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Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by asdfasgasdgasdg on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @10:45AM (#25929593)
Plenty of "nerds and soccer moms" are going to lose their shirts in this too. Whoever is buying this stock today is likely to have a bad time (unless they can keep the pyramid going for a little longer and hand the bag to someone else).
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by tzfld on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @10:55AM (#25929767)
As I see, many of them are aware of this and doing mainly for fun/revenge/etc and ready to lose the 'investment'. Basically a special kind of bubble scheme to deliberately pushing an actor to the top of it to maximalize it's loss. Not sure if there was anything like this in the past. Interesting story.
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by anewaccount2021 on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:19AM (#25930083)
Shorts have been getting slaughtered in covering rallies since the first short was allowed.

I can't believe these "professional" funds would keep short positions open on an equity with crazy-high short interest...that's like Trading-For-Dummies grade fail.

What's more amazing is many of their clients will be destroyed in the largest bubble in history, where money was given out to every idiot with a TD Ameritrade account.

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by Fjolsvith on Thursday January 28, 2021 @10:36AM (#25943450)
Gotta love those stimulus checks.
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by germinalphrase on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @10:47AM (#25929636)
It’s a fascinating little story. Cant help but think that there is someone in the industry making the real money here and all the “soccer moms and nerds” are just cover/dopes.
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by lordnacho on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @10:59AM (#25929832)
As an ex hedge fund / HFT options guy, I would be intrigued to know who is lending their stock out to be shorted. You'd think they have some incentive to stop lending them out, especially if the options are pushing the gamma so short that the sellers need to cover. If the options guys are needing to buy but nobody can sell, that would seem to be quite good for someone who is holding the stock.

I'm not so sure about the soccer moms thing. The FT has a chart of how many small players there are, and although it's shot up it doesn't look huge to me. Seems to me the WSB crowd IS making money, but there's probably more institutions jumping on for a piece of meat too.

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by wp381640 on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:39AM (#25930309)
Chatter in the last 12 hours on discord and on the threads has been a lot about having holders call brokers to ask that their stocks not be lent out
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by mannykannot on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:28AM (#25930197)
Matt Levine said this a couple of days ago:

"Bloomberg tells me that short interest is 71.2 million shares, while GameStop has only 69.7 million shares outstanding." (As he explained in a footnote, this does not necessarily imply massive naked shorting.)

I don't know how things have changed since then. Maybe this morning would have been a good time for GameStop to issue more shares?

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by 52-6F-62 on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @10:50AM (#25929692)
Because that's usually how it goes. It appears that every bit of skepticism has been thrown out the window. I think a lot of people are about to get burned who expected riches. And all because of empty promises by anonymous message board users. It's disconcerting.
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by asdfasgasdgasdg on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:00AM (#25929841)
Maybe I'm just a bad person but I don't feel much for people who get scammed due to their own greed.
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by 52-6F-62 on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:06AM (#25929924)
I'm a little more ambivalent, myself. But I think I just don't like seeing it at all.

If the entirety of the human were, functionally, a complex organism then the result of this sudden and energy-expensive outgrowth will likely be a sudden and intense immune response that will have effects beyond those directly involved.

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by eloff on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:07AM (#25929947)
Some valuable stock market lessons available at $300 a piece right now.

Probably not going to end well, but they'll learn something from it.

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by nrmitchi on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:13AM (#25930006)
> but they'll learn something from it.

Unfortunately, I disagree. I think there will be stories written for the next bit about the handful that make bank, very few stories written about the people who lose their shirts and end up with their financial life in ruins.

When nonsense like this happens again, no one will remember the downside.

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by eloff on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:22AM (#25930125)
Everyone who loses their shirts will learn a lesson they'll never forget. Pain is the best teacher.

The smart people learn from other people's pain.

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by Fjolsvith on Thursday January 28, 2021 @10:13AM (#25942980)
Not hard to take your stimulus check and stick it to the man with it.
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by robjan on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @10:58AM (#25929819)
HFT firms are making a killing on the volatility and order flow
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by geogra4 on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @10:49AM (#25929676)
That's my sense too. There's gotta be some big muscle behind this.
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by addicted on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @10:50AM (#25929695)
There was a story yesterday (I'm not sure of its validity) that Citadel has paid for advance knowledge for Robin Hood stock transactions, so they are almost certainly making money on this.

And unsurprisingly they've fronted money to at least 1 of the hedge funds on the wrong side of these trades. They're probably making bank. A couple of particular hedge funds will lose money.

But what happens to the people who are carrying GME when this frenzy ends and no one is willing to buy GME at a $24Bn market cap valuation.

They end up being the ones who paid for everyone else to "lose their shirts".

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by mason55 on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @10:55AM (#25929772)
> There was a story yesterday (I'm not sure of its validity) that Citadel has paid for advance knowledge for Robin Hood stock transactions

That's a complete distortion of what's actually happening. If this were actually happening and people knew about it there would be absolute outrage.

The truth is that Citadel is one of a few firms that pay Robinhood for the option to take the other side of trades. It's pretty innocuous but people get upset about it and turn it into "Citadel get advance knowledge of Robinhood trades".

Citadel is in the business of making markets. Instead of taking a position on a stock, they just happily take the other side of most trades. They make their money by offering slightly below the "true" market price and in exchange they provide liquidity to the market so that you can sell your stock pretty much whenever you want. The idea is that most trades are pretty random and for each trade on one side you have a trade on the other side that balances it out and Citadel keeps the difference between the "true" price and what they pay/sell at.

The problem is that sometimes lots of stock will be sold for a good reason (imagine someone finds out that there's an accounting fraud at some company). In this case, Citadel loses money because the trades don't balance out and the stock just goes down.

From Citadel's perspective, traders on Robinhood are much more likely to be random people with no extra info (retail investors) and so they're willing to pay Robinhood to route the orders to them because it reduces the risk of adverse selection. In exchange, Citadel has to give a price that's at least equal to the best price in the market or else they're not allowed to fulfill the order.

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by deeeeplearning on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:26AM (#25930178)
>That's a complete distortion of what's actually happening. If this were actually happening and people knew about it there would be absolute outrage.

The SEC disagrees

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/robinhood-sec-fine-65-million/

"Federal officials said that between 2015 and 2018 the company only partially explained on its online FAQ page how it makes money, omitting details about its largest revenue source — trades. Robinhood takes a user's stock order and sells it to a larger trading firm that executes the trade, a process known as "payment for order flow," the SEC order states."

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by Red_Leaves_Flyy on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:05AM (#25929906)
(Some?) Of the people carrying gme are saying that because >100% of the float on gme is shorted with ~6 days to cover; gme only needs to stay high until the shorters are forced to cover their short by buying at whatever prices they can.
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by MrMan on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @10:58AM (#25929820)
Robin hood is free because their flow goes to third parties like citadel instead of smart order routers at sell side firms. But that is an edge of a less than a second. It is generally good to be able to ascribe an identity to order flow, but retail tends to behave in a predictable way at medium time scales
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by davewritescode on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @12:55PM (#25931389)
I made 5 figures yesterday after I had bought in around $40. My initial investment was pretty low and when it hit high $140s I took my money and ran.

At these boosted stock prices all it's going to take to sink anybody is an after hours announcement of additional shares being offered.

I couldn't made a lot more money but I try not to be greedy.

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by manomanowicz on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:15AM (#25930031)
The 'losers' are the one's who are buying high and selling low. Ironically in this case, it's the short sellers who can't cover their positions who are being forced to buy at the top, having already sold low.
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by saalweachter on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:09AM (#25929964)
The interesting thing to me is that -- in so much as this is being done for profit making and not more abstract reasons -- if 90% of the jumpers-on lose their money, it won't necessarily dissuade that many people from the community in the future. There will be a lot of people making a lot or a little money, and sharing their stories, and the ones who lose this round will be able to tell themselves that next time, if they are faster and get out at the right time, they too can be one of the winners...
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by Miner49er on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @10:54AM (#25929758)
I doubt this is the end. It still has a lot of room to run, probably. The shorts haven't covered, they've doubled down.
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by asdfasgasdgasdg on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @10:57AM (#25929798)
Why wouldn't they double down? Fundamentally, Gamestop isn't a thirty billion dollar company. The odds that retail investors stay greedy long enough to force the current shorts to cover are not very high, IMO. Some of these redditors are going to want to cash in their gains, and when that happens I guess it's going to collapse very quickly.

I don't buy individual stocks and even I'm tempted to get in on the short side right now. Seems like an easy way to turn $1k into $10k. Take my wife out for a nice dinner or something.

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by Majromax on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:21AM (#25930104)
> Why wouldn't they double down?

Because short sellers accept potentially unlimited liability in the event of a price increase. Remember the old maxim: the markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.

The operating theory of the WallStreetBet hivemind is that the short sellers (collectively) are in so deep that further price increases will force them to close out their positions by buying back stock at a loss. Short sales are ultimately made on margin (because they're a debt of a share), and margin accounts will be called in at some ratio.

That "short squeeze" would cause the price to spiral ever further, and that price increase would then force any remaining short sellers out of the market.

See https://moxreports.com/vw-infinity-squeeze/ for a well-known, circa 2008 short squeeze that happened to Volkswagen.

The issue with the operating theory is that it's fuzzy; there's no way to know what price point will trigger such a short squeeze.

> I don't buy individual stocks and even I'm tempted to get in on the short side right now. Seems like an easy way to turn $1k into $10k.

Only if you are highly leveraged yourself, exposing you to those dramatic losses if you mis-time the market even slightly. If you do want to take the down-side of Gamestop, it'd be safer to buy a put option to limit your potential loss. However, the high implied volatility also makes the trade a bit expensive right now.

(Edit to add: I have no financial interest in Gamestop, up or down.)

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by thebean11 on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:13AM (#25930004)
The stock is going up because of shorts. If the cycle of old shorts covering and new shorts taking positions continues, combined with the positive feedback loop of retail FOMO, the stock will continue to go up.

> I don't buy individual stocks and even I'm tempted to get in on the short side right now. Seems like an easy way to turn $1k into $10k.

Sure, if you call the top, otherwise you'll turn $1k into -$20k pretty quickly

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by hervature on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:19AM (#25930081)
The max gains on shorting stock is 100% and that’s ignoring fees you have to pay which are extremely high for GME right now.

Unless you plan to use 10x leverage or trade options, which I doubt if you don’t trade individual stocks, you can’t 10x by shorting. On the flip side, if you shorted at $20, you would have lost your entire portfolio if you shorted with 5% of your capital.

Shorting here is trying to catch a falling knife, don’t do it.

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by asdfasgasdgasdg on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:47AM (#25930415)
I definitely won't. Thank you for the correction r.e. short selling upside. If I had realized it was max 100% upside, it wouldn't have been tempting. There's not an amount I'm willing to risk on this trade that would make a mere doubling of my money worth the effort.
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by andrethegiant on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:14AM (#25930020)
This doesn't have to do with GameStop as a company -- they are merely the rope in a tug of war between retail investors and wall st. Buying shares seems like the easy way to turn 1k into 10k given how many success stories have happened over the last few days.
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by stu2b50 on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:18AM (#25930071)
If you short gme you're about to be in very heavy debt to your broker. At least buy a put or something instead.

I don't think anyone is actually long on gamestop at $350 per share, but trying to short is not about company expectations at this point, it's about timing this hysteria wave, and if you mistime it you get destroyed by infinite risk and your broker liquidate your position and you leave with not 10k, but -100k.

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by Miner49er on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:28AM (#25930206)
Fundamentals don't matter right now. If you don't time it just right, and it keeps going up, you'll get margin called and be forced to cover for a huge loss.
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by asdfasgasdgasdg on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:43AM (#25930360)
Yeah I'm not actually going to do it. Also, as someone pointed out, max gain is 100% (I was confused), so there's really not enough upside to bother with, at least for the amount of money I'm willing to plonk down on it.
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by deeeeplearning on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:29AM (#25930215)
>Why wouldn't they double down?

Because everyone with an internet connection and half a brain knows that the shorts are totally screwed if the WSB turds keep buying.

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by nkozyra on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:25AM (#25930156)
> Seems like an easy way to turn $1k into $10k.

Who wants to tell him?

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by anewaccount2021 on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @10:57AM (#25929791)
Exactly! /r/wallstreetbets are also trading against each other, without mercy! Not sure why people think that sub is some sort of group trading account...

But, chances are, a lot of them will make incredible gains by betting on the misery of hedge funds who themselves bet on misery. No tears shed for the hedge funds or the account holders who are now basically zero'd out. Imagine having your life savings in one of these funds...in the biggest bubble in history, your account went to ZERO!

Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by Fjolsvith on Thursday January 28, 2021 @10:34AM (#25943411)
And the thing is that for the last four years the mainstream media kept saying the market was going to crash on Trump, and it actually does it the first week into Biden's term.
Re:Robinhood, Trading 212 and others go down amid AMC and Ga... by allie1 on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @10:50AM (#25929696)
“bulls last until the last person willing to buy a share at quoted price, buys it”

This too will go down, violently.