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Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by snake_plissken on Friday October 02, 2020 @11:56AM (#24663918)
Along the lines of this article, there's the dilemma/contradiction faced by modern globalisation in that money can move much faster and more freely than labor. In previous iterations (late 1700s, 1800s and the first few decades of the 1900s) labor and money moved at basically the same speed: as an investor, your capital (gold/silver, then whatever money instrument replaced it) took the same boat/train/carriage as labor. This had a moderating effect, and the system was able to almost always equalize itself in terms of trade and investments flows.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by PaulDavisThe1st on Friday October 02, 2020 @12:49PM (#24664489)
> money can move much faster and more freely than labor.

That's a result of political choices made in many jurisdictions, it's not a law of nature. The EU made a very conscious decision to tie free movement of labor to free movement of capital within its operating zone (probably the only such economic agreement of its kind).

The choices that the US has made are entirely favorable to capital, and entirely disfavorable to all non-professional labor. The only upside I can see (and I'm not alone in this) is cheap consumer goods that have obscured the true cost and depth of wage stagnation over 35 years.

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by ballenf on Friday October 02, 2020 @01:02PM (#24664621)
Sincere question: why is purchasing power not the defining characteristic of wage growth at least post-gold standard? If I can buy more stuff with the same salary, hasn't my salary effectively gone up?

Or is your point that only some stuff is cheaper, but the total standard of living supportable by average wages has nevertheless dropped?

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by dtech on Friday October 02, 2020 @02:14PM (#24665360)
Because purchasing power is quite hard to quantify. It requires you to define a set of goods the "average" consumer uses. This leaves much more wiggle room for manipulation and politicization. [1]

Wage in currency is a lot simpler. The only real manipulation possibility is currency value and some minor tinkering in the definitions.

[1] For example a major criticisms of the euro-zone inflation index is that it excludes housing cost: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harmonised_Index_of_Consumer_P...

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by LudwigNagasena on Friday October 02, 2020 @02:27PM (#24665495)
Nominal wage is almost meaningless. Using something simple but meaningless instead of something meaningful but harder to calculate is nonsensical.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by chickenmonkey on Friday October 02, 2020 @01:28PM (#24664879)
It makes sense if their point is that only some stuff is cheaper. It's cheap in the US to buy processed food and appliances but college and healthcare costs are pretty high, and it's hard for young people to find good housing.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by Arnt on Saturday October 03, 2020 @09:43AM (#24672046)
Noone's going to read this, but I'm going to answer, differently. Because procrastination.

There used to be "white-collar cost of living comparisons", maybe there still is. The headline in the newspaper would be "Copenhagen most expensive city in the world" or somesuch. The major reason for that was that hiring a full-time nanny to look after your children was expensive in Copenhagen, and a full-time nanny was included because that was considered necessary for white-collar professionals in some of the cities om the survey, and for fairness it was included everywhere. But in Copenhagen, there are excellent creches and kindergartens. Only a kook hires a nanny, so those attempts at fair comparisons compared kooky behaviour in Copenhagen with sensible behaviour in, say, Pune or Bangalore, and found that being a kook in Copenhagen is expensive.

But how can you do it better? How can you compute the cost of living (which is tightly connected to purchasing power) so well that you can compare year-over-year and capture 2% changes reliably? If the city provides more/better creches, should you start counting 19.2% of the cost of a nanny instead of 19.4%?

People don't need a car where I live. I know areas nearby where a family like mine would have at least one, perhaps two cars. Cars are cheaper there (renting off-street parking space costs a fortune here) but how would you factor the cost of a car into purchasing power and compare fairly? If the city builds new metro rail, how do you change the weight of the family's first car in your calculation, and the cost of the second car?

This is difficult stuff.

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by wilde on Friday October 02, 2020 @03:18PM (#24666084)
Because the ability to purchase housing has gone way down and has probably absorbed that.

https://www.cbpp.org/blog/census-renters-incomes-still-laggi...

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by PaulDavisThe1st on Friday October 02, 2020 @06:53PM (#24667852)
Housing, healthcare, education ... ya know, the very basic stuff of modern life.

But hey! US$200 4k TVs! Portable handheld computing devices with access to a good chunk of human knowledge (and humanity) ! No problem!

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by LargoLasskhyfv on Saturday October 03, 2020 @03:34AM (#24670309)
You could build small houses out of the 4k TVs. And save on the heating, light, and wallpapers :)
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by ClumsyPilot on Friday October 02, 2020 @01:27PM (#24664869)
>"If I can buy more stuff with the same salary, hasn't my salary effectively gone up?"

That would be deflation, but we've actually had inflation over the past decades. We can ofcourse discuss how wrll we are measuring it, but generally speaking some life necessities like housing have skyrocketed in price.

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by dpoochieni on Friday October 02, 2020 @01:37PM (#24664963)
Only some stuff is cheaper, but the important stuff is the same or more expensive than before (housing, education, stocks).
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by dehrmann on Friday October 02, 2020 @01:00PM (#24664606)
> That's a result of political choices made in many jurisdictions

It definitely makes it more difficult, but a lot of it is a "law of nature" because moving is expensive, time consuming, risky, and you give up your local connections. There's a reason for the metaphor "putting down roots."

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by PaulDavisThe1st on Friday October 02, 2020 @03:57PM (#24666455)
That's a very valid point.

But it ignores the extent to which we've deliberately worked very hard to make capital mobile. As noted elsewhere in the thread, feudal societies used to see most wealth accumulated in the form of real estate, which is more or less the definition of immobile capital. We've built huge and complex social institutions around making capital mobile, and even allowed them to suck up a rather notable percentage of GDP.

Imagine what a world would look like that put as much effort into the free movement of labor. And note: not all capital is internationally mobile, and in the same spirit, nobody would sensibly suggest that all labor would or should become mobile. There's plenty of room and benefits for investing both close to home (which is all part of "putting down roots"). It's a question of balance between local, regional, national and global for both capital and labor mobility.

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by blibble on Friday October 02, 2020 @05:34PM (#24667241)
> The EU made a very conscious decision to tie free movement of labor to free movement of capital within its operating zone (probably the only such economic agreement of its kind).

how is this any different for the US?

I'm pretty certain Floridians don't need a work visa if they choose to go and work in California?

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by PaulDavisThe1st on Friday October 02, 2020 @06:50PM (#24667839)
When the EU was formed (originally as the European Common Market), it was an agreement between entirely sovereign nations. No federal government, no trans-national legal frameworks.

The US has essentially never existed in this form. From the moment of its founding, it has been a federal, democratic republic.

Before the EEC/EU, investing across Europe was much more difficult, and labor migration was limited to "high skilled" workers. There have never been any such limitations in the US.

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by blibble on Friday October 02, 2020 @07:03PM (#24667915)
> The US has essentially never existed in this form. From the moment of its founding, it has been a federal, democratic republic.

this isn't true at all, what about the first US constitution: The Articles of Confederation?

Article II stated that the States are sovereign (bar delegated powers), and Article IV established freedom of movement and freedom of capital

essentially the same structure as the current EU (with many of the same flaws)

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by PaulDavisThe1st on Friday October 02, 2020 @09:31PM (#24668743)
err, excuse me .. before the first US constitution (barring a few years when things were really up in the air), the "united states" was a wholly owned colony of Great Britain. If you're a historical revisionist, you could make the claim that the separate colonies constituted separate nations before the AoC, but I wouldn't agree with you. The AoC formed a nation, post-revolution, and formed it out of states. I would read Article IV as preventing the elimination of freedom of movement and capital, because when it was enacted there was honestly little to no barriers to either already in place.

The EEC/EU was preceded by nations, continues to feature nations (1) and still has no actual federal structure (though quite a lot of Europeans wish it had more, and quite a lot of other Europeans wish it had less).

(1) consider how easy it was for even the Schengen zone nations to close their borders and think about how difficult it would be for a state to do the same.

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by blibble on Friday October 02, 2020 @09:41PM (#24668797)
> err, excuse me .. before the first US constitution (barring a few years when things were really up in the air), the "united states" was a wholly owned colony of Great Britain

I don't remember claiming otherwise

> If you're a historical revisionist, you could make the claim that the separate colonies constituted separate nations before the AoC, but I wouldn't agree with you

I didn't claim this either

my only point was EU is not unique, it's a confederation and there have been many throughout history, several with freedom of movement and capital, including the rather well known United States (post-AoC but pre-federalisation)

you may disagree, but that would be historical revisionism

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by PaulDavisThe1st on Saturday October 03, 2020 @11:04AM (#24672479)
pre-1776: no independent nations, just colonies of GB 1776: revolution 1777: AoC draft complete 1781: AoC adopted by all 13 states 1789: Federalization

I hate to quote Wikipedia, but:

Little changed politically once the Articles of Confederation went into effect, as ratification did little more than legalize what the Continental Congress had been doing. That body was renamed the Congress of the Confederation; but most Americans continued to call it the Continental Congress, since its organization remained the same

So basically we're disagreeing over whether or not a 12 (or 8) year period between 1777 (or arguably, 1781) and 1789 represents a confederation in which the concepts of free movement of labor and capital existed in a way at least somewhat analogous to the way they do in the EEC/EU.

I'd say they do not. Given that Wealth of Nations was only published in 1776, I'm not even sure that these concepts existed clearly in the minds of most of the people it would have to existed in in order for the post-AoC-pre-federal USA to be usefully said to be anything like the EU.

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by blibble on Saturday October 03, 2020 @11:47AM (#24672778)
> I'd say they do not

so you're disagreeing that the following sentence establishes freedom of movement and capital?

> the free inhabitants of each of these states, paupers, vagabonds and fugitives from Justice excepted, shall be entitled to all privileges and immunities of free citizens in the several states; and the people of each state shall have free ingress and regress to and from any other state, and shall enjoy therein all the privileges of trade and commerce, subject to the same duties, impositions and restrictions as the inhabitants thereof respectively

ok

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by PaulDavisThe1st on Saturday October 03, 2020 @01:00PM (#24673259)
(replying to grandchild ...)

if the AoC did nothing more than codifying what was already the case when the land was just a bunch of GB colonies, I don't see how the AoC can be seen as analogous to the EU, which started from a set of distinct nations. it seems that all you're saying is that "within the colonies, there was free movement of labor and capital, and that continued after the revolution". that doesn't seem even remotely suprising - they were all colonies of a single nation.

we haven't mentioned the currency side of things - when the EEC/EU began, there wasn't even a common currency in use.

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by PaulDavisThe1st on Saturday October 03, 2020 @12:49PM (#24673188)
I'm saying that this text did nothing more than codify what was already true. If I have that wrong, please let me know.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by blibble on Saturday October 03, 2020 @12:51PM (#24673200)
never said otherwise (again)
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by pnw_hazor on Friday October 02, 2020 @12:58PM (#24664577)
In 1789 the US made a very conscious decision to tie free movement of labor to free movement of capital within its operating zone (probably the first ever economic agreement of its kind). The US is a union of sovereign states.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by PaulDavisThe1st on Saturday October 03, 2020 @12:51PM (#24673202)
The US (other than for 8-12 years after the revolution) is a federal republic. The EU is not federal and is not a republic.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by pnw_hazor on Sunday October 04, 2020 @11:28PM (#24684311)
The Union of States made that mistake too in 1781.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by pratik661 on Friday October 02, 2020 @12:16PM (#24664122)
The Islamic world in the Middle Ages had a system of decentralized money transfer (hawala) where capital could be moved virtually across any region that had a trusted hawala intermediary. European aristocrats in the 1700s (and probably before) from different countries were also able to open lines of credit in other countries. It’s actually referenced in Count of Monte Cristo.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by brobdingnagians on Friday October 02, 2020 @01:02PM (#24664625)
I always wondered how the count could so easily transfer money around like that. I thought it was a fictional mechanism to make it easy for him, but I guess I was wrong! Reading more about it, and it is a very interesting system.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by Abishek_Muthian on Friday October 02, 2020 @01:07PM (#24664676)
Isn't Hawala networks still in use today albeit illegally?
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by f001 on Friday October 02, 2020 @02:52PM (#24665814)
Yeah, they are. Came up in my yearly compliance training for the bank i work for. It was the first i’ve heard of them.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by Judgmentality on Friday October 02, 2020 @12:55PM (#24664540)
But information traveled as slowly as people then, unless we're talking about short distances that pigeons could cover (or I guess something equivalent to the pony express, but that seems unlikely). They still had to send a courier to actually deliver the message to exchange the money, and there may very well have been a requirement of receiving this message (otherwise how would you know that the money hadn't already been moved since there can be a weeks to months long delay between messages)?
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by brobdingnagians on Friday October 02, 2020 @01:05PM (#24664660)
I think one of the major benefits of it is that you can send one courier with information about the passwords and money amounts, without having to send a wagon or boat load of specie. That one person can travel much faster than a caravan and there is no risk of theft. A caravan takes large amounts of preparation and is a target for robbers.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by pratik661 on Friday October 02, 2020 @02:10PM (#24665313)
Human travelers need rest. Horses get tired, etc. A message can be transferred to a fresh courier. In fact the ancient Persian empire had a system where horses were stationed at regular intervals so that a message could travel across the empire without halting.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by philwelch on Friday October 02, 2020 @03:48PM (#24666394)
Telegraphy was invented in the late 18th century and electric telegraphy in the 19th.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by dpoochieni on Friday October 02, 2020 @01:34PM (#24664932)
This is not the point, even though there was banking, the actual settlements and information flow, flowed slower (gold and gold notes.)
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by zcw100 on Friday October 02, 2020 @12:26PM (#24664230)
Interestingly, the situation where labor can't move as freely as capital might not hold in the case of remote work which is why working from home is, or should be, scaring the hell out of some people.

If it doesn't let me paint a picture. CEO comes in and checks their email. There's an email from his development team lead. "Dear CEO, The team and I had a discussion and and we no longer have confidence in your ability to usher this project to a successful outcome and have decided to work for company X in country Y. We have ceased development for your project at 8:17am and will be working for X as of 8:18am.

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by matthewmcg on Friday October 02, 2020 @01:07PM (#24664689)
This is true, but I imagine your scenario might be followed by threats from the CEO to X about noncompete clauses, confidential information, and theft of the company’s IP.

On the whole, these legal protections strongly advantage capital vs. labor, though California residents might benefit from their state’s hostility to non-compete clauses.

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by jk700 on Friday October 02, 2020 @01:18PM (#24664789)
> This is true, but I imagine your scenario might be followed by threats from the CEO to X about noncompete clauses, confidential information, and theft of the company’s IP.

Those are empty threats if the team is not from the CEO's litigious country.

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by s1artibartfast on Friday October 02, 2020 @12:52PM (#24664517)
Isn't the inverse true as well?

While this could have some downside re compensation, I look forward to employers smoothing the on/off-boarding process. Nothing is more frustrating than engaging with incompetent coworkers who are only around because it is too hard to find a replacement.

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by dundarious on Friday October 02, 2020 @12:48PM (#24664480)
Even so, that will be an option for a minority of workers.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by disown on Friday October 02, 2020 @03:45PM (#24666362)
It's not just the monetary instrument, it's also the rules of international trade. Bilateral/multilateral "free" trade agreements are created to enable capital to move across borders while movement of people/labor is limited or less privileged.

For example, you can relatively easily buy citizenship in the US, canada, most of europe, etc if you have enough capital. But if you are a person or worker, you have to jump through a lot more hoops to get citizenship in another country.

The world is capital-centric rather than people or labor centric.

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by elsonrodriguez on Friday October 02, 2020 @12:48PM (#24664469)
We've been able to move money virtually ever since the knights templar.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by dpoochieni on Friday October 02, 2020 @01:40PM (#24664997)
Yes but the actual settlement was much slower, which put a bound on it. Plus, the risks involved were way higher due to speed of communication. One might easily own businesses in different countries today, but at 100 years ago. One needed to partner up which lead to a sharing of profit.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by ryandrake on Friday October 02, 2020 @12:00PM (#24663959)
Capital also doesn't need a passport and visa to cross borders.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by Frost1x on Friday October 02, 2020 @12:31PM (#24664290)
Capital also doesn't need, I dont know: basic human social needs like a stable group of friends, family, loved ones and community opposed to living a nomadic drifter chasing money/jobs instead of wild game like hunter gathering civilizations.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by ClumsyPilot on Friday October 02, 2020 @01:31PM (#24664901)
Very strange point - many people cross borders alone and start anew.

Good luck crossing without documents

Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by LudwigNagasena on Friday October 02, 2020 @02:28PM (#24665514)
Many people with documents don’t cross borders and start anew.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by tspike on Friday October 02, 2020 @12:47PM (#24664463)
Your point is taken, but hunter/gathering civilizations tended to be very stable groups of friends, family, loved ones and community. The entire group was nomadic.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by andrewjl on Friday October 02, 2020 @12:05PM (#24664009)
That's not the case in countries that have capital controls. Some of the biggest economies today do.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by novok on Friday October 02, 2020 @01:43PM (#24665020)
Try owning US stocks without being subject to US regulations in a foreign brokerage account.
Re:Global capital is the tail that wags the U.S. economic dog by vkou on Friday October 02, 2020 @02:10PM (#24665316)
For the overwhelming majority of businesses in the world, compliance with US law (To the extent required of them by the US) is vastly easier than it for the overwhelming majority of humans in the world to get a US passport.

There is, however, a very loud minority of people whose business revolves around actively violating US financial laws, who run into problems when they provide their services to the US market.