News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by nilkn on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @05:25PM (#24712912)
It's really not a crazy idea at all, though. It's certainly less crazy than how much of established scientific canon would've appeared to the world when it was originally proposed. I would argue most of quantum field theory is much "crazier" than Penrose's CCC idea.

That said, as far as I know it falls into the body of theories that struggle to make falsifiable predictions, and of the limited such predictions it has made nobody has found data that validates them in a statistically significant way yet.

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by monkeycantype on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @06:15PM (#24713432)
Ok so a beer talk question to the physicists: By any measure of order, there are more disordered states than ordered states, and therefore any random change is likely to be a change to a more disordered state, leading to the inevitable heat death of the universe. But if this decent into chaos is only about probability, then given infinite time even the infinitesimal chance of spontaneous order will have it's moment.

With infinite time will order spontaneously emerge from heat death?

Was Epicurus right?

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by throwaway1312 on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @06:48PM (#24713711)
There's a theorem "Poincaré recurrence theorem" which says if a system is finite, given infinite time, it will return to a state arbitrarily close to its initial state.

While the theorem itself is well proven, I can't find a physicist who can say one way or another whether this applies to our universe.

https://physics.stackexchange.com/questions/200722/poincaré-...

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by escape_goat on Thursday October 08, 2020 @12:51AM (#24715950)
My apologies, but I believe that this theorem applies to a subset of possible systems with certain properties which are called "conservative systems," not any arbitrary system.
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by fsflover on Thursday October 08, 2020 @12:10PM (#24720494)
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by orbifold on Thursday October 08, 2020 @03:56AM (#24716925)
It doesn’t apply to the universe because of GR at least that is the conventional view I think.
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by OJFord on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @07:18PM (#24713974)
The objection hasn't been made in your SE question, so I assume I am missing something, but why does 'if a system is finite' apply to the universe? The 'given infinite time' would need to be a 'faster' infinite than universal expansion?

(Obviously IANAPhysicist.)

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by minitoar on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @09:44PM (#24714804)
Not sure if I'm missing your point, but an expanding universe can still be finite.
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by OJFord on Thursday October 08, 2020 @03:49AM (#24716885)
The food on your plate is finite, but if you're served more faster (no slower) than you eat it, then you won't empty the plate even given infinite time.
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by minitoar on Thursday October 08, 2020 @11:17AM (#24719875)
That doesn’t sound like a closed system anymore.
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by enkid on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @09:57PM (#24714863)
The visible universe is finite and the visible universe is the only thing that can affect us. I believe that would make it apply.
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by n3k5 on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @11:03PM (#24715242)
The observable universe would have to be a conservative system for Poincaré recurrence to apply to it. I don't think that's possible; isn't it leaking matter that looks like it won't come back?

I don't understand all the properties a system must have so the Poincaré recurrence theorem applies, but as long as we don't know whether the (entire) universe is finite, that's sufficient to show that Poincaré recurrence may be impossible. In that situation, we can either find information that makes it impossible for sure, or otherwise we know that we don't know.

‘Nothing else can affect us‘ doesn't contradict that, because ‘us‘ would cease to exist at the Poincaré recurrence time (if not earlier).

N.B. I'm just pointing out some basic things, while having no clue how much merit the idea has in the first place, even if the universe has finite state space and infinite time. (I mean just the idea of trying to apply the Poincaré recurrence theorem to the whole universe, not Penrose's work.) AFAICT the proof only says that almost every state recurs infinitely often. So if you picked some state at random as your starting state, it's essentially guaranteed that it will recur, but when it comes to applying this to the universe, isn't it presumptuous to regard the big bang as such a state?

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by yk on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @11:20PM (#24715347)
Assume that the volume of the visible universe grows, and then consider a ball that just circles on larger and larger circles. Clearly, the ball does not need to get back arbitrarily close to where it started.
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by GreenHeuristics on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @10:35PM (#24715058)
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by tripzilch on Thursday October 08, 2020 @05:51AM (#24717536)
There's a cool Numberphile video about this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1GCf29FPM4k
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by sillysaurusx on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @06:46PM (#24713705)
I like your reasoning. Feynman pointed out why this doesn’t work: you have to “borrow odd”, so to speak, in order to get any effect. Which means that your slight perturbation, although miraculous, ends up having little more than an infinitesimal effect over an even smaller amount of time.

Feynman put it way better than me though. It was in the Messenger Lectures series if you’re curious. 6 wonderful and accessible videos; his audience was primarily laypeople, not scientists. Quite enjoyable.

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by Analog24 on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @09:47PM (#24714818)
Feynman's argument was about why you can't have systems that decrease entropy continuously. It doesn't disprove that there can (and will) be downward fluctuations in entropy, which is what I believe the OP was asking about. As someone else mentioned this is the idea behind a Boltzmann Brain (which is a pretty fascinating concept).
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by douglaswlance on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @07:02PM (#24713829)
Heat death leads to absolute uniformity throughout the universe and when that happens, when no two points of the universe differ in any way, the universe becomes a single point and then a big bang occurs, according to Penrose.
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by Ygg2 on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @08:21PM (#24714377)
Argument was a bit more complicated.

Basically when all particles are moving at speed of light, time becomes meaningless and you can consider space to be infinitely small. I.e. identical conditions to Big Bang

https://youtu.be/PC2JOQ7z5L0

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by burnte on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @08:44PM (#24714496)
> With infinite time will order spontaneously emerge from heat death?

The theory is more that with "infinite" expansion, the universe becomes so spread out as to in spot become emptier than the vacuum energy, and a new universe spontaneously erupts in that low energy locale. In a very small nutshell.

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by Balgair on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @09:01PM (#24714593)
This relates to one of my favorite wikipedia pages: The Timeline of the Far Future.

The relevant part is at the end. Essentially, given enough time, quantum effects will result in an entire new universe spontaneously popping into existence. That time is ~10^(10^(10^56)).[0]

But, the number of ways that all particles in the universe can be arranged is only ~10^(10^115). That number is much smaller than the time to just go 'pop, new universe'. So, the much larger number also becomes about the time it takes to just have a new universe identical to our current one just go 'pop, new universe'.

The other entries in that article are just as joyously mind-bending. I really really love that page!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future

[0] Side note: The time for a 'Boltzmann Brain' (a consciousness that just floats in the infinite void thinking away, somehow) to spontaneously appear is only ~10^(10^50).

EDIT: Changed Fat to Far

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by curiousllama on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @09:07PM (#24714624)
Cmon dude. Just because it keeps expanding doesn’t mean you can call the universe fat.
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by Balgair on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @11:40PM (#24715488)
Thanks for the catch!

Also, I forgot to mention that all these timelines are in years.

But then I thought about it and about any human unit of time really doesn't change the numbers much at all. Heck, even measured as units of 'age-of-the-current-universe', the extra 0s just fade into the rounding errors very quickly.

To be clear here, that is stating that however you measure time pretty much has no meaning at these scales.

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by a1369209993 on Thursday October 08, 2020 @01:58AM (#24716299)
> But then I thought about it and about any human unit of time really doesn't change the numbers much at all.

As the Wikipedia page[0] puts it:

> Although listed in years for convenience, the numbers beyond this point are so vast that their digits would remain unchanged regardless of which conventional units they were listed in, be they nanoseconds or star lifespans.

0: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_far_future#cit...

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by mongol on Thursday October 08, 2020 @01:51AM (#24716259)
Is this the time that Marvin needed to wait at the restaurant at the end of the universe?
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by coddle-hark on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @06:34PM (#24713601)
The changes aren’t uniformly random though. This is akin to saying that given enough time a monkey throwing darts will eventually hit the moon.
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by monkeycantype on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @07:09PM (#24713891)
that's a beautiful sentence! I was so expecting Shakespeare at the end of it.
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by 867-5309 on Thursday October 08, 2020 @12:53AM (#24715960)
username checks out
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by scythe on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @06:51PM (#24713741)
>With infinite time will order spontaneously emerge from heat death?

The answer may be yes or no in any particular axiomatization (model) of the physical laws, but depends strongly on the choice of model. Unlike a normal situation, when we talk about very-low-probability effects we are subject to any influence of "quantum gravity" and other "new/unknown physics" that may have a finger, however light, on the scale.

In the Standard Model I think the answer is yes, but we are already aware of some deficiencies (neutrino transitions).

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by monkeycantype on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @07:44PM (#24714139)
Thanks - that's a really interesting answer.
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by mehrdadn on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @08:43PM (#24714483)
> then given infinite time even the infinitesimal chance of spontaneous order will have it's moment.

Does this hold true for a 1/infinity chance event?

Or (not sure if this is analogous) if you choose infinitely many real numbers ~ unif(0, 1), is it guaranteed you will hit every number in that interval at least once? I'm not even sure the question is well-defined to be honest (at least not without making assumptions about infinities that we have no way to show hold true for this universe), but if it is, is the answer yes? It's not obvious to me.

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by yk on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @11:30PM (#24715416)
The first is not well defined, the second is and as long as we are talking countable infinity, it is not. (In the uncountable case you are running into problems with definitions again.) As a matter of fact, you will not hit almost all numbers. However, you will almost surely have picked a point in any fixed interval, and that is meant with order reapers over long enough timescales.

For illustration, you are almost guaranteed to not win the lottery, but when you play again and again, then after something like 14 million times playing (for the German Lotto) you will win, and again after something like 28 million times playing, and so on, so you expect to often over long enough timescales, and you can start to impose additional constrains, for example winning with consecutive numbers, or the first few primes. And after a long enough timescale you start to win again with these additional constrains.

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by crazydoggers on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @10:11PM (#24714933)
In addition to the other great comments here, check out Brian Greene’s latest “Until the End of Time”

https://www.amazon.com/dp/0593171721/ref=cm_sw_r_sms_awdb_bt...

For example a complete brain capable of imagining it’s in a universe could spontaneously occur... (Boltzmann brain) but the catch is that there needs to be enough usable energy for it to function. So even if order suddenly occurs, heat death means an eventual limit to complexity.

Ultimately something needs to happen to cause a sudden reverse into very low entropy, ie another Big Bang or something of the like.

We’re talking like 10^50 years here before heat death ends thought so... the universe has some time still.

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by dogecoinbase on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @08:23PM (#24714387)
This is the Boltzmann Brain paradox -- given this probability system, it's much (not going to say infinitely... but practically so) more likely that your perception of this moment is a fluctuation in chaos than that the entire universe as you perceive it currently exists. The parallels to the simulation argument/doomsday hypothesis are, I hope, apparent.
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by ianai on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @08:23PM (#24714384)
That’s pretty similar to the argument Penrose makes - check out some of his interviews.
Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by dspillett on Thursday October 08, 2020 @06:37AM (#24717818)
> It's really not a crazy idea at all, though. It's certainly less crazy than…

When someone comments on the craziness of theories about before the big bang (and therefore the cause to which it was an effect), it is always worth remembering that the big bang itself was considered crazy by many initially.

The name even came from a dismissive description (with massive vocal air-quotes around "big bang") that just stuck as it is actually a good description (at least by dint of being catchy).

Crazy does not necessarily mean something is incorrect.

Re:An earlier universe can still be observed today, says Rog... by konjin on Wednesday October 07, 2020 @06:11PM (#24713386)
It really is. Every physicist has a dozen ideas like that they realize are stupid, have no evidence for and can't really be proven or disproven with current data.

We call them crazy to keep our selves from going off the deep end and talking about ufos, the foundations of mathematics or the genetic differences between races.