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Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by dannyw on Sunday May 31, 2020 @04:05AM (#23368030)
High frequency traders will want the best connectivity humanely possible. It’s a zero sum game. If they can beat a competitor firm’s signals by the smallest fraction of a second, even a nanosecond, they reaps in the profits. So $100m for some better fibre? Go nuts!
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by gruturo on Sunday May 31, 2020 @07:40AM (#23368911)
High frequency traders do NOT want to be limited by the speed of light in a fiber - due to its refractive index (1.5 for ZBLAN according to Wikipedia) this is only 66% of the speed of a radio signal. Over 10km this amounts to an 11 microseconds difference - already significant for HFT.

This is why they have been leveling hills to carve a (mostly, with minimal amount of repeater towers) line of sight path between NYC and Chicago, gaining 3ms (1), or set up a line of sight laser link between NYSE and NASDAQ to eke out a handful of microseconds (2), or set up multiple links across the English channel to reduce latency between London, Amsterdam and Frankfurt (3).

1. https://www.nytimes.com/2014/04/14/opinion/krugman-three-exp...

2. https://www.extremetech.com/extreme/176551-new-laser-network...

3. https://sniperinmahwah.wordpress.com/2016/01/26/hft-in-the-b...

Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by DennisP on Sunday May 31, 2020 @09:01AM (#23369301)
I've seen speculation that low latency may be a big part of the business plan for Starlink.
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by spullara on Sunday May 31, 2020 @09:10PM (#23374656)
It should be faster for long distances than cables for sure. Also less routing.
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by LargoLasskhyfv on Sunday May 31, 2020 @09:46AM (#23369558)
One could use hollow core fiber, which has much higher limits. Up to 99% of light in a vacuum IIRC.
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by tornato7 on Sunday May 31, 2020 @02:06PM (#23371332)
A wave guide?
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by LargoLasskhyfv on Sunday May 31, 2020 @03:03PM (#23371762)
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by andrepd on Sunday May 31, 2020 @07:37AM (#23368896)
Eh, that's a really sad thing to optimise for, don't you think? Revealing of a broken incentive system. I'd prefer if HFT practices were banned.
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by esmi on Monday June 01, 2020 @10:04AM (#23378553)
Personally I waffle on this myself. My instinct tells me it’s bad but then I try to decide what trading cadence I would limit it to. Assume there is a CEO who wants to do something nefarious to manipulate the stock price. If they make a decision how fast can a company actually act on it? Would or could they make the company act on 1 hour boundaries? Even if we limited trades to once per week is that the long term we want a CEO to consider? At what time frame does a stock stop being a stock and convert to something else? Then I decide even by minute trading is not really something that management can even consider, even if they want to, so there is really no point to artificial limits imposed by law and take a more laissez faire attitude.
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by ncmncm on Tuesday June 02, 2020 @05:14AM (#23389179)
Don't limit cadence. Just tax transactions, and cadence will limit itself.
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by esmi on Tuesday June 02, 2020 @11:36AM (#23392154)
I waffle on this one too. Institutions that do HFT have a huge capital cost and pay large fees before they even make their first trade. They also employ programmers, traders, etc. Basically, these taxes are going to need to sum to something really big to dissuade them. Too small, they ignore it. Medium, the market will just consolidate. Large, you'll stop HFT, but at what consequence? The probability of unintended consequences is high.

This is when I decide I don't really understand the market as well as I think, and I should stop solving the world's problems, and go back to designing circuits.

Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by ncmncm on Wednesday June 03, 2020 @07:48PM (#23410523)
A tiny tax on each order (bid, ask) entry would cut the total volume of orders by a huge factor, cost them only a small fraction of their takings, and probably fund free college for everyone in the US.
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by xwdv on Sunday May 31, 2020 @12:28PM (#23370608)
No you wouldn’t. The development of HFT has created massive liquidity for markets and reduced bid ask spreads in a way that benefits retail investors more than past alternatives.
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by nicoburns on Sunday May 31, 2020 @04:55PM (#23372652)
Does it benefit society though? I'd argue that increased liquidity in markets is a net negative. That means it's easier for investors to sell their assets quickly, which is exactly what you don't want if you want to encourage long-term investment.
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by scottLobster on Sunday May 31, 2020 @06:29PM (#23373463)
People buy and flip houses, despite the fact that it takes months. What timeline would you think would discourage short-term investment?

Ultimately I'd rather place the responsibility for long/short term investing on the investor. The fact that most retail investors should be investing passively and long term is well known at this point, the issue is one of education.

Don't dumb down the system when it's easy to make people stronger.

Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by nicoburns on Monday June 01, 2020 @04:53AM (#23376517)
> People buy and flip houses, despite the fact that it takes months. What timeline would you think would discourage short-term investment?

Months would be pretty good. But I suspect that wouldn't fly in practice. Flipping houses is long-term investment, no? Even if the asset isn't held for a long time, long-term value is added. This is very different to speculative trading where no value is added.

> The fact that most retail investors should be investing passively and long term is well known at this point

Nope! The primary purpose of the stock markets isn't to generate income for the investors. The purpose is to effectively distribute capital to those business that can use if effectively. Passive investment does not help to achieve this. It reduces the "wisdom of the crowd" effect, because anyone investing passively is not contributing their wisdom.

> Don't dumb down the system when it's easy to make people stronger.

I have completely the opposite view on this. If there's an obviously correct way of doing something, then don't leave it to chance. Design the system so that people can't fail.

Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by scottLobster on Monday June 01, 2020 @03:19PM (#23382532)
Flipping houses is also speculative, as those who have lost money doing so can attest to. If you spend a lot of time/money flipping a house only to have the market tank or you just chose a bad area, then no one buys and all that "value" is lost in wasted resources.

Buying stock by definition is purchasing the right to participate in a company's future profits. That's the reward for taking a risk on the company, and the primary metric by which "who can use it effectively" is determined. It isn't and has never been some board of financial justices trying to figure out how reallocate capital out of altruism, otherwise hedge funds and active traders would all be non-profits.

There isn't an obviously correct way to do this, it depends on one's objectives. Financially illiterate employees contributing to their 401ks have different needs than hedge funds who have different needs than people trying to build wealth for non-retirement time horizons in taxable accounts who have different needs than people saving in HSAs and 529 accounts who have different needs than Pension funds, among many other users of the market. It's up to the investor to determine their needs, not be coddled by some nameless, faceless system that only permits the lowest common denominator of participation.

On a more philosophical note, systems where people can't fail are systems I've experienced professionally (working for companies with political/economic moats so vast they can fail repeatably and not be punished). All it produces in my experience is complacent dead weight and rules to maintain said dead weight that unite to stifle the progress of those who wish to perform or make progress. The systems become benign tumors at best.

Now granted there should be some safety nets in place, not everyone can be or wants to be a high performer, but that doesn't mean we should make every room with padded walls. People who throw money into the market without the slightest bit of research should be punished for their lack of planning, same way people who jump off a roof without thinking are punished by injury.

Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by xwdv on Sunday May 31, 2020 @06:09PM (#23373242)
No, if people need access to their money they need to be able to sell off their investments damn near instantly. This isn’t real estate.
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by TomMarius on Sunday May 31, 2020 @08:26AM (#23369118)
Can you be more specific about what is so broken about the need for efficient and fast trade?
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by pms on Sunday May 31, 2020 @09:31AM (#23369485)
Volatility is the main concern [1]. Making trading decisions based on microseconds is speculation. How can anyone or anything reach an understanding of something as complex as markets in this short time?

Other concerns include unnecessary waste and unfairness [2]. The point is that this is a zero-sum game that makes us invest in infrastructure that will soon get obsolete once someone else builds a faster infrastructure.

Fast trade isn't "efficient". Long-term stability is.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_flash_crash [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flash_Boys

Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by TomMarius on Sunday May 31, 2020 @10:22AM (#23369745)
It is a speculation, yes. That does not mean it is not useful, or is harmful to the society.
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by nicoburns on Sunday May 31, 2020 @04:56PM (#23372665)
How is it useful?
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by TomMarius on Sunday May 31, 2020 @10:20PM (#23374957)
People that need to sell something will find a buyer faster.
Re:SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit by xwdv on Sunday May 31, 2020 @12:31PM (#23370614)
> How can anyone or anything reach an understanding of something as complex as markets in this short time?

Computers mostly.