I think terrorists make mistakes (or take risks), and I'm not convinced that we catch all of those either.
Was the US being irrational with nuking of japan?
The claim directly conflicts with the supporting anecdote.
And here it has led you astray. Terrorist organisations have propaganda mouthpieces, and use social media like any other. One of my previous jobs involved building network analysis tools to identify and locate terrorists combing through their Twitter feeds.
For some, you could easily identify the point in their lives when they were radicalized, and trace connections to others who were also, and identify the people they had in common.
Inductive reasoning opens room for questions, not answers, because it does not account for unknown information.
Thank you so much for saying this.
The logic is that active, dedicated terrorist groups already know: "They literally get a drone strike for having called a known terrorist or for going to a wedding other terrorists with cell phones go to."
The reasoning that knowing this information you would be very careful about what you communicate over the internet is very sound to me. To convince me that this reasoning is incorrect would require an abundance of data to the contrary.