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Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by nostromo on Friday March 27, 2020 @08:40PM (#22708181)
There are many major American companies that will be bankrupt in a few months if quarantine continues.

No business projects revenue dropping by almost 100% overnight.

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by kevindong on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:14PM (#22708377)
But many American companies wouldn't have an issue borrowing money (at a reasonable interest rate) to continue operations since they're presumably profitable or at least approach break even.

Has Bird ever been profitable? Even excluding the cost of buying the scooters (e.g. only considering op. ex.)?

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by vikramkr on Friday March 27, 2020 @10:39PM (#22708731)
Plenty of companies will have trouble borrowing money, it's a financial crisis. Money market rates and rates on corporate paper were through the roof triggering a liquidity crisis. Looks like the fed is really stepping in agressively, and hopefully they'll succeed, but we already saw credit markets almost lock up. Doesn't matter if you're profitable if nobody is willing to lend.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by tomatocracy on Saturday March 28, 2020 @03:10AM (#22709720)
Lenders and credit investors are still very liquid at the moment; it's not a financial crisis and it's not at all the case that noone is willing to lend. But noone will lend to/invest in the credit of a non viable prospect and there will be more scrutiny about what's viable in current circumstances. The price of money has also gone up (despite central banks' best efforts) so there will be more discrimination between strong lending/investment propositions and weak ones, and the cost will be higher for everyone.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by hef19898 on Saturday March 28, 2020 @06:34AM (#22710331)
At the same time startups in Germany are heavily lobbying for additional provisions in the economic relief programs to cover startups as well.

Reading between the lines, "startups" (they are companies and thus eligible anyway based on standard conditions) refers to companies relying completely on external funding in the pursuit of positive cash flow and profitability further down the line. Looks a lot like a covered bailout for VCs and other investors. Because if a company was profitable before Corona, meaning banks would have provided credit already, the government is making it a lot easier and cheaper to get additional credit lines.

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by sergiotapia on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:31PM (#22708452)
So if people are broke, landlords are broke, stores are broke, companies are broke -- just who exactly has the keys to the kingdom here? Who isn't broke? Just banks?
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by danaris on Friday March 27, 2020 @10:21PM (#22708654)
Well, right now, we have a serious problem with cash flow—that is, there isn't much cash flowing through the economy, because people are staying in their homes.

So people who are still employed, but can't (or shouldn't) leave their homes still have some money, probably more than usual.

But the primary answer to that question is the same as it's been for the past couple decades: the people with the money are, well, the people hoarding all the money. The owners, the (big) employers, the people at the top.

As has been reported various places, just as an example, the airline industry spent the last decade spending something like 80-90% of every dollar they made buying back stock to enrich their executives. That's why they don't have anything saved for a crisis like this, and that's who has all the money now.

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by lotsofpulp on Saturday March 28, 2020 @05:47AM (#22710192)
What if those executives invested the cash into other equity?
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by pdonis on Friday March 27, 2020 @10:00PM (#22708578)
Not all of any of these are broke. Many companies have plenty of demand. Many companies have much greater than usual demand, or are shifting production to meet changed demand (for example, it looks like GM is going to be manufacturing ventilators). Those companies and their employees aren't broke--far from it.

Not to minimize the impact on companies and people who are seeing drastically reduced demand, but it's a serious overstatement to say that all companies and people are.

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by sudoaza on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:52PM (#22708551)
All the essentials who don't get locked and people are stocking on: health, supermarkets and their providers. Also those who are online or can be easily adapted: streaming, communication, online markets, education, soft development.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by hpliferaft on Friday March 27, 2020 @10:50PM (#22708780)
Any company that sells to people inside their homes is doing great. Games and content providers, video conferencing software, restaurants that do food delivery, Amazon.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by mcny on Friday March 27, 2020 @11:38PM (#22709018)
Anecdote: just talked to my neighbor who owns a delivery takeout quick service restaurant and they estimate business is down 70%... maybe the bigger chains are ok but small business likely not
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by TaylorGood on Saturday March 28, 2020 @01:03AM (#22709334)
Restaurants still have the hurdle of fear - is everybody in the kitchen wearing gloves, are they all non-COVID, etc.. There are enough touchpoints in the process to get take out delivered I'm avoidng it.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by markkanof on Saturday March 28, 2020 @04:04AM (#22709875)
And that is certainly your prerogative to do. My family is getting takeout a few times a week to support our favorite local restaurants. Just providing a counter point that there is still money going into some restaurants (although I'm sure it is less than typical).
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by bhl on Saturday March 28, 2020 @04:02AM (#22709868)
Companies with large capital reserves, e.g. Apple, Google, Berkshire Hathaway. With startup valuations low, those three could go on a discounted M&A spree.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by goatinaboat on Saturday March 28, 2020 @04:10AM (#22709893)
Who isn't broke? Just banks?

Banks manage money but that’s not the same as having that money on their own balance sheet. Banks can and do go bankrupt.

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by vikramkr on Friday March 27, 2020 @10:40PM (#22708735)
The fed and congress. hence stimulus.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by zaroth on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:35PM (#22708471)
Who is servicing their debt this month? No one. The banks are just as fucked as everyone else.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by asdff on Saturday March 28, 2020 @02:36AM (#22709635)
Yup. For every loss of a dollar there is a gain of a buck in a short position somewhere.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by granzymes on Saturday March 28, 2020 @02:46AM (#22709661)
This is definitely not true. Value can be added to the economy and value can be lost from the economy. The size of the pie is not fixed.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by saagarjha on Saturday March 28, 2020 @02:50AM (#22709672)
Specifically, when a substantial portion of the economy is not doing anything at all you can’t just magically come up with the difference.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by cycrutchfield on Friday March 27, 2020 @08:58PM (#22708279)
Especially because a lot of those major American companies have spent the past decade loading up on debt and buying back their shares at historically high prices.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by Alex3917 on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:03PM (#22708315)
Isn't a stock buyback exactly the same as paying a dividend, but taxed at a lower rate? I don't see why these companies are being demonized, the government should just let them go bankrupt and let the public buy their assets for pennies on the dollar.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by idoubtit on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:19PM (#22708397)
That's not the way it works. For instance, over the last 10 years, Boeing spent 45 B$ in buyback out of its 60 B$ profit. Now that the situation looks grim, Boeing does not have enough cash to live through the crisis. But it won't go bankrupt, it will get 60 B$ of cash from today's federal government bill, and probably more later on.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by lotsofpulp on Friday March 27, 2020 @10:23PM (#22708663)
What would you have done? Saved $45B in cash in case a virus like this causes the world economy to stop?

There is no world where an airline/hotel or any business could have possibly saved enough cash to fight a 90%+ drop in revenue for months and still remain competitive in the market.

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by adrr on Friday March 27, 2020 @10:34PM (#22708709)
Apple and google have large cash reserves. They also could have paid off all their debt with the profits.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by lotsofpulp on Saturday March 28, 2020 @04:49AM (#22709995)
Apple and google are uniquely extremely high margin businesses, and even they would be shaken after a few months of no income.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by saagarjha on Saturday March 28, 2020 @02:52AM (#22709676)
I thought that for them it was just better to keep borrowing than to move around their money?
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by jdavis703 on Friday March 27, 2020 @11:14PM (#22708888)
Boeing’s crisis started long before CV19. The 737 Max debacle was already weighing heavily on their balance sheet.

The point is, it’s hard to predict the future. Who knows if the future will bring a fatal bug in your software, a pandemic, or both. But regardless, we all know tough times will always happen, and to therefore be prepared.

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by lotsofpulp on Saturday March 28, 2020 @04:51AM (#22710004)
And my point is you can’t be prepared for months of no revenue. No consumer is going to pay the high prices needed for a business to insure itself for an extinction level event, because an alternative business won’t and will offer lower prices.

For example, a hotel owner can choose to squirrel away cash to protect the hotel and its employees for months of no income. A competing hotel will instead choose to renovate the hotel. Which hotel will customers choose to stay at?

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by jdavis703 on Sunday March 29, 2020 @02:19PM (#22721246)
The “prepper” hotel could instead take out a loan (using their savings as collateral) to renovate.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by goatinaboat on Saturday March 28, 2020 @04:19AM (#22709917)
What would you have done? Saved $45B in cash in case a virus like this causes the world economy to stop?

The job of management is to find a profitable way to deploy capital. If management are returning capital to shareholders, outside of expected dividends of course, it’s because they are bereft of ideas. What would I have done? Invested a large portion of that money in long term R&D and careful strategic acquisitions. It’s the same over at IBM. The current generation of managers have inherited cash flows set up by their predecessors but have no idea what to do with them.

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by lotsofpulp on Saturday March 28, 2020 @04:48AM (#22709991)
What R&D would pay the airlines’ and hotels’ employees for the next few months?
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by goatinaboat on Saturday March 28, 2020 @06:21AM (#22710298)
OP’s question was about Boeing, but it’s true that the airlines also squandered their capital on share buybacks.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by lotsofpulp on Saturday March 28, 2020 @08:22AM (#22710702)
Squandered means there was a better, evident option at the time. I have not yet been able to find a satisfactory answer to the question of what the companies should have done rather than buybacks, especially to mitigate the effects of a literal shutdown of basically entire lines of business resulting in no income.

The businesses in years past made money, invested some of it, spent some on R&D, and distributed some to shareholders (via buybacks). What other option was there?

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by cycrutchfield on Friday March 27, 2020 @10:37PM (#22708724)
Especially because they know that if they go under, the Federal government will have their back. It's win-win, baby! What's a moral hazard?
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by nutjob2 on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:17PM (#22708385)
The problem is when they all do it it becomes systemic risk.

The new meta is "if we all do the same stupid shit we'll get bailed out when the crunch comes"

The penalty for a bailout should be bankruptcy and nationalization. Taxpayers should profit, not lose.

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by untog on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:13PM (#22708370)
> I don't see why these companies are being demonized, the government should just let them go bankrupt

Well, they’re being demonised because they’re pushing heavily for a government bailout that will avoid them going bankrupt.

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by twblalock on Sunday March 29, 2020 @03:14PM (#22721715)
They only need the bailout from the government because the government forced businesses to shut down. How exactly is that the business's fault?
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by StanislavPetrov on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:14PM (#22708376)
They are being demonized because the government isn't letting them go bankrupt or letting the public buy up their assets. Instead the government is rewarding their greed and poor business practices by bailing them out and letting them keep all of the money they made.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by HenryBemis on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:26PM (#22708431)
> ..bailing them..

Because some people may not realize/forget the source of these billions, these billions are either taxpayer money, OR these are new/fresh money (which means diluting the value of the currency for everyone).

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by bogomipz on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:22PM (#22708411)
The issue is not the stock buyback but the debt binge these companies have gone on to to buy back that stock. This has left them unprepared and exposed for any kind of a downturn. This exposure is being remedied compliments of the tax payer. "Privatize the profits but socialize the risk" seems to be their mantra. The buck only ever seems to stop at the CEO when the going is good. This is why they are being demonized.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by Ericson2314 on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:15PM (#22708379)
Yes to all that. No tears, no bailout. Nationalize out of bankruptcy instead.

Do note that the buybacks last time were enabled by government loans. So that is a bit suspect on the governments part for not leveraging the power they did have.

But yes overall these silly critiques of strawmen I think just diffuse anger that should be directed at real things. No good.

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by guru4consulting on Friday March 27, 2020 @10:43PM (#22708752)
Apart from irresponsible behavior of not reducing debt or not keeping enough money reserves, few other points to note: - CEO and the executive board gets pay rise based on stock price increase which is a silly math because the total market cap does not increase.. - Share buyback gives a quick boost to share prices, and often, the executives have found to be selling shares immediately after share buyback. It's almost like they pre-plan the buyback and following stock sale. There are many studies showing this to be a more common practice.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by Uhhrrr on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:32PM (#22708458)
Bird doesn't have any shares; they are on series D.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by briffle on Friday March 27, 2020 @08:58PM (#22708284)
right, why save when you can buy back your stock.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by gruez on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:09PM (#22708348)
As Matt Levine explains, it was the optimal thing to do.

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-03-17/the-go...

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by geomark on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:04PM (#22708323)
Makes perfect sense when interest rates are near zero. Borrowing is practically free and saving earns you next to nothing.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by Blackthorn on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:11PM (#22708362)
Until a black swan event happens...and now they need to beg the government to save their short sighted asses.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by kick on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:24PM (#22708420)
If the government is almost guaranteed to bail them out, it makes sense that they would prioritize other things.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by PenguinCoder on Friday March 27, 2020 @11:23PM (#22708935)
Then the Government needs to not bail them out.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by _ph_ on Saturday March 28, 2020 @05:06AM (#22710055)
This is a difficult call to make. Of course, the government shouldn't be the automatic fall-back solution for incompetent/greedy management. On the other side, large companies failing do have a network effect, that is why the government does bailouts in the first place. There are arguments that the 2008 crisis could have been avoided, if the government had bailed out Lehman. Lehman failing caused the crisis and in the end many more companies needed and got a bail out and still a huge economic damage was done.

The only solution in my eyes for this dilemma is, that the government should do bail outs, but at the price of shares. For any money paid, which isn't just credits, the government should get company shares, which are sold off, as soon as the market stabilizes.

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by kick on Saturday March 28, 2020 @12:04AM (#22709133)
Obviously, but it's hard to call a company's management short-sighted for taking advantage of a corrupt government.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by arbitrary_name on Saturday March 28, 2020 @01:23AM (#22709419)
But they are also the ones corrupting the government, at least in part.

So let them all hang.

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by kick on Saturday March 28, 2020 @01:31AM (#22709445)
Sure, they're the ones corrupting the government. The accusation, then, should be malice, not stupidity.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by saagarjha on Saturday March 28, 2020 @02:49AM (#22709667)
But then the economy goes down the tubes.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by pbourke on Saturday March 28, 2020 @03:04AM (#22709707)
There is a third way: bailouts are conditioned on the public or workers getting ownership stakes.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by markkanof on Saturday March 28, 2020 @04:07AM (#22709890)
Agreed. Or an additional option is to let businesses fail. The value of a viable business doesn't instantly go away just because they are insolvent. Let another better managed company buy up the failed company.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by ferzul on Saturday March 28, 2020 @05:57AM (#22710216)
no. the government merely needs to look like it will be a tough debate next time that might not go through, by having a tough debate this time that spooks businesses
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by malandrew on Friday March 27, 2020 @11:49PM (#22709065)
To be fair, for many businesses it's government mandates that has forced them to shut down. Yes business was down, but there was some business. With shelter in place there is no business. If the government mandates something that causes total loss of business, it's fair for them to be on the hook to help out with the problems caused by their mandate.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by nutjob2 on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:36PM (#22708476)
That's true only if you're unwilling to put a price on risk.

What dollar figure should be put on the potential demise of the company versus "saving earns you next to nothing"?

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by zapttt on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:17PM (#22708388)
by your logic everyone should have been living pay check to paycheck when interest rates get low.

but that's not even the craziest thing in your comment. it's that you are probably a salaried worker making excuses for the boss. it's a crazy crazy world.

Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by nostrademons on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:08PM (#22708347)
Somewhere out there must be a few firms with massive cash positions. Every time a company buys back stock, they're giving cash to the investor who sold the stock. Assuming the government doesn't inflate the currency to nothing, those firms are going to absolutely clean up now, with so much cash to deploy while everyone else is getting force-liquidated.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by vikramkr on Friday March 27, 2020 @10:41PM (#22708744)
Berkshire comes to mind. Buffet has been saying he's itching for an elephant sized aquisition for a while now. Here's their chance.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by tfigment on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:19PM (#22708396)
Well Apple just got into credit card business maybe they can use their massive cash reserves and enter the banking business.
Re:Bird lays off hundreds via Zoom call by CPLX on Friday March 27, 2020 @09:04PM (#22708318)
Sure but the fun part about these insanely well funded moonshot startups that lose money on every transaction is that all these shutdowns improve their gross margins and cashflow positions.