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Re:Fund manager: ‘Nightmare’ US stock valuations driven by ‘... by swiley on Thursday October 15, 2020 @02:35PM (#24792095)
Is GDP really that far down? (and will it stay down without a stimulus package?) I'm not convinced the market really needs a recovery. Sure the majority of people need it but I'm not sure that has much of an effect on production, especially if cost of living is going to go down due to the bottom dropping out of the real estate market.
Re:Fund manager: ‘Nightmare’ US stock valuations driven by ‘... by poulsbohemian on Thursday October 15, 2020 @05:16PM (#24794111)
>especially if cost of living is going to go down due to the bottom dropping out of the real estate market.

This sure as heck isn't happening in my market... all year long I've listened to a group of potential buyers tell me they are going to wait because the bottom is going to fall out any day now ... every piece of data I have shows that the opposite is happening - we have more buyers than physical homes here and prices have been on a steady upward trajectory for the past five years. With interest rates at historic lows, there's no reason to believe buyers aren't going to continue to acquire homes.

Now - in other markets? Maybe there will be a correction, but that's actually bound to help my market and likely others too, as people move from expensive areas to less expensive areas. SFO / LA / PDX / SEA aren't going to collapse overnight.

Re:Fund manager: ‘Nightmare’ US stock valuations driven by ‘... by hcknwscommenter on Thursday October 15, 2020 @05:13PM (#24794057)
>Is GDP really that far down?

GDP is down. Bigly.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GDP (click on the 1yr timeframe to see it better).

Re:Fund manager: ‘Nightmare’ US stock valuations driven by ‘... by harambae on Thursday October 15, 2020 @03:28PM (#24792758)
>especially if cost of living is going to go down due to the bottom dropping out of the real estate market

where's the evidence of this so far?