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Re:Deep learning job postings have collapsed in the past six... by p1esk on Monday August 31, 2020 @10:42AM (#24331928)
It'd be ironic if your comment was generated by GPT-3. But forget GPT-3. In 10 years, looking back at AI history, the year 2020 will probably be viewed as the point separating pre GPT-4 and post GPT-4 epochs. GPT-4 is the model I expect to make things interesting again, not just in NLP, but in AI.
Re:Deep learning job postings have collapsed in the past six... by freyr on Monday August 31, 2020 @11:42AM (#24332574)
Are any of the recent NLP advancements due to improvements beyond throwing more data and horsepower at “dumb” models? Will GPT-4 be any different?

It seems like the current approaches will always fall short of our loftier AI aspirations, but we’re reaching a level of mimicry where we can start to ask, “Does it matter for this task?”

Re:Deep learning job postings have collapsed in the past six... by p1esk on Monday August 31, 2020 @02:00PM (#24334136)
Will GPT-4 be any different?

That's the point - it does not need to be different. If it demonstrates similar improvement to what we saw with GPT-1 --> GPT-2 --> GPT-3, then it will be enough to actually start using it. It's like the progression MNIST --> CIFAR-10 --> ImageNet --> the point where object recognition is good enough for real world applications.

But in addition to making it bigger, we can also make it better: smarter attention, external data queries, better word encoding, better data quality, more than one data type as input, etc. There's plenty of room for improvement.

Re:Deep learning job postings have collapsed in the past six... by disgruntledphd2 on Monday August 31, 2020 @12:38PM (#24333132)
No, almost all the progress is driven by bigger GPUs and datasets.

To be fair, things like CNN's and BERT were definitely massive improvements, but a lot of modern AI is just throwing compute at problems and seeing what sticks.

Re:Deep learning job postings have collapsed in the past six... by The_rationalist on Monday August 31, 2020 @07:08PM (#24336787)
It's not because something seems smart that it actually is. GPT - 3 is ridiculous in that it doesn't have semantic understanding. Text generation is the wrong task, it's cool to watch and actually fuel hype on the ML train but what you're really looking for is semantic parsing, which GPT or openAI has nothing to do with and is mostly underfunded.