the same prices with human-curated inventories, and I don't really miss the millions of extra products Amazon has.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by prepend on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @08:49AM (#26088948)
Comcast has lots of humans and they suck worse than Google.

I don’t think the answer is humans or algorithms, the answer is organizations incentivized to solve customer problems. Google doesn’t care about customers, if they did, they would fix this. Customers are locked in because where else will you go.

Just like Comcast doesn’t care because there’s only one cable company, Google doesn’t really have any AdWords or Adsense competition.

I think the solution is more competition so use ddg. Once customers have mobility, Google will work to retain them.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by smt88 on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @10:44AM (#26090678)
> Comcast has lots of humans and they suck worse than Google.

It's harder to step on a landmine with Google, but Google's landmine is far more devastating.

We've already seen lots of news stories about algorithms shutting down people's Gmail accounts, developer accounts, YouTube channels, etc.

I personally went through 6 months of hell when my brother's Gmail account was locked due to "inauthentic behavior". He had become disabled and unable to log in, and when I logged in from my machine, Google's algorithm flagged it.

I went through an infuriating loop of trying to unlock it and hitting the same algorithm. There was no number to call. I would've paid $10,000 to get back into that account, which would've required 10 min with a customer support rep.

I tweeted at Google and they told me I had to log in to Twitter with his account in order to get help (obviously impossible for me). It was the most angry I have ever been at any company. It locked me out of important medical documents, family messages, social media -- everything.

I finally fixed it by asking a friend who was a marketing exec at Google to help. He said there's an internal form you can use for this situation -- only available to Google employees.

Other people have had similar experiences and had livelihoods destroyed.

Whatever you think about Comcast, they will never ignore you and let your entire digital life get locked away without any kind of recourse.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by zouhair on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @10:26AM (#26090398)
Alternatively: regulations. Force them to care.
Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by washadjeffmad on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @10:23PM (#26097912)
Look, it's not fascism if they went to college and pay your salary. And even if it is fascism, they're in the Cabinet now, so technically that makes them the government, doesn't it?

-Someone, somewhere in SV

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by banannaise on Thursday February 11, 2021 @10:32AM (#26102554)
In a sense, Comcast actually has very few humans. Most of their humans are 100% policy-constrained. They are not empowered to make decisions. Their only advantage over a machine is the ability to understand human language. For all practical purposes, they are an automated system.
Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by smt88 on Thursday February 11, 2021 @01:54PM (#26105603)
> Their only advantage over a machine is the ability to understand human language.

This is an enormous advantage.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by melomal on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @02:13AM (#26086400)
> Stores like Target and Walmart seem to have the same prices with human-curated inventories, and I don't really miss the millions of extra products Amazon has.

I'm sure most people are generally happy to wait 2 days for something to arrive as well. Honestly, it almost feels like Amazon is trying to become an Alibaba and potentially look to take them on with the level of product quality that is now available there.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by BoorishBears on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @02:44AM (#26086553)
Amazon practically is Alibaba at this point, or Aliexpress really.

Half the results on any given product I search point straight back to Alibaba if I image search.

Sometimes I check if Aliexpress has it too, and if I'm not in a hurry I get it there for a huge savings.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by melomal on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @04:57AM (#26087334)
Exactly, it's a shit pit of affiliate marketers pumping anything for that <2% referral fee they get. As a side hustle they probably drop ship everything they are selling via Amazon affiliate links too.
Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by maccard on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @03:27AM (#26086762)
With two major differences - 1-2 day delivery (vs 1-2 week) and an almost guaranteed no-questions-asked returns policy (Ive never, in 15 years of using amazon, been denied a refund)

They combination is what differentiates them

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by lrem on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @03:38AM (#26086836)
I've ordered non-prime items on the local Amazon, where I'd first receive a "sorry, this is taking longer than expected, please hang with us" and then the package would come _way_ later straight from China.
Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by maccard on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @04:20AM (#26087089)
That sucks - I'm in the UK so my experience might be different, but with the exception of something going wrong with delivery (Which I'd estimate is ~5-10% of the time, but that's not exclusive to Amazon), packages are here within 48 hours.
Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by fxtentacle on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @02:53AM (#26086594)
The cynic in me says that you have identified why big tech companies spend so much money funding GPT and similar research:

Soon, your appeal will be replied to by an AI, too. That way, most people will have the impression that they were reconsidered by a human and found in fault, which will likely make a large percentage of them give up. We're stonewalling real humans by building fake humans :(

And that means GPT could possibly reduce support costs for Amazon.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by smt88 on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @10:26AM (#26090385)
> The cynic in me says that you have identified why big tech companies spend so much money funding GPT and similar research

I don't think this is cynical. It's discussed openly. They want to provide the tools to enable all companies to automate customer service, which is where Facebook's big chatbot push came from.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by agilob on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @03:04AM (#26086654)
>Algorithms are not even close to substituting for human customer service, human moderation, and human judgment.

And that's by design. They don't want to talk to you and help you. You're going to buy there anyway and we all know it.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by playcache on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @04:00AM (#26086959)
This is where I chuckle at people talking about AI becoming software engineers and the like.
Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by smt88 on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @10:35AM (#26090512)
Software jobs are being automated away, but not by AI. If you think about it, any time-saving library, service, or tool is going to reduce headcount at an efficient organization.

For example, I currently have a company that I technically manage. It has one employee who does maintenance on the infrastructure (AWS Elastic Beanstalk), database (AWS RDS), and code for five different products. The only other people who touch the code are security auditors.

That just wasn't possible 10 years ago. Managing servers alone for those products (~50 EC2 instances, ~10 load balancers, 10 database instances) would've been a full-time job.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by vertis on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @02:12PM (#26093408)
Yep, this came up at a previous company (with 700 people at the time) that had existed before the cloud did. As AWS became more and more prevalent in 2010/11 they had to decide whether they wanted to be in the business of running physical servers and racks in data centres or whether they wanted to move to cloud hosting providers.

It was a non-trivial exercise, and to the best of my knowledge they still have some physical servers, but slowly but surely almost everything moved to Amazon.

Those physical server operations employees slowly left for other jobs.

They company kept growing and employing tech people though. Just tech people doing other things.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by 1_player on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @04:58AM (#26087341)
Apparently AI gives companies an excuse to avoid dealing with false positives.

If your human support team made a mistake, there was an appeal process. If your AI makes a mistake, sorry, bad robot, deal with it.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by soco on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @04:17AM (#26087072)
Some companies would be happy to pay that AI to develop their b$ software, because once in a position to abuse you customers, why not abuse them with less costs.
Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by jjcon on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @09:13AM (#26089348)
AI won’t be replacing software engineers anytime soon but something to keep in mind:

While people talk up Googles ai (at least they once did) the truth is while they may put out some good research now and again most of the stuff they deploy is crap by design - they can’t afford to spend a dollar per day per customer to run a complex algorithm on your data, they can only spend fractions of a penny.

This severely limits the quality of the ai deployed by large consumer oriented megacorps.

On the other hand you look at some of the ai being deployed in the b2b space or anywhere there is a real exchange of money and you’ll see some pretty expensive and interesting ai research and deployments.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by karmasimida on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @02:50AM (#26086584)
> Maybe this means web-scale sites like Amazon's marketplace aren't viable

But the market is driving more and more money/resources to those companies/services.

Let alone Amazon/Youtube/Google are very different businesses, you can say Google has non-existent customer support, but at least for consumers, so far my experience with Amazon is more positive than negative.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by smt88 on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @10:38AM (#26090577)
> my experience with Amazon is more positive than negative

I don't dispute that. But a lot of other people have issues with dropshippers, fake products, radioactive products[1], unreliable reviews, etc.

When I stopped using Amazon, I realized I was returning ~90% of all my purchases just because the product was fake, described wrong, low quality, or just not durable enough to last even a month.

Yes, it's great to be able to return things, but it's a lot nicer to feel reasonably confident that the person who sold a product to me actually believes it's a good fit for what I want as a consumer.

1. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2017/09/20/business/nuclea...

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by rsanek on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @09:14AM (#26089361)
Human-curated? Both Walmart and Target have unfortunately switched over to the same online seller marketplace business model that Amazon has. The introduction of this on Target is fairly new, but soon I believe Amazon sellers will be going multichannel and searches for products on any of those sites will return pages and pages of white-label crap.
Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by smt88 on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @10:27AM (#26090413)
> Human-curated? Both Walmart and Target have unfortunately switched over to the same online seller marketplace business model that Amazon has.

On both of those sites, you can change the filter to show only products that are available in stores.

Those in-store products still have whatever guarantees they did 20 years ago (selected by a human working for Target, probably going to be pulled off shelves if they result in too many returns).

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by rsanek on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @05:50PM (#26095913)
Once they start commingling inventory like Amazon does, that filter will cease to be useful.
Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by smt88 on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @07:27PM (#26096728)
If Target had its most profitable year ever with prices similar to Amazon's and no commingling, why should I worry about that happening?
Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by onion2k on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @07:55AM (#26088462)
Algorithms are not even close to substituting for human customer service, human moderation, and human judgment.

Algorithms are human judgement.

In a strict code sense an algorithm is a way of encoding a set of assumptions that you decide on when you're developing the code to run it. Even in unsupervised machine learning an algorithm is the result of human judgement because someone decided to delegate the decision making process to a machine.

Every time a computer makes a judgement call there is a human who is responsible, and should be accountable, for that process existing.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by smt88 on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @10:31AM (#26090471)
I think you're making a semantic argument that redefines "human judgment" to such a broad definition that this entire discussion becomes meaningless.

To pull it back a bit, "human judgment" in my usage meant "input processed by human using a brain" and algorithm meant "input processed by machine".

Given those premises, the argument that "algorithms are human judgment" is untrue both by definition and by observation.

For example, when I ask Google/Siri/Alexa a question like, "What is the best way to set up my router?", I will get a wildly different answer than if I ask a GeekSquad employee.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by joshspankit on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @12:40PM (#26092290)
I would also like to take this opportunity to remind people of the traumatizing videos that algorithms allowed in YouTube Kids.

They may be great for 80% or even 99.9%, but they cannot be 100%.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by aidenn0 on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @10:35AM (#26090519)
I guess they don't have to. Cell phones and IP phones have terrible voice quality compared to a land-line; median quality is far worse than the worst long-distance connection I ever got in the 90s.

People use them because they are cheap and convenient though. It's the same with algorithms. If you charge margins high enough for good customer service you will get out-competed by those that don't on price.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by zouhair on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @10:25AM (#26090362)
I didn't buy anything from amazon since around 2004/5 (not sure exactly but that's close enough)and I still don't feel the need to now.
Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by trabant00 on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @01:59AM (#26086331)
An important point to make imo is that algorithms will not be close to human decision making until we hit AGI. No matter how complex they get until that point you can always cheat them in absolutely ridiculous and more importantly reproducible ways. Meaning scams scale and can do way more damage than a human error.

> Maybe this means web-scale sites like Amazon's marketplace aren't viable. I'm fine with that implication. Stores like Target and Walmart seem to have the same prices with human-curated inventories

Not only are they viable, they are hugely more profitable without the human expenses. This inhuman model - yes, I think that is exactly what it is - will displace everything else that simply can't compete in runaway capitalism.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by imtringued on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @03:52AM (#26086911)
>Not only are they viable, they are hugely more profitable without the human expenses.

I don't believe this. The reputation loss alone will cost you a lot of potential money. Stadia is basically dead because the Google brand is completely untrustworthy. B2B customers want to avoid Google as much as possible because it's just a liability that threatens to ruin their business.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by Houyhnhnms on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @05:14AM (#26087424)
I think this is key. When Amazon becomes widely known as untrustworthy, then it will fail and fail quickly. There is already a _lot_ of counterfeiting on Amazon, and a lot of people avoid it for anything safety critical or areas where it is most prevalent. If that becomes more widely known and widely practiced, it would make a dent. Small places naturally verify their stock. Amazon doesn't.
Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by vkou on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @12:37PM (#26092239)
McDonalds has a reputation for serving crap food, yet its franchises are everywhere, and they print money hand-over-fist.

I don't expect Amazon to go anywhere, even if people's impression of drops.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by mlyle on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @02:12AM (#26086393)
In a non-dystopian world, though, the algorithms can make life way better. We could have filters that catch more scams and abuse than typical humans do... and then reasonable humans behind that are responsive and fix the carnage for where they go wrong.

Of course, that's not what we've got...

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by ben_w on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @04:35AM (#26087186)
Human-equivalent AGI is not sufficient for doing better than human moderation, despite all the problems with current generation AI content moderation.

The reason it isn’t sufficient to be human-level is because individual humans have all kinds of biases and blindspots which scammers design their scams around.

I’m kinda thinking it may be a necessary prerequisite, as scams could involve anything a human wants, but it isn’t enough.

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by ivan_gammel on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @02:29AM (#26086482)
It doesn’t have to displace everything else, it simply has to be regulated by law. A landlord cannot come to your physical store and remove few products. The same logic must apply here, with the platform providing sufficient means for interaction with local authorities in place of registration of the business.
Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by zimpenfish on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @03:40AM (#26086845)
> you can always cheat them in absolutely ridiculous and more importantly reproducible ways

Given that's possible with human moderation too (cf tax codes), what makes you think AGI will solve the problem?

Re:Amazon competitor got our belt listing taken down by sayi... by smt88 on Wednesday February 10, 2021 @10:41AM (#26090605)
> Not only are they viable, they are hugely more profitable without the human expenses

I agree with you, but what I meant by "viable" was more from a consumer perspective.

> This inhuman model - yes, I think that is exactly what it is - will displace everything else that simply can't compete in runaway capitalism.

While I think you're mostly right, Amazon is eventually going to burn enough buyers that they go back to the more trustworthy brick-and-mortar stores.

Most people I personally know have already done this. They may search for something on Amazon, but they will go and buy it somewhere else.

I'm obviously part of a very specific subset, but it's going to hurt Amazon eventually, especially if the US takes a more consumer-friendly regulatory approach than it has for the past few years (which it will).