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Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by 74d-fe6-2c6 on Sunday January 10, 2021 @05:20AM (#25713127)
> a) 50 years is enough for "institutional memory" to go out of the window. This may change with longevity breakthroughs, but 50 years is currently enough for a complete generation exchange, so the new leaders have no memory of the previous upheaval and will make the same mistakes again. Or at least the same kind of mistakes, details are always different.

That's why education is the most important pillar of democracy. Education is everything.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by anewaccount2021 on Sunday January 10, 2021 @01:39PM (#25717900)
This is what I would expect a technocratic forum like HN to suggest. America's most poverty stricken regions have had public education for nearly a century with almost no meaningful improvement in prospects. Tell me how rural poverty in West Viriginia is reduced by giving people humanities degrees. Better educated voters? Who cares, the poor have no representation of merit anyway; their choices are to vote for one party who ignores them or the other that ignores them.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by eloff on Sunday January 10, 2021 @01:55PM (#25718110)
Public education in the US is awful and lags nearly the entire developed world.

Humanities degrees are not terribly useful, but boiling all education down to humanities degrees is a blatant strawman that signals a lot about your willingness to have a nuanced discussion.

I think it's fairly self evident that investment in the future is what improves the future and education is probably the most important and significant such investment.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by AndrewUnmuted on Sunday January 10, 2021 @04:25PM (#25720070)
I'm not entirely clear on how many nations are able to be compared with the US within the developed world.

Given its size, configuration, and geopolitical contexts, the US has few comparable nations against which we can test. I guess we can say Russia is closest, followed by Canada & Mexico, then the entire EU and the CCP. India maybe?

> boiling all education down to humanities degrees is a blatant strawman

No, it isn't. The other nations I just listed by comparison churn out very few humanities degrees. What people choose to do with their privilege of going to college is a relevant data point, which feeds back into the quality of the education system overall.

> signals a lot about your willingness to have a nuanced discussion.

Let's not go around insinuating such things when you yourself started this conversation off failing to address the nuances of comparing the US against other "developed world" countries.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by eloff on Sunday January 10, 2021 @05:44PM (#25721020)
Are you the OP posting under a different account?

> Given its size, configuration, and geopolitical contexts, the US has few comparable nations against which we can test.

Why does country size affect academic performance of students?

Russia, China, India, and Mexico are not developed nations. I wouldn't compare their educational results with the US. I'd be more interested in Canada, South Korea, Japan, Singapore, Australia, New Zealand, and the European nations. The USA compares near the bottom of this list.

> No, it isn't. The other nations I just listed by comparison churn out very few humanities degrees.

You used humanities degrees as a strawman argument in the OP. You asserting you did not do that is just a waste of effort. Perhaps you need to look up what a strawman argument is?

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by AndrewUnmuted on Monday January 11, 2021 @10:31AM (#25730205)
> Are you the OP posting under a different account?

No... are you?

That's easily the strangest question I have ever been asked on HN.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by inglor_cz on Sunday January 10, 2021 @04:23PM (#25720042)
Good education system does not neatly translate to, say, economic success.

Italy has top-class university system, much older than Columbus, and yet the country seems to be stuck in stagnation for last 20 years and the talented fresh graduates of those top schools move abroad.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by eloff on Sunday January 10, 2021 @05:38PM (#25720917)
I would say it's one very important factor among others. Ray Dalio outlines many of the factors involved in nations rising and falling, including education in a freely available online book. I've found it an interesting read, although he takes a while to get to the point.[1]

[1] https://www.principles.com/the-changing-world-order/

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by ImprovedSilence on Monday January 11, 2021 @12:32AM (#25724971)
You still need a government that can get out of it's own way, legislatively, while still providing an environment (or the right incentives for one) where business can and does get done.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by eloff on Monday January 11, 2021 @09:03AM (#25728950)
Among many things. Recent governments in the US have been very ineffective. Legislators are more interested in making each other look bad than actually doing their job.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by j0ba on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:20PM (#25721473)
> Good education system does not neatly translate to, say, economic success.

If you think anyone said that, you should probably talk less and read more. Because it doesn't appear you're competent in either.

Education is necessary but not sufficient.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by eloff on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:38PM (#25721677)
That's a bit harsh. The OP has a good point, and he's not mischaracterizing anyone's argument. Please re-read the HN guidelines about being civil.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by klyrs on Sunday January 10, 2021 @01:55PM (#25718117)
Bush II's "No Child Left Behind" was replaced by Obama's "Race to the Top" was followed by DeVos's "invisible hand." The common thread in all of these education policies is that schools that are doing well get rewarded; schools that are underperforming get the same, or reduced funding, or get closed.

To get better educated voters, you need better education for poorest performing students -- not more investment in the high performers. Additionally, poor kids can't focus on school for various reasons ranging from malnutrition to working multiple part-time jobs to keep their family afloat. Addressing poverty on a systemic level will be necessary to raise our baseline of education.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by anewaccount2021 on Sunday January 10, 2021 @02:01PM (#25718209)
Once again - the best educated voter still only has two choices, and neither of these represent the poor.

Do people on HN really think the very rich or the very poor were at all bothered by the Capitol riots? Government is irrelevant to both groups, in different ways.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by cbozeman on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:28PM (#25721552)
God, this is true, but most HN posters can't see it for some reason.

Princeton already proved America is an oligarchy with a paper that was released a few years back, showing that when the rich wanted a certain policy implemented, it was passed into law at any almost 80% rate, compared with the "average voter" wanting a policy made into law at about a 50% rate.

Here's that article:

https://scholar.princeton.edu/sites/default/files/mgilens/fi...

Now here's what's super telling, or at least should be... if you Google "princeton oligarchy study america" or some combination, the very first fucking result you'll find will be a Vox article saying its wrong. Because the ultra-rich need to perpetuate the myth that your voice matters. Google needs you to be stupid enough to believe that.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by linspace on Monday January 11, 2021 @06:27AM (#25727527)
The difference between 80% and 50% is very significant but if you want a positive angle:

1. Average voters still pass laws at a significant rate 2. An elite university publishes the study

It's very far from perfection but I don't think it's an oligarchy. There is always going to be a bias in favor of the rich. That's what money is for.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by kaitai on Sunday January 10, 2021 @02:28PM (#25718603)
The best educated voter -- any voter in fact -- can also run for office and transform the party.

I dislike the rhetoric you're using that implies the parties are outside and beyond the reach of "normal" citizens. Of course they are institutions with substantial inertia and aims of their own. But as the elections of people as diverse as Cori Bush and Madison Cawthorne and Marjorie Taylor Greene show, it is certainly still possible to make your way from citizen to elected official.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by jonhohle on Sunday January 10, 2021 @03:55PM (#25719681)
Have you been involved in a party’s political process? I participated in a primary caucus for a small district and was disgusted by the leadership and how the event was run. No one was heard, whatever the moderator wanted was how the vote turned out, regardless of how the group actually voted. All of the leadership was among the most smarmy, slimy people I’ve ever been in a room with.

If you want to run for office, not only do you have to spend time with these narcissistic, power drunk politicians at the local level, you have to get them to support you.

This meeting was on the extreme local level for a community of maybe 35k people. I can’t even imagine what the county level, or national level would be like.

Maybe others have had a better experience, but this disillusioned me from any participation in politics and politicians in general.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by root_axis on Sunday January 10, 2021 @04:40PM (#25720236)
> disillusioned me from any participation in politics and politicians in general.

It's so much easier when the troublemakers show themselves out of the room. Of course, nobody could be blamed for wanting nothing to do with politics, but its only the people who are disgusted by the system that change it.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by yosefjaved1 on Monday January 11, 2021 @02:13AM (#25725714)
It's always been possible for everybody in the US to run for for office but how likely is it without having serious money?

Everything from advertising to filing comes with serious cost in US federal election. In Texas alone it costs $3k to just get on a primary ballot for a federal election as a representative.

Even the candidates you mentioned had to raise over $1MM just to run their elections.

Yes, it's possible just very unlikely if you don't have the cash.

Sources:

Cori Bush Amount Raised: https://www.opensecrets.org/races/candidates?cycle=2020&id=M...

Madison Cawthorne Amount Raised: https://www.opensecrets.org/races/candidates?cycle=2020&id=N...

Marjorie Taylor Amount Raised: https://www.opensecrets.org/races/candidates?cycle=2020&id=G...

Filing in the 2020 Democratic and Republican Primary: https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/candidates/guide/2020/...

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by syshum on Monday January 11, 2021 @07:07AM (#25727847)
Polical Parties are the problem, and can in no way be a solution to the problem

To update George Washington for current year: While political parties may now and then answer popular ends, they are likely in the course of time and things, to become potent engines, by which cunning, ambitious, and unprincipled politicians will be enabled to subvert the power of the people and to usurp for themselves the reins of government, destroying afterwards the very engines which have lifted them to unjust dominion.

If we want better governance in the US, we must limit or eliminate political parties

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by jfengel on Tuesday January 12, 2021 @02:27PM (#25752121)
That's a taller order than it appears. Political parties are, at core, freedom of association: you and I agree to put our differences aside in support of the things we overlap on. I'll support your things if you support mine, and we'll both oppose the others. Once we reach 50% of the people to make that bargain, we'll win everything.

Subverting that isn't easy without giving up something that seems necessary. You can eliminate majority rules. You can eliminate freedom of association. You can eliminate voting. Even term limits don't help: you can eliminate the politician but not their constituents, who will find somebody equivalent to send.

I'm not saying it's impossible, but it's not as simple as "eliminate political parties". Even if you could wish them away with a magic wand, they'd come right back.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by anewaccount2021 on Sunday January 10, 2021 @02:38PM (#25718732)
You need look no further than the concerted and organized effort to shut-down Bernie Sanders twice, and frankly he isn't even particularly radical. No one you mentioned represents a meaningful threat to the status quo - America has a single ruling class and the Capitol is their museum.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by PeterStuer on Sunday January 10, 2021 @04:47PM (#25720329)
You could also look at the concerted and organized shut-down of Tulsi Gabbard.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by bob_doggo on Monday January 11, 2021 @01:05PM (#25733018)
Not op, but while you are not wrong, I would argue that the critique of the FPTP-voting system is very relevant here.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by sdsaga12 on Sunday January 10, 2021 @08:05PM (#25722785)
What do you make of this study by professors from Princeton and Northwestern that finds that "economic elites and organized groups representing business interests have substantial independent impacts on U.S. government policy, while average citizens and mass-based interest groups have little or no independent influence"?

Source: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/perspectives-on-poli...

What do you make of Jimmy Carter saying in 2014 that "America doesn't have a functioning democracy right now"?

Source: https://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/nsa-affaere-jimmy-car... Translated from German: https://archive.is/Lhlq2

It might be unpleasant to acknowledge, but there is increasingly overwhelming evidence to suggest that the major American political parties are indeed "outside and beyond the reach of 'normal' citizens".

In 2017, the DNC argued in federal court that, as a private corporation, it was entitled to select whichever candidate it preferred for the general election regardless of the preferences of "normal citizens" who voted in the party's primary election. This was in a hearing for a lawsuit filed by Sanders supporters who weren't happy about the DNC working with the Clinton campaign and against the Sanders campaign, as revealed by WikiLeaks.

Source: https://ivn.us/posts/dnc-to-court-we-are-a-private-corporati... and, for convenience, https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/independent-voter-network-ivn...

Growing up in a blue household, social group, and state, I'm less familiar with the history of the anti-democratic machinations of the RNC, but my understanding of the Trump phenomenon was that, at least early on, many Republican voters were attracted to the idea of a political outsider who they hoped wouldn't sell them out like they felt RNC-affiliated Republicans had been doing.

Some contemporary sources seem to back up that interpretation: https://archive.fo/2Vidx (Wall Street Journal) and https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/...

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by bob_doggo on Monday January 11, 2021 @01:14PM (#25733176)
You, like many others have some really good arguments to why the current american system doesn't work.

But where is the american movement to end the FPTP-voting system?

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by jfengel on Tuesday January 12, 2021 @02:28PM (#25752137)
A week ago, they were in DC. It made everybody pretty cranky.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by tathougies on Sunday January 10, 2021 @02:54PM (#25718913)
they are increasingly beyond the reach of normal citizens. If your views do not align 100% with either party, you are increasingly marginalized. See the treatment of Donald Trump (a republican outsider, and not a traditional conservative by any means, but not a democrat in principle either) by the Republican party. For the past four years, republicans have refused to pass bills due to not matching ideological purity tests from Trump. The best example of this is DACA (https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2018/01/09/trum...), for which Trump has repeatedly asked for a legislative solution that gives these children legal status. Because that is not the exact party line of the GOP, they didn't like his solution. And then along with that, he wanted the wall of course, which doesn't fall into line exactly with the democrats, so now, despite DACA and secure borders being an issue many care about, no political party would take them up due to ideological purity.

On the democrat side, see the treatment of Bernie Sanders and Tulsi Gabbard (Both non-traditional democrats in different ways) by their party.

Honestly, after seeing both how the GOP and Democrats treated Trump, Sanders, and Gabbard, I find myself supportive of all three of them despite them having a very different views. I simply like that they're not either party.

It increasingly seems that both parties are becoming incredibly dogmatic, and anyone who doesn't fall in line is simply barred from public discourse or elected office. It is increasingly true that in order to even get to elected office you need the support of a party.

In my state of Oregon, the democrats and republicans actually mandated that you be part of a party before being elected to office. You can no longer run as an independent. It's so bad, some people made an 'independent party' just to be able to have non-democrat or republican candidates on the ballot, but this suffers from the same issues as parties, in that those individuals still need to be 'nominated' by a select group of people annointed by the party organizers, which means even the independent party has a bias, even if they try to minimize it.

We need major electoral reform, nationwide, but it doesn't benefit any party to do that. What I would like to see are protesters from both BLM, Antifa, or whatever and the capitol protesters (not the rioters of any group please...) band together for a change and demand a better means of governance from their legislators. The people need to band together on common principles, instead of being divided by stupid policy points.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by bproven on Sunday January 10, 2021 @03:51PM (#25719634)
i would have replaced Trump with Ron Paul (remember him?) as a Republican/Libertarian with strong support via grassroots and youth (that wanted real change) that the party did not want and did everything they could to destroy or co-opt.

When we saw the same thing being done to Sanders by the Democratic party (almost an exact mirror of what happended to Paul) it was a strong hint as to what is really going on. Neither party is"better" in this regard...

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by tathougies on Monday January 11, 2021 @04:27PM (#25737393)
Yes, you're right. The casting out of Ron Paul made me really mad. Thanks for reminding me.

No, no party is better really. The GOP is the same. It's run by the same kinds of old farts. My main source of good feelings towards the GOP is that I tend to agree with their unelected members. But more and more I'm seeing those members also hate the GOP establishment. I wouldn't be surprised to see the party fracture heavily soon. I hope the democrat party also has the same split. There are good, decent democrats that share common principles and who I'm sure cannot stand their party leadership. I mean, the DNC is so bad, that I actually feel sorry for my left-leaning friends who also seem unable to get any representation.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by leesalminen on Sunday January 10, 2021 @03:11PM (#25719127)
This should be the top comment IMHO.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by root_axis on Sunday January 10, 2021 @03:45PM (#25719555)
> Honestly, after seeing both how the GOP and Democrats treated Trump, Sanders, and Gabbard, I find myself supportive of all three of them despite them having a very different views. I simply like that they're not either party.

This seems absurd. If your political reasoning puts you in a situation where Trump and Sanders are both options for you then your system is broken - they are antithetical to each other in style, philosophy, character and most importantly policy. Based on your logic, if both parties rejected Stalin then you'd be in favor of him.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by alisonatwork on Sunday January 10, 2021 @03:58PM (#25719713)
I don't think this is too difficult to understand. It's anti-establishment versus establishment, populist versus elite, that sort of axis.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by root_axis on Sunday January 10, 2021 @04:25PM (#25720071)
I still don't get it. It just seems silly to favor a candidate based on who rejects them. If policies on opposite sides of the political spectrum are interchangeable then why care at all who gets elected?

At least voting for a 3rd party one can be said to be contributing to a cause closest to one's ideal, but being favorable to anyone who the mainstream doesn't approve of just seems like flawed logic.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by datenarsch on Sunday January 10, 2021 @04:54PM (#25720409)
The establishment/mainstream is the real enemy of the people. It totally makes sense to support anyone who you think could realistically challenge and destroy the status quo.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by root_axis on Sunday January 10, 2021 @05:04PM (#25720527)
What if the person that destroys the status quo is worse? Is your argument that nothing could be worse than the status quo?
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by alisonatwork on Sunday January 10, 2021 @05:10PM (#25720604)
A useful example might be to look at the fallout of the various protests during Arab Spring, and how it led to both more liberal and less liberal outcomes.

Anti-establishmentarianism can bring together people of different political persuasions who all want to dismantle parts of the current system. What comes after that is a new battle, and that one may end up fought along more traditionally ideological lines.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by testrun on Sunday January 10, 2021 @07:51PM (#25722618)
This is not about the person. It is about alternative voices to be heard in policy making and policy execution.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by Dma54rhs on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:13PM (#25721376)
Fighting against "globalism" could have been something people like Bernie used before Trump too. Ironically anarchist and antifa groups have always tried to burn down cities where globalists meet, G7 etc. They might have different explanations but in the end it's fight for the capital.

Corbyn for instance, very much left wing, opposed EU because of all the globalist bankers and buerocrats in Brussels controlling the society, cheap labor bringing down wages.

If you're a bit older or have better knowledge, then trumps policies are far more similar to someone like Sanders if they really wanted to team up. (I'm not talking about his speech and the way of saying things)

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by tathougies on Monday January 11, 2021 @04:30PM (#25737450)
We actually see Trump/Sanders directly overlap in Tulsi Gabbard, a democrat who supported Sanders, but who often disagrees with Trump (and indeed, was the sole democrat to not vote for impeachment). Many Trumpers like her too. I like that she is honest personally. She has both criticized the antifa/blm riots and the riots on the sixth. Brought up concerns of both police brutality (concerns I share, BTW), and election integrity (which I also am concerned with).

I actually have supported with many actions of Antifa / BLM (probably wouldn't guess that from my post history), including the protests at Pelosi's and McConnell's houses, and the disruption of the globalist meetings you mention. I don't agree with them in their destruction of property, especially that of small mom-and-pop businesses, or even big business if it affects small businesses (by raising insurance rates for example). And obviously, I disagree with anything actually threatening lives.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by a1369209993 on Sunday January 10, 2021 @07:22PM (#25722210)
> Based on your logic, if both parties rejected Stalin then you'd be in favor of him.

If Hitler invaded hell I would make at least a favourable reference to the devil in the House of Commons. -- Winston Churchill

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by tathougies on Monday January 11, 2021 @04:28PM (#25737420)
> Based on your logic, if both parties rejected Stalin then you'd be in favor of him.

Yes, I'd rather have a social democrat that rejects Stalin than a fiscal conservative that embraced him.

Unlike the various 'what-ifs' of policy issues, anyone can examine the actual record of Stalin and his policies. And, in my opinion, anyone who finds him a source of inspiration, regardless of their stated policy preferences, has a severe lack of judgement.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by selimthegrim on Sunday January 10, 2021 @03:14PM (#25719150)
Gabbard is very lucky she is not in trouble for not registering as an agent of a foreign government after all her connections with VHP
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by jessaustin on Sunday January 10, 2021 @03:38PM (#25719447)
Vishva Hindu Parishad? Has any American even heard of that? Why bother inventing something so arcane?
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by selimthegrim on Sunday January 10, 2021 @04:26PM (#25720075)
There was quite a bit of press about her links with Modi and the Modi-supporting diaspora
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by jessaustin on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:06PM (#25721282)
It's not clear if this whole goofy thread arises from anti-Hindu prejudice or opposition to democracy?
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by thatguy0900 on Sunday January 10, 2021 @02:12PM (#25718385)
Judging by the unanimous and immediate technocrat and media response to the capitol riot I would wager the rich are very concerned about it. I agree noone wealthy seemed all that concerned about the riots before that
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by Dma54rhs on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:15PM (#25721395)
There was no way to spin it off as marketing either, why would they be concerned.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by closeparen on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:19PM (#25721469)
West Virginians with masters degrees make about twice as much as those with high school diplomas. Either things are not so bad for people with humanities degrees, or they're not as large a share of education as you think.

https://www.wvhepc.edu/resources/data-and-publication-center...

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by bfrog on Sunday January 10, 2021 @07:47PM (#25722572)
When the teachers in certain areas are on welfare programs because the wages are below poverty levels, what sort of education do you expect people to receive? Who do you expect teaches? Education here is a glorified daycare, not an attempt to instill critical thought on how we might attempt to avoid repeating the mistakes of the past. Like voting for politicians who implemented policies to send our jobs and basic goods factories over seas.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by ImprovedSilence on Monday January 11, 2021 @12:29AM (#25724955)
I would argue that while it may not help rural West Virginia, the location, it can (and does, just not for everyone!) benefit some subset of that WV population who does manage to become educated and leave for a better prospects in a city or some other part of the country.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by curryst on Monday January 11, 2021 @04:31PM (#25737464)
Which further perpetuates the cycle because anyone who makes enough to pay taxes to support public programs leaves.

I don't blame them, but it sucks for some of these communities.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by bob_doggo on Monday January 11, 2021 @01:18PM (#25733239)
Well, maybe they can learn that there are other alternatives besides the american political system during those studies, and actually do something to change your broken system...
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by CyberDildonics on Sunday January 10, 2021 @05:26PM (#25720791)
Public education in the US is funded by neighborhood, so wealthy neighborhoods have far better schools and poverty stricken regions have terrible schools.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by dragonwriter on Monday January 11, 2021 @05:59AM (#25727266)
> Public education in the US is funded by neighborhood

Sometimes, usually not. It's often (but not always) funded by “school district”, which is often much larger than a neighborhood and may be a large metro area, and often with statewide funding mechanisms that reduce disparity between districts to less than it would be on its own.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by jhbadger on Monday January 11, 2021 @11:01AM (#25730677)
But even within a single school district there are "good schools" and "bad schools" and not terribly surprisingly, rents and home prices are more expensive in the neighborhoods with the higher rated schools. Many people move within the same city in order to get their kids in them.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by dragonwriter on Monday January 11, 2021 @11:23AM (#25731092)
> But even within a single school district there are "good schools" and "bad schools" and not terribly surprisingly, rents and home prices are more expensive in the neighborhoods with the higher rated schools.

Yes, that’s true, but it's not a product of funding by neighborhood, because that's not how the schools in that case are funded.

It's been fairly strongly argued that that's actually because the schools themselves make almost no difference at all on average, and school outcomes are pretty much determined by socioeconomic background and other personal traits of the student with ransome variation, and the “good schools” are just the ones attended by the students with the traits that would produce, on average, good outcomes independent of what school they attend.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by nradov on Monday January 11, 2021 @01:39AM (#25725464)
That really depends on the state. Some states redistribute tax money across school districts.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by Ichthypresbyter on Monday January 11, 2021 @05:55AM (#25727236)
Note, for instance, that the whole of New York City is one school district.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by notriddle on Monday January 11, 2021 @01:00AM (#25725169)
Anybody who wants greater social mobility can recognize why that’s a bad thing.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by inglor_cz on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:08AM (#25713466)
"That's why education is the most important pillar of democracy. Education is everything. "

The kind of people who get into positions of power - well, my impression is that they think they know better. Even if they are aware of the fact that in 1930 someone fucked up, they will not entertain the fact that they themselves might do the same.

Also, some events are really complex. You can educate people about the 1929 or 2008 economic crises from very different perspectives, from far-left to libertarian, and the lessons will be very different.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by jsmcgd on Sunday January 10, 2021 @07:13AM (#25713928)
I think that's why an education has to be broad. A selective education can be tantamount to brainwashing/propaganda. Give the students as many perspectives and hope that they will do something sensible as they process the information; knowing that not all will, but most.

I believe that the more perspectives you are aware of, the less likely you are to be dogmatic and extreme in your beliefs and actions. You will be reminded how dissimilar real life is to simple ideas and rhetoric, that it is a shifting ocean of nuances and caveats.

Or society can go the other route, assume you cannot trust the people and create a tyranny of disinformation and control.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by zarkov99 on Sunday January 10, 2021 @04:44PM (#25720278)
Perspectives are important and so is a humble study of history as way to understand human nature. We are so in love with your technological prowess that we forget it all sits on top of wetware that is very close to what it was 10000 years ago. Recognizing we are driven largely by instinct, some of which we can inhibit some we cannot, would help all of understand what works and what does not in a human society.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by gnusty_gnurc on Sunday January 10, 2021 @10:02AM (#25715225)
> Give the students as many perspectives and hope that they will do something sensible as they process the information

I don’t know if you’ve gone to college recently but that was not my impression. It’s a woke monoculture. Discourse is gone.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by SantalBlush on Sunday January 10, 2021 @02:06PM (#25718291)
Discourse is narrower than you'd like; that doesn't mean it's "gone". When someone makes extraordinary claims like "Discourse is gone," that is a red flag that they are not viewing the situation objectively.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by squidlogic on Sunday January 10, 2021 @03:24PM (#25719258)
So perhaps a better claim would be that the new discourse is unduly confined and the older modes of discourse are gone.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by jessaustin on Sunday January 10, 2021 @03:41PM (#25719487)
The discourse has always been unduly confined. We never discussed whether it was a good thing to slaughter all the Native Americans, and we're not discussing whether all our stupid wars nowadays are good, either. War is off-topic in the USA "discourse". I'm sure other important things about which I'm less concerned are also "unduly" left out.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by SantalBlush on Sunday January 10, 2021 @03:40PM (#25719477)
That's a better starting point for a productive discussion, but still hyperbolic.

Moreover, do you notice that my comment is being grayed out as people who disagree are downvoting it? A lot of people who claim to value discussion really don't; not on Hacker News, and not elsewhere.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by cbozeman on Sunday January 10, 2021 @09:53PM (#25723784)
You're being downvoted because discourse should never be narrowed, period.

Ideas should be thrown into the public square, in the full light of day, and judged on their merits.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by SantalBlush on Sunday January 10, 2021 @11:20PM (#25724461)
Hopefully you realize the hypocrisy of graying out my comment in the name of promoting discourse, but I doubt it.

Ideas should absolutely be judged on their merits; here we agree. Too bad that's not how humans work. Instead, they tend to choose whichever truth they like best based on how it makes them feel; politicians know this, which is why they don't bother crafting logically sound arguments backed with evidence. They play on peoples' emotions.

Moreover, the university is not a public square. You attend as a student, which means you are there to learn, not to share your thoughts like it's a real-life HN thread. Don't want to learn the material? That's completely fine. The solution is to not sign up for the class, not to whine about how "discourse is gone" just because the teacher doesn't want to waste time on every edgy kid's opinions. People didn't pay massive sums of money to hear you talk. They paid to learn from experts.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by cbozeman on Monday January 11, 2021 @02:34AM (#25725860)
Don't think of your comment as being grayed out, think of your discourse as being narrowed.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by SantalBlush on Monday January 11, 2021 @07:53AM (#25728231)
It turns out we are both fine with narrowing discourse, just as I suspected.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by gnusty_gnurc on Sunday January 10, 2021 @03:19PM (#25719203)
Precisely demonstrating my point: a hyper-sensitivity and censorious attitude against any advocacy for unmitigated debate.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by SantalBlush on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:17PM (#25721434)
You are calling my disagreement a "censorious attitude." Sorry, but I am allowed to disagree with you.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by mrfusion on Sunday January 10, 2021 @02:11PM (#25718372)
The most educated people I know seem the most partisan right now and most likely to parrot main stream media talking points.

It’s making me question my assumptions about education. On the other hand Im just one data point.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by IfOnlyYouKnew on Sunday January 10, 2021 @04:14PM (#25719937)
Have you considered that maybe the "mainstream media" is right?

I know it seems almost impossible–what with them basically espousing the same values that used to be generally accepted as "good" a decade or so ago: overcoming division, not burning coal just to piss off the libs, not killing vice presidents on Wednesdays and Fridays, international cooperation, arms control, caps lock control, etc...

And that YouTube guy you adore does make a lot of sense when he shouts at the camera. Not just on dietary supplements but also how the loss of traditional gender roles has specifically disadvantaged high-IQ males with STEM affinity.

That pronoun thing might even get someone killed, in a very convoluted way.

But even then it just doesn't seem to have the potential to end the republic quite as easily as, say, musing about having the military re-run the election in states you lost, in such an obvious way every living former SecDef signs a letter asking the military to disregard such orders.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by esja on Sunday January 10, 2021 @02:46PM (#25718812)
Many people who seem on paper to be highly educated are merely highly indoctrinated.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by xxpor on Sunday January 10, 2021 @04:54PM (#25720417)
On the other hand, there appears to be a "skeptical" strain of discourse now that is just as arrogant, but in the other direction. As in, I disagree with the mainstream cultural view on a topic, so I therefore have the correct view on it.

This is best exemplified by someone like Michael Tracy or Glenn Greenwald IMO.

In my view they're more wrong than right, but they do have the occasional nugget where they do see through the BS. However, the mainstream view is correct more often than not. Additionally, a significant proportion of their takes are in bad faith.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by mrfusion on Sunday January 10, 2021 @04:59PM (#25720467)
I think you have something there. There’s certainly a phase when you stop trusting the mainstream where you overdo it and think everything is wrong.

The goal should probably be a balance. And probably realizing that nobody including the government or media deserves your blind trust.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by xxpor on Sunday January 10, 2021 @08:19PM (#25722911)
I agree. They certainly have a valuable role to play. But if you play with fire like that, you can't get mad when twitter viciously dunks on you for being stupid.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by DaniloDias on Sunday January 10, 2021 @04:49PM (#25720341)
The behavior that helped the most educated succeed was being informed. It’s not surprising that they maintain that pattern and in so doing, parrot mainstream media.

Most people have limited experience in managing information that they consider authoritative which turns out to be wrong.

I think the best example of authoritative misinformation for 2020 is Anthony Fauci’s guidance that masks don’t help until they do. I’m looking forward to watching people’s reactions when he inevitably asserts they don’t again.

2020 was a good year for skeptic production, boy howdy.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by mrfusion on Sunday January 10, 2021 @05:01PM (#25720493)
You raise a great point. Trust in authorities is a very powerful mental shortcut. You don’t have to research anything. Go with the mainstream and you’ll always be right.

Until that shortcut goes horribly wrong.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by fgonzag on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:06PM (#25721288)
It's not a shortcut. It's the only way to form opinions outside of your expertise fields, because you simply don't have the time to personally research everything.

That's why it's very important to have a healthy dose of skepticism when receiving info from people who we trust, because we chose the gatekeepers based on our opinions which implicitly selects for our own biases.

For example I don't actually know that the election wasn't stolen. It's an opinion that I hold due to choosing to trust a specific gatekeeper (main stream media) and a lack of hard evidence from the other side. If hard evidence were to be presented, the I would have to reexamine my beliefs even if they go against everything I believed in previously.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by DaniloDias on Sunday January 10, 2021 @07:47PM (#25722566)
If you are an expert in a topic that is covered by the media, I cannot understand how you would have faith in the media’s coverage of topics you don’t understand.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by ipython on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:38PM (#25721682)
So I suppose in your eyes science can never correct itself? I find the constant example of fauci’s “about face” on masks as an example of why not to listen to experts to be very concerning, especially by people who profess to believe in science. There is a wide gulf between deliberate misinformation and the scientific method refining the best advice known at the time for a novel virus. It’s disingenuous to equate the two.

In the beginning there was a real question of how this virus transmitted as well as acute supply shortages of n95 masks for first responders.

If you expect scientists to be correct the first time, every time, I guess you’ll set yourself up for disappointment. I suppose when you sit down to code, especially using a new language or framework, you get it right the first time with no bugs? If so, congratulations and let us know how you did it.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by DaniloDias on Sunday January 10, 2021 @07:44PM (#25722523)
Why slap a narrative on me? I said nothing you’ve talked about and don’t believe what you ascribe you me. Why waste the time of both of us?

“As Fauci told the Washington Post here , at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, masks were not recommended for the general public, as authorities were trying to prevent a mask shortage for health workers and the extent of asymptomatic spread was unknown.”

https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-factcheck-fauci-outdated-...

The man was in a no-win situation, and he had to make a shitty call, but integrity doesn’t mean occasional honesty. He and many others walked through a one-way door and the best move for him is to resign so we can have someone with a clean ethical slate.

Let’s make this simpler. How do you feel about General Alexander’s testimony to Congress about surveillance of the American people?

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by rblatz on Sunday January 10, 2021 @02:44PM (#25718795)
Mainstream media talking points vary from Trump and his family are breaking norms and traditions in a very dangerous way to our country, all the way to the Biden crime family is going to ruin this country. With major undertones of a lot of hurt, anger, and feeling like there is no hope among minorities or rural whites depending on which sources you choose to consume. Both are true, both need addressed. And it’s likely not a coincidence that both groups think the other’s movement is their enemy.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by undoware on Sunday January 10, 2021 @04:29PM (#25720119)
I get routinely modded down on this site for pointing out issues that are ostensibly too political, like workplace discrimination.

But on this same site, somoene can literally carry on a discussion echoing the (proven false) propaganda points ("biden crime family"? dear lord) and it stays up without downvote for (checks watch) an hour and counting.

Everything this past week has been a chest x-ray of our collective spirit, and it came back solid white.

This is vastly smaller in degree but not in kind.

Time for some introspection, dear readers.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by afuchs on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:35PM (#25721628)
This is a bit of a meta discussion, but there does seem to be a marked difference between what the moderators do (most recently, pruning entire threads) and what users using the "flag" button and down voting does.

The last couple of days have been particularly hellish, with many threads that descended into flame wars which drifted far away from whatever the original post was about.

I agree that there have been many threads that were far from being good faith discussions and turned into shouting matches with too many posts made in bad faith (such as citing bad sources that did not contain anything directly relevant to the point being argued, or links to sources that just repeated the original unsubstantiated allegation without presenting any evidence). Actions taken by users in these threads seemed to reflect preexisting biases rather than anything resembling a good faith debate.

With that I want to express my appreciation for the moderators who's job I do not envy but who are very necessary to keeping this site functioning in any way.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by rblatz on Sunday January 10, 2021 @08:52PM (#25723245)
I’ve noticed that too. Seems that no matter what I post I get downvotes. Typically without any explanation or response.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by roenxi on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:49AM (#25713766)
I dunno, there are a lot of countries famous for their education which are nevertheless not ideal places to go.

Culture might be a more important aspect than education. Education is relatively easy to transplant (c.f. China & the rest of Asia, or the US stealing many of Germany's good scientists after WWII, or the Brits leaching French expertise after the revolution). Culture is really hard to transplant because nobody knows which are the good bits and which are the bad bits.

I'll throw these two in because I they are an interesting and relevant example:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marc_Isambard_Brunel

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isambard_Kingdom_Brunel

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by 74d-fe6-2c6 on Sunday January 10, 2021 @07:03AM (#25713863)
Well, obviously "education" is already a political term and will be defined as required. The way I mean education is in a holistic sense. Education is about learning to learn, learning to think for yourself, learning about history and science in an as-unbiased-fashion as possible. But the learning about yourself and how to think for yourself is the key. In countries with that sort of education you'll have less problems with free speech to begin with. Because first of all there are fewer people who come up with unfounded conspiracy theories and second of all fewer people who fall for it - because they learned to think for themselves. But it's gift that keeps giving ... third of all there will be less division in society because it will be a fairer society to begin with. Education is based on a fair society, leads to a fair society and stabilizes a fair society. But if a country is at a point where a Betsy DeVos is appointed as secretary of education - well, good night ...
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by iguy on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:57AM (#25713821)
These examples are of technical education. German rocket scientists, and British blast-furnace wizards (to France). These things are important of course but seem orthogonal to political institutional memory.

Scholars deeply steeped in Bismark's thoughts & mistakes, or in English constitutional law, didn't make these jumps.

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by paganel on Sunday January 10, 2021 @07:17AM (#25713950)
> or in English constitutional law

Carl Schmitt did in fact made the jump, and he's one of the most read constitutional law writers in the last century. Not sure if Max Weber would have done the same, most probably not (he was really versed in English constitutional law, his "Economy and Society" has lots of quotes to Maitland's "History of English Law"), but he didn't strike me as a fervent supporter of democracy rights either.

And there was also the definite jump made by Heidegger, not exactly a legal scholar but a very well-read person nonetheless (and a mentor to Hannah Arendt, among others).

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by iguy on Sunday January 10, 2021 @05:18PM (#25720689)
These don't seem like the sort of jumps I had in mind. I meant the wholesale import of a school of knowledge to a new place. As happened for instance with the arrival of many modern sciences in the US; lots of fields where everybody's family tree goes back to germany.

The germans you mention were certainly well-informed about foreign traditions, but their knowledge didn't create a living continuation of these traditions where they ended up.

(The context is, since it's been a few hours, was a claim that education was a way to circumvent this 50-year institutional forgetting, which I took to mean national institutions. And the counter-claim is that many places have good education and terrible institutions, why haven't they imported this ersatz institutional memory? If it works for local preservation, why doesn't it work for international transplanting? And I don't completely know, but the successful international knowledge grafts seem to be technical subjects. )

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by Der_Einzige on Sunday January 10, 2021 @03:59PM (#25719720)
Not just mentor, he was her boyfriend!!!

And an ironic situation, given his nazi ties and her jewishness...

Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by qwantim1 on Sunday January 10, 2021 @07:14AM (#25713932)
While there’s not a 1:1 from education to happiness or prosperity, the least educated countries are really not doing well.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by VLM on Sunday January 10, 2021 @03:03PM (#25719016)
Possibly the cause and effect are flipped and education is merely a recreation expense item for the masses.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by thewindowmovie5 on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:27AM (#25713593)
Agree. I think the current crisis in US is because of lack of education and the whitewashing or omitting of important events in history. Just yesterday I saw a comment in here adding that deejays now have control of all three branches of the government(which was obviously false) and that was dangerous. But i guess the poster had no idea about what the three branches of the government.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by krona on Sunday January 10, 2021 @04:35PM (#25720184)
"The road to hell is paved with Ivy League degrees."
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by graeme on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:06PM (#25721284)
Education is not experience. It can help deal with situations similar to the past but it is far from sufficient to make up for the 50 year problem.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by cmurf on Tuesday January 12, 2021 @04:20AM (#25744271)
Josh Hawley, Ted Cruz, Matt Gaetz, and John Kennedy, are among the most educated in Congress. And yet are the most self-serving, craven, mendacious, and anti-democratic to have served in the modern era. What evidence is there that education applied any constraint on them? Where does good character come from?
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by iguy on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:13AM (#25713495)
And the type of education surely matters. If the goal is to break through this 50-year horizon, then presumably an important part is to really get inside the heads of people at least that long ago. Not to just translate our quarrels & concerns backwards, but rather to stay immersed in the issues of (say) 1920 long enough to feel what was important to people of the time.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by thewindowmovie5 on Sunday January 10, 2021 @06:25AM (#25713581)
...
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by kortilla on Monday January 11, 2021 @02:45AM (#25725927)
Yet education does not help. Being told about the events does not really capture the emotions that lead to them. Education is the reason the details are different but fundamentally nothing gets prevented.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by brightball on Sunday January 10, 2021 @03:48PM (#25719589)
This is basically the Old Testament IMO. Same mistakes over and over, separated by a couple of generations once one generation gets comfortable.
Re:Will the US experience a violent upheaval in 2020? (2012) by AniseAbyss on Sunday January 10, 2021 @03:08PM (#25719087)
Education doesn't work when people only watch their propaganda media. And when your entire social and professional circle is in the cult good luck breaking out.